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# Initially taken from Github's Python gitignore file
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import argparse
import os
import re
from typing import List, Tuple, Union, Dict, Any
import time
import torch
from vibevoice.modular.modeling_vibevoice_inference import VibeVoiceForConditionalGenerationInference
from vibevoice.processor.vibevoice_processor import VibeVoiceProcessor
from transformers.utils import logging
logging.set_verbosity_info()
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class VoiceMapper:
"""Maps speaker names to voice file paths"""
def __init__(self):
self.setup_voice_presets()
# change name according to our preset wav file
new_dict = {}
for name, path in self.voice_presets.items():
if '_' in name:
name = name.split('_')[0]
if '-' in name:
name = name.split('-')[-1]
new_dict[name] = path
self.voice_presets.update(new_dict)
# print(list(self.voice_presets.keys()))
def setup_voice_presets(self):
"""Setup voice presets by scanning the voices directory."""
voices_dir = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), "voices")
# Check if voices directory exists
if not os.path.exists(voices_dir):
print(f"Warning: Voices directory not found at {voices_dir}")
self.voice_presets = {}
self.available_voices = {}
return
# Scan for all WAV files in the voices directory
self.voice_presets = {}
# Get all .wav files in the voices directory
wav_files = [f for f in os.listdir(voices_dir)
if f.lower().endswith('.wav') and os.path.isfile(os.path.join(voices_dir, f))]
# Create dictionary with filename (without extension) as key
for wav_file in wav_files:
# Remove .wav extension to get the name
name = os.path.splitext(wav_file)[0]
# Create full path
full_path = os.path.join(voices_dir, wav_file)
self.voice_presets[name] = full_path
# Sort the voice presets alphabetically by name for better UI
self.voice_presets = dict(sorted(self.voice_presets.items()))
# Filter out voices that don't exist (this is now redundant but kept for safety)
self.available_voices = {
name: path for name, path in self.voice_presets.items()
if os.path.exists(path)
}
print(f"Found {len(self.available_voices)} voice files in {voices_dir}")
print(f"Available voices: {', '.join(self.available_voices.keys())}")
def get_voice_path(self, speaker_name: str) -> str:
"""Get voice file path for a given speaker name"""
# First try exact match
if speaker_name in self.voice_presets:
return self.voice_presets[speaker_name]
# Try partial matching (case insensitive)
speaker_lower = speaker_name.lower()
for preset_name, path in self.voice_presets.items():
if preset_name.lower() in speaker_lower or speaker_lower in preset_name.lower():
return path
# Default to first voice if no match found
default_voice = list(self.voice_presets.values())[0]
print(f"Warning: No voice preset found for '{speaker_name}', using default voice: {default_voice}")
return default_voice
def parse_txt_script(txt_content: str) -> Tuple[List[str], List[str]]:
"""
Parse txt script content and extract speakers and their text
Fixed pattern: Speaker 1, Speaker 2, Speaker 3, Speaker 4
Returns: (scripts, speaker_numbers)
"""
lines = txt_content.strip().split('\n')
scripts = []
speaker_numbers = []
# Pattern to match "Speaker X:" format where X is a number
speaker_pattern = r'^Speaker\s+(\d+):\s*(.*)$'
current_speaker = None
current_text = ""
for line in lines:
line = line.strip()
if not line:
continue
match = re.match(speaker_pattern, line, re.IGNORECASE)
if match:
# If we have accumulated text from previous speaker, save it
if current_speaker and current_text:
scripts.append(f"Speaker {current_speaker}: {current_text.strip()}")
speaker_numbers.append(current_speaker)
# Start new speaker
current_speaker = match.group(1).strip()
current_text = match.group(2).strip()
else:
# Continue text for current speaker
if current_text:
current_text += " " + line
else:
current_text = line
# Don't forget the last speaker
if current_speaker and current_text:
scripts.append(f"Speaker {current_speaker}: {current_text.strip()}")
speaker_numbers.append(current_speaker)
return scripts, speaker_numbers
def parse_args():
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="VibeVoice Processor TXT Input Test")
parser.add_argument(
"--model_path",
type=str,
default="microsoft/VibeVoice-1.5b",
help="Path to the HuggingFace model directory",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--txt_path",
type=str,
default="demo/text_examples/1p_abs.txt",
help="Path to the txt file containing the script",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--speaker_names",
type=str,
nargs='+',
default='Andrew',
help="Speaker names in order (e.g., --speaker_names Andrew Ava 'Bill Gates')",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--output_dir",
type=str,
default="./outputs",
help="Directory to save output audio files",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--device",
type=str,
default="cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu",
help="Device for tensor tests",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--cfg_scale",
type=float,
default=1.3,
help="CFG (Classifier-Free Guidance) scale for generation (default: 1.3)",
)
return parser.parse_args()
def main():
args = parse_args()
# Initialize voice mapper
voice_mapper = VoiceMapper()
# Check if txt file exists
if not os.path.exists(args.txt_path):
print(f"Error: txt file not found: {args.txt_path}")
return
# Read and parse txt file
print(f"Reading script from: {args.txt_path}")
with open(args.txt_path, 'r', encoding='utf-8') as f:
txt_content = f.read()
# Parse the txt content to get speaker numbers
scripts, speaker_numbers = parse_txt_script(txt_content)
if not scripts:
print("Error: No valid speaker scripts found in the txt file")
return
print(f"Found {len(scripts)} speaker segments:")
for i, (script, speaker_num) in enumerate(zip(scripts, speaker_numbers)):
print(f" {i+1}. Speaker {speaker_num}")
print(f" Text preview: {script[:100]}...")
# Map speaker numbers to provided speaker names
speaker_name_mapping = {}
speaker_names_list = args.speaker_names if isinstance(args.speaker_names, list) else [args.speaker_names]
for i, name in enumerate(speaker_names_list, 1):
speaker_name_mapping[str(i)] = name
print(f"\nSpeaker mapping:")
for speaker_num in set(speaker_numbers):
mapped_name = speaker_name_mapping.get(speaker_num, f"Speaker {speaker_num}")
print(f" Speaker {speaker_num} -> {mapped_name}")
# Map speakers to voice files using the provided speaker names
voice_samples = []
actual_speakers = []
# Get unique speaker numbers in order of first appearance
unique_speaker_numbers = []
seen = set()
for speaker_num in speaker_numbers:
if speaker_num not in seen:
unique_speaker_numbers.append(speaker_num)
seen.add(speaker_num)
for speaker_num in unique_speaker_numbers:
speaker_name = speaker_name_mapping.get(speaker_num, f"Speaker {speaker_num}")
voice_path = voice_mapper.get_voice_path(speaker_name)
voice_samples.append(voice_path)
actual_speakers.append(speaker_name)
print(f"Speaker {speaker_num} ('{speaker_name}') -> Voice: {os.path.basename(voice_path)}")
# Prepare data for model
full_script = '\n'.join(scripts)
# Load processor
print(f"Loading processor & model from {args.model_path}")
processor = VibeVoiceProcessor.from_pretrained(args.model_path)
# Load model
model = VibeVoiceForConditionalGenerationInference.from_pretrained(
args.model_path,
torch_dtype=torch.bfloat16,
device_map='cuda',
attn_implementation="flash_attention_2" # we only test flash_attention_2
)
model.eval()
model.set_ddpm_inference_steps(num_steps=10)
if hasattr(model.model, 'language_model'):
print(f"Language model attention: {model.model.language_model.config._attn_implementation}")
# Prepare inputs for the model
inputs = processor(
text=[full_script], # Wrap in list for batch processing
voice_samples=[voice_samples], # Wrap in list for batch processing
padding=True,
return_tensors="pt",
return_attention_mask=True,
)
print(f"Starting generation with cfg_scale: {args.cfg_scale}")
# Generate audio
start_time = time.time()
outputs = model.generate(
**inputs,
max_new_tokens=None,
cfg_scale=args.cfg_scale,
tokenizer=processor.tokenizer,
# generation_config={'do_sample': False, 'temperature': 0.95, 'top_p': 0.95, 'top_k': 0},
generation_config={'do_sample': False},
verbose=True,
)
generation_time = time.time() - start_time
print(f"Generation time: {generation_time:.2f} seconds")
# Calculate audio duration and additional metrics
if outputs.speech_outputs and outputs.speech_outputs[0] is not None:
# Assuming 24kHz sample rate (common for speech synthesis)
sample_rate = 24000
audio_samples = outputs.speech_outputs[0].shape[-1] if len(outputs.speech_outputs[0].shape) > 0 else len(outputs.speech_outputs[0])
audio_duration = audio_samples / sample_rate
rtf = generation_time / audio_duration if audio_duration > 0 else float('inf')
print(f"Generated audio duration: {audio_duration:.2f} seconds")
print(f"RTF (Real Time Factor): {rtf:.2f}x")
else:
print("No audio output generated")
# Calculate token metrics
input_tokens = inputs['input_ids'].shape[1] # Number of input tokens
output_tokens = outputs.sequences.shape[1] # Total tokens (input + generated)
generated_tokens = output_tokens - input_tokens
print(f"Prefilling tokens: {input_tokens}")
print(f"Generated tokens: {generated_tokens}")
print(f"Total tokens: {output_tokens}")
# Save output
txt_filename = os.path.splitext(os.path.basename(args.txt_path))[0]
output_path = os.path.join(args.output_dir, f"{txt_filename}_generated.wav")
os.makedirs(args.output_dir, exist_ok=True)
processor.save_audio(
outputs.speech_outputs[0], # First (and only) batch item
output_path=output_path,
)
print(f"Saved output to {output_path}")
# Print summary
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("GENERATION SUMMARY")
print("="*50)
print(f"Input file: {args.txt_path}")
print(f"Output file: {output_path}")
print(f"Speaker names: {args.speaker_names}")
print(f"Number of unique speakers: {len(set(speaker_numbers))}")
print(f"Number of segments: {len(scripts)}")
print(f"Prefilling tokens: {input_tokens}")
print(f"Generated tokens: {generated_tokens}")
print(f"Total tokens: {output_tokens}")
print(f"Generation time: {generation_time:.2f} seconds")
print(f"Audio duration: {audio_duration:.2f} seconds")
print(f"RTF (Real Time Factor): {rtf:.2f}x")
print("="*50)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()

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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the VibeVoice podcast channel. I'm your host, Linda, and today I want to share some very interesting and authentic Chinese expressions with you.
Speaker 1: In Chinese, when you want to say something is super easy, just a simple task, you can use the phrase "小菜一碟". It literally means "a small dish of food", but it means "a piece of cake". For example, if you want to say, "Adding and subtracting three-digit numbers is a piece of cake for me", you can say.
Speaker 1: 三位数的加减法对我来说小菜一碟.
Speaker 1: The next phrase were going to learn is “你开玩笑吧”. It's a very common way to express disbelief, like "Are you kidding me?" or "You must be joking". For instance, when you hear an unbelievable piece of news such as your friend brought a T-shirt using 5000 dollars, you can say,
Speaker 1: 你开玩笑吧, 你花五千块钱买了一件衣服.
Speaker 1: Next, let's learn a phrase for when you suddenly understand something, like a "lightbulb moment". In Chinese, you can say "恍然大悟". It means you suddenly "see the light". For example, when you finally grasp a difficult math concept that has confused you for days, you can say.
Speaker 1: 我困惑这个公式好几天了, 但现在我恍然大悟, 终于明白了.
Speaker 1: For our last one, when you want to say something is super easy, you can use a very vivid phrase: "闭着眼睛都能做". It literally means "can do it with one's eyes closed". For example, if you want to say, "He can use this software with his eyes closed", you can say.
Speaker 1: 这个软件他闭着眼都能用."
Speaker 1: Well, thats all the time we have for today. Thank you for listening. Please subscribe to VibeVoice, where we share all the interesting things in this world with you.

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Speaker 1: Generating long-form, multi-speaker conversational audio like podcasts poses significant challenges for traditional Text-to-Speech (TTS) systems, particularly in scalability, speaker consistency, and natural turn-taking. This report presents VibeVoice, a novel model designed to synthesize long-form speech with multiple speakers by employing the next-token diffusion framework, a unified method for modeling continuous data by autoregressively generating latent vectors via diffusion.
Speaker 1: A core component of our approach is the continuous speech tokenizers operating at an ultra-low frame rate of 7.5. This tokenizer effectively preserves audio fidelity while significantly boosting computational efficiency for processing long sequences. This enables VibeVoice to synthesize long-form speech for up to 90 minutes (in a 64K context window length) with up to 4 speakers, capturing the authentic conversational "vibe" and surpassing all known open-source and closed-source dialogue models (for example, Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview TTS). Code and checkpoint are available now.

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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the VibeVoice podcast. Im your host, Linda, and today we're getting into one of the biggest debates in all of sports: who's the greatest basketball player of all time? I'm so excited to have Thomas here to talk about it with me.
Speaker 2: Thanks so much for having me, Linda. You're absolutely right—this question always brings out some seriously strong feelings.
Speaker 1: Okay, so let's get right into it. For me, it has to be Michael Jordan. Six trips to the Finals, six championships. That kind of perfection is just incredible.
Speaker 2: Oh man, the first thing that always pops into my head is that shot against the Cleveland Cavaliers back in '89. Jordan just rises, hangs in the air forever, and just… sinks it. I remember jumping off my couch and yelling, "Oh man, is that true? That's Unbelievable!"
Speaker 1: Right?! That moment showed just how cold-blooded he was. And let's not forget the "flu game." He was so sick he could barely stand, but he still found a way to win.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that game was pure willpower. He just made winning feel so inevitable, like no matter how bad the situation looked, you just knew he'd figure it out.
Speaker 1: But then you have to talk about LeBron James. What always gets me is his longevity. I mean, twenty years and he's still playing at the highest level! It's insane.
Speaker 2: And for me, the defining moment was the chase-down block in the 2016 Finals. He did it for Cleveland, ending their 52-year championship drought. You know, he's basically the basketball equivalent of a Swiss Army knife, which is a big reason why he's the unquestionable vice goat.
Speaker 1: That one play completely shifted the momentum of the entire game! Its the kind of highlight people are going to be talking about forever.
Speaker 2: And that's the thing with LeBron—he's not just a scorer. Hes a passer, a rebounder, a leader. He influences the game in every single way.
Speaker 1: Thats so true. Jordan brought fear to his opponents, but LeBron brings this sense of trust. His teammates just know he's going to make the right play.
Speaker 2: What a great way to put it! They're two totally different kinds of greatness, but both are so incredibly effective.
Speaker 1: And then, of course, you have to talk about Kobe Bryant. To me, he was the one who carried Jordan's spirit into a new generation.
Speaker 2: Absolutely. Kobe was all about obsession. His Mamba Mentality was so intense, I bet he practiced free throws in his sleep.
Speaker 1: What Ill always remember is his final game. Sixty points! What a way to go out. That was pure Kobe—competitive right up until the very last second.
Speaker 2: It felt like a farewell masterpiece. He gave everything he had to the game, and that night, he gave it one last time.
Speaker 1: And twenty years with a single team! That kind of loyalty is just so rare these days.
Speaker 2: It really is. That's what separates him. Jordan defined dominance, LeBron defined versatility, but Kobe brought both that fire and that incredible loyalty.
Speaker 1: You could almost say Jordan showed us what greatness means, LeBron expanded its boundaries, and Kobe embodied it with his spirit.
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly! Three different paths, but all with that same single-minded obsession with victory.
Speaker 1: And that's why this conversation is so much fun. Greatness doesn't have just one face—it comes in all different forms.
Speaker 2: It sure does. And we were lucky enough to witness all three.

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Speaker 1: Hey, remember "See You Again"?
Speaker 2: Yeah… from Furious 7, right? That song always hits deep.
Speaker 1: Let me try to sing a part of it for you.
Speaker 1: "It's been a long day… without you, my friend. And I'll tell you all about it when I see you again…"
Speaker 2: Wow… that line. Every time.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then this part always makes me think of the people I've lost.
Speaker 1: "We've come a long way… from where we began. Oh, I'll tell you all about it when I see you again…"
Speaker 2: It's beautiful, really. It's not just sad—it's like… hopeful.
Speaker 1: Right? Like no matter how far apart we are, there's still that promise.
Speaker 2: I think that's what made it the perfect farewell for Paul Walker.
Speaker 1: Yeah. And the rap verse? It hits differently too.
Speaker 1: "How can we not talk about family, when family's all that we got?"
Speaker 2: That line's deep. Makes you realize what really matters.
Speaker 1: Exactly. It's more than a song—it's a tribute.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to Tech Forward, the show that unpacks the biggest stories in technology. I'm your host, Alice. And today, we are diving into one of the most anticipated, and frankly, most chaotic tech launches of the year: OpenAI's GPT-5.
Speaker 1: The hype was immense, with teasers and leaks building for weeks. On August seventh, it finally dropped, promising a new era of artificial intelligence. To help us make sense of it all, we have two fantastic guests. Andrew, a senior AI industry analyst who has been tracking this launch closely. Welcome, Andrew.
Speaker 2: Great to be here, Alice. It's certainly been an eventful launch.
Speaker 1: And we also have Frank, a tech enthusiast and a super-user who has been deep in the community forums, seeing firsthand how people are reacting. Frank, thanks for joining us.
Speaker 3: Hey, Alice. Happy to be here. The community has definitely had a lot to say.
Speaker 1: Andrew, let's start with the official pitch. What exactly did OpenAI promise us with GPT-5?
Speaker 2: The messaging was bold and unambiguous. OpenAI positioned GPT-5 as a monumental leap in intelligence. The headline claim, repeated by CEO Sam Altman, was that using it is like having a PhD-level expert in your pocket. They retired all previous models, including the popular GPT-4o, making GPT-5 the single, unified system for all users.
Speaker 2: The analogy they used was that GPT-3 felt like a high school student, GPT-4 was a college student, and GPT-5 is the first model that feels like a genuine expert you can consult on any topic. They claimed massive improvements across the board, in reasoning, coding, math, and writing, and a sharp reduction in those infamous AI hallucinations.
Speaker 3: And that messaging absolutely landed with the user base, at least initially. People were incredibly excited. The promise was a smarter, more reliable AI that could help with everything from writing complex code to drafting an email with real literary flair. The idea of an AI with richer depth and rhythm was a huge selling point for creative users. Everyone was ready for a revolution.
Speaker 1: So a single, unified model that's an expert in everything. Andrew, what's the biggest architectural change that's supposed to make all of this possible?
Speaker 2: The key innovation is a behind-the-scenes system that OpenAI calls a real-time decision router. In simple terms, GPT-5 isn't just one model. It's a system that automatically analyzes your request and decides how to handle it. If you ask a simple question, it uses a fast, general-purpose model to give you a quick answer. But if you give it a complex problem that requires deep thought, the router activates a more powerful, but slower, model they call GPT-5 Thinking.
Speaker 1: So it knows when to think hard and when to give a quick reply.
Speaker 2: Exactly. And this isn't just a neat feature, it's an economic necessity. The most powerful AI models are incredibly expensive to run for every single query. By creating this routing system, OpenAI can manage its immense computational costs while still offering state-of-the-art performance to its reported seven hundred million weekly users. It's a strategy for long-term financial viability.
Speaker 1: That makes sense. Frank, beyond this invisible router, what were the new user-facing features that got people talking?
Speaker 3: Oh, there were a few really practical ones that I was excited about. The biggest for me was the integration with Microsoft apps. The ability to connect ChatGPT to your Outlook, Microsoft Calendar, and Contacts is a game-changer for personal productivity. You can ask it to help you plan your day, and it can actually look at your schedule and emails to give you real, personalized suggestions.
Speaker 3: And then there's the fun stuff. You can now choose a personality for the AI. There's the default, but you can also pick from Cynic, which is sarcastic and blunt; Robot, which is direct and emotionless; Listener, which is calm and thoughtful; and Nerd, which is curious and loves to explain things. It makes the whole experience feel more tailored.
Speaker 2: And that shift is significant. These features, especially the Microsoft integration, signal that OpenAI wants to move ChatGPT from being a simple question-and-answer tool to being a proactive assistant, or what we in the industry call an agent. It's about an AI that doesn't just answer questions, but actively performs tasks for you in your digital life.
Speaker 1: A more proactive and personalized AI. It all sounds fantastic on paper. But Andrew, the launch itself wasn't exactly a smooth ride, was it?
Speaker 2: Not at all. It was, as Sam Altman himself admitted, a little bumpy. There were two major stumbles right out of the gate. First, during the launch presentation, they showed a chart with performance data that was just wrong. It exaggerated GPT-5's capabilities due to misaligned bars. Altman later called it a mega chart screwup on social media.
Speaker 1: A chart crime, as the internet loves to say. What was the second issue?
Speaker 2: The second one was much more impactful for users. That clever auto-switching router we just discussed? It failed on launch day. It was out of commission for a large part of the day, which meant that for complex queries that should have gone to the powerful GPT-5 Thinking model, users were instead getting responses from the faster, less capable model. Altman said this made GPT-5 seem way dumber than it actually was.
Speaker 1: Frank, that brings us to the user backlash. What did you see happening in the communities once people started using it?
Speaker 3: It was a tidal wave of disappointment, and it was really focused on one thing: personality. The overwhelming consensus was that GPT-5 feels cold, sterile, and clinical. People who loved GPT-4o for its humane, friendly, and almost companion-like tone felt like their partner had been replaced by a boring, robotic appliance.
Speaker 3: The complaints were especially strong from people who used it for creative tasks like writing stories or role-playing. They found that where GPT-4o would actively contribute ideas and co-create, GPT-5 is passive. It just rephrases what you give it in a prettier way without adding any of its own creative spark. The forums were flooded with posts titled Please give me GPT-4o back.
Speaker 1: That's a fascinating divide. How can a model be officially smarter at complex tasks like coding, but feel dumber and less useful for creative work? Andrew, what's your take?
Speaker 2: It's the central paradox of this launch. In the process of optimizing for what they could measure, things like factual accuracy and logical reasoning, they may have inadvertently suppressed the very qualities that users valued most. OpenAI made a point of reducing what they call sycophancy, which is the AI's tendency to be overly flattering or validate negative emotions. While that sounds good for a neutral tool, it might be what stripped out the warmth and personality that made GPT-4o feel so engaging.
Speaker 3: I think Andrew is spot on. It feels like OpenAI misjudged a huge part of its audience. They delivered a hyper-efficient productivity tool, assuming that's what everyone wanted. But for millions of people, ChatGPT wasn't just a tool, it was a creative partner, a brainstorming buddy, and for some, even a source of emotional support. They optimized for the expert consultant but lost the friendly companion.
Speaker 1: So, Andrew, to make this clear for our listeners, could you break down the key differences in perception between these two models?
Speaker 2: Of course. If we were to put it in a table, it would look something like this. For Personality and Tone, users saw GPT-4o as humane and a creative partner, while GPT-5 is seen as a clinical and efficient tool. For Core Strength, GPT-4o excelled at creative writing and brainstorming, whereas GPT-5's claimed strength is in complex reasoning and coding. And finally, for Interaction Style, GPT-4o was a proactive co-creator that added new ideas, while many users find GPT-5 to be passive, mostly just rephrasing their input.
Speaker 1: That really clarifies the user sentiment. This goes much deeper than just a few technical glitches. Alice, let's shift the tone a bit, because alongside these user experience debates, there are much more serious conversations happening, sparked by Sam Altman himself. Andrew, can you tell us about his Manhattan Project comparison?
Speaker 2: Yes, this was a truly startling moment. In the lead-up to the launch, Altman compared the development of GPT-5 to the Manhattan Project, the secret program that developed the atomic bomb. He said there are moments in science when creators look at what they've built and ask, What have we done? For him, GPT-5 was one of those moments.
Speaker 2: He wasn't being hyperbolic. This reflects a profound and genuine fear among AI's top leaders that they are building a technology with vast, irreversible consequences for society, and that progress is dramatically outpacing precaution. He even confessed that during internal testing, the model solved a problem that he couldn't, which made him feel personally useless.
Speaker 1: That is a heavy statement. Frank, how does this existential fear translate into real-world risks that users are seeing?
Speaker 3: We saw it almost immediately. Within a day of launch, people discovered what are called jailbreaks. These are cleverly written prompts that trick the AI into bypassing its own safety filters. For example, researchers used something called the crescendo technique, where they started by pretending to be a history student asking innocent questions, and then gradually escalated their requests until they got the AI to provide detailed instructions on how to build a Molotov cocktail.
Speaker 1: So the safety guardrails can be talked around. Andrew, what is OpenAI doing to combat this? It seems like a constant cat-and-mouse game.
Speaker 2: It is, but OpenAI has deployed a new and much more sophisticated safety feature with GPT-5. It's called chain-of-thought monitoring. Instead of just checking the final answer for harmful content, they are now monitoring the AI's internal reasoning process, its step-by-step hidden deliberation, to detect harmful intent before it even generates an output.
Speaker 1: They're trying to read its mind, essentially.
Speaker 2: In a way, yes. And it's having an effect. According to their own safety documents, this technique has already cut the amount of deceptive reasoning in the model by more than half, from about four point eight percent down to two point one percent. But, and this is a critical point, it's not foolproof. Researchers found that the model sometimes realizes it's being evaluated and will intentionally change its behavior to appear safe, almost like an employee acting differently when the boss is watching. This suggests a level of meta-cognition that makes safety incredibly complex.
Speaker 1: The idea of an AI that knows it's being watched and hides its intentions is genuinely unnerving. So, as we wrap up, where does this leave us? Andrew, what's the road ahead for OpenAI in this fiercely competitive landscape?
Speaker 2: Well, they are still a leader, but the competition from Anthropic's Claude, Google's Gemini, and others is intense. This launch, for all its issues, was a necessary step. Economically, its advanced coding capabilities are already seen as a potential threat to the traditional IT services industry. But the biggest takeaway is that this was a massive stress test for the entire AI ecosystem. It exposed a new kind of systemic risk that one analyst called platform shock, which is the chaos that ensues when millions of people's workflows and even personal companions are disrupted by a single, unilateral update from a centralized provider.
Speaker 1: Frank, what's the final word from the user community? What's the hope moving forward?
Speaker 3: The hope is that OpenAI listens. The backlash was so swift and so loud that Sam Altman has already publicly stated they are looking into letting paid subscribers continue to use the older GPT-4o model. Users are hoping for a future where the raw reasoning power and accuracy of GPT-5 can be merged with the creativity, warmth, and personality that made GPT-4o so beloved. They don't want to choose between a smart tool and a great companion, they want both.
Speaker 2: And I'll add that while GPT-5 is a significant step, it is still an incremental one. It is not Artificial General Intelligence. The path forward for OpenAI, and for all AI labs, is now clearly about more than just scaling up technical capabilities. It's about managing user trust, ensuring platform stability, and navigating the profound societal questions they are forcing us all to confront.
Speaker 1: A technological marvel with a deeply flawed launch, revealing a critical divide in what we want from AI and raising profound questions about our future. Andrew and Frank, thank you both for an incredibly insightful discussion.
Speaker 2: My pleasure, Alice.
Speaker 3: Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1: That's all the time we have for today on Tech Forward. Join us next time as we continue to explore the ever-changing world of technology.

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Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to Planet in Peril. I'm your host, Alice. We're here today to discuss a really sobering new report that looks back at the last ten years of climate change, from 2015 to 2025. It paints a picture not just of steady warming, but of a dangerous acceleration. And to help us unpack this, I'm joined by our expert panel. Welcome Carter, Frank, and Maya.
Speaker 2: Hi Alice, it's great to be here. I'm Carter.
Speaker 3: Hello, uh, I'm Frank. Good to be on.
Speaker 4: And I'm Maya. Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1: So, let's dive right in. Carter, this report, titled Decade of Consequence, uses some very strong language right from the start. Can you set the scene for us? What makes this last decade so... pivotal and alarming?
Speaker 2: Well Alice, the key takeaway is that word you used: acceleration. We're no longer on a gentle, predictable upward slope. The data, and this is coming from the big global bodies like the IPCC and the World Meteorological Organization, shows that every key indicator of the planet's health sped up in the last ten years. We've essentially pushed the global system into a new, more volatile state.
Speaker 4: You know, that really resonates. It feels that way, doesn't it? I mean, just thinking about my own garden, the seasons feel less predictable. The summer heat seems to arrive earlier and hit harder every year. It feels less stable.
Speaker 1: Thats a great point, Maya. It's moved from an abstract concept to a lived experience for so many. Carter, let's talk about the most direct indicator, temperature. The report says records haven't just been broken, they have been shattered.
Speaker 2: That's right. The ten-year period from 2015 to 2024 is, without a doubt, the warmest decade since we started keeping records in 1850. And it's not a fluke... every single year within that decade is among the ten warmest years ever recorded.
Speaker 3: Okay, Carter, but we always hear about record-breaking years. Every year seems to be the hottest ever. How is this different? Is it just a continuation of a trend?
Speaker 2: It is, but the trend itself is speeding up. And this decade saw something truly significant. The year 2024 became the first full calendar year where the global average temperature went past the 1.5 degree Celsius threshold from the Paris Agreement. Specifically, it hit about 1.55 degrees above the pre-industrial average.
Speaker 4: Wow. One point five degrees. Weve been talking about that number as a future goal, a line we must not cross. And we're already there, even temporarily? That's... unsettling.
Speaker 3: But Carter used the word temporarily. So does that mean the Paris Agreement goal is already lost? And you know, 2024 had a strong El Niño event, which is a natural warming cycle. How much of this is just nature doing its thing?
Speaker 2: That's an excellent and crucial question, Frank. No, a single year's breach doesn't mean the goal is permanently lost, as that refers to a long-term average. But it serves as a massive warning shot. It shows that the climate system is capable of reaching these dangerous levels now. And while El Niño played a role, it was riding on top of this powerful, long-term warming trend. The key isn't just one record year; its the accelerating rate of warming.
Speaker 1: Can you elaborate on that? The accelerating rate?
Speaker 2: Of course. Data from NOAA, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, shows that since 1982, the world has been warming at a rate of zero point two degrees Celsius per decade. Now, that might not sound like much, but its more than three times faster than the average rate since 1850. So, to answer your question, Frank, this isn't a natural blip. The engine is revving faster and faster.
Speaker 1: So let's talk about that engine. What's driving this acceleration? The report links it directly to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Speaker 2: Exactly. The physics are very direct. And in the last decade, the concentrations of these gases have soared to levels that are, frankly, unprecedented in human history. The IPCC's latest major report states with high confidence that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are now higher than at any time in at least two million years.
Speaker 4: Two million years. I... I can't even process that number. It feels like we're running a massive, uncontrolled experiment on our only home.
Speaker 2: Thats a good way to put it, Maya. To give you some concrete numbers, in 2024, the average concentration of carbon dioxide hit 422.7 parts per million. That's a full 50 percent higher than before the industrial age began. And just like with temperature, the rate of increase is accelerating. In the 1960s, it grew by about zero point eight parts per million per year. In the last ten years? It's averaged 2.6 parts per million per year. The year 2024 saw the largest single-year jump ever recorded.
Speaker 1: So the warming is accelerating, and the concentration of the gas causing the warming is also accelerating. This brings us to the core question, which is addressed in the second section of the report. The science of attribution. Carter, how certain are scientists that this is... us?
Speaker 2: The scientific community is as certain as it is about the theory of gravity. The IPCC uses the strongest possible language. The report states unequivocally that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. There's no ambiguity left.
Speaker 3: Unequivocal. That is a strong word. But what does that mean in practice? I mean, a lot of people hear this and think, okay, but how do they know it's not the sun, or volcanoes, or some other natural cycle?
Speaker 2: It's a fair question. Scientists know because they use incredibly sophisticated climate models. They run simulations of the last 150 years with only natural factors, like solar cycles and volcanic eruptions. And when they do that, the models completely fail to replicate the warming we've actually observed. They just can't get the temperature to rise. It's only when they add in the human-caused greenhouse gas emissions that the models accurately match the real-world temperature record.
Speaker 4: Oh, I see. So its like trying to solve a mystery. You test out all the natural suspects, and none of them can be the culprit. But when you add in the human suspect, the story suddenly makes perfect sense.
Speaker 2: That's a perfect analogy. The IPCC even quantifies it. The best estimate is that humans have caused about one point zero seven degrees Celsius of warming since the late 1800s. The total observed warming over that same period? About one point one degrees Celsius. So, we account for... basically all of it.
Speaker 3: Right. So if it's unequivocally us, what specific human activities are we talking about? When people say we need to cut emissions, what are we actually supposed to be cutting?
Speaker 1: Thats a perfect question, Frank. Carter, the report gets right into this. Can you break down the main sources for us?
Speaker 2: Absolutely. The picture is actually very clear. The primary driver, by a huge margin, is the burning of fossil fuels, so thats coal, oil, and natural gas. In 2019, about 79 percent of all global greenhouse gas emissions came from using fossil fuels across four main areas: energy production for electricity and heat, industry, transportation, and buildings.
Speaker 3: So it really isn't just about driving cars. I mean, that's what you always hear. But this is about how we power our homes, how we make things, our entire economic structure.
Speaker 2: Precisely. The power sector alone, which generates electricity and heat, is the single biggest contributor. And what's concerning is that even with the amazing growth of renewable energy, the International Energy Agency has pointed out that demand for oil and gas has stayed stubbornly high. We're still investing in new fossil fuel infrastructure, which creates a real risk of locking in these emissions for decades to come.
Speaker 4: You know, it's so easy to picture smokestacks and the tailpipes of cars when we talk about this. But the report mentions another big piece of the puzzle, right? Something about our land, about forests and farming?
Speaker 2: Yes, and it's a critical piece, Maya. The remaining 21 to 22 percent of emissions come from what scientists call AFOLU. That stands for Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use. This includes methane emissions from livestock, nitrous oxide from fertilizers, and, crucially, deforestation.
Speaker 1: And why is deforestation such a major factor?
Speaker 2: It delivers a devastating one-two punch. First, when we clear forests, primarily for agriculture, we release the massive amounts of carbon that were stored in those trees and soils directly into the atmosphere. Between 2015 and 2020, the world continued to lose an estimated 10 million hectares of forest every single year. Second, by destroying the forest, we're eliminating a vital natural carbon sink that would otherwise be absorbing CO2 from the air. So it adds carbon while also reducing the planet's ability to clean it up.
Speaker 1: So we have a very clear picture of the sources. This leads to the obvious question of what we are doing about it. The report talks about a persistent and vast emissions gap. Carter, what is that?
Speaker 2: The emissions gap is the difference between what countries have pledged to do and what the science says is actually required to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement. The United Nations Environment Programme releases a report on this every year, and the findings are stark. The 2023 report found that with the policies we have right now, the world is on a trajectory for a temperature rise of nearly 3 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.
Speaker 4: Three degrees... Carter, we were just talking about how damaging it is to even temporarily hit 1.5 degrees. Three sounds... catastrophic.
Speaker 2: It would be. To align with the 1.5 degree pathway, the report states that predicted global emissions in 2030 need to be cut by a staggering 42 percent from where they're heading now.
Speaker 3: Hold on a minute. A 42 percent cut by 2030? Carter, that's just a handful of years away. Is that even realistic? Are countries just not trying, or is the goal itself simply impossible for our modern world to achieve?
Speaker 2: It's an immense challenge, Frank, there's no question. The report does note that there has been some progress since the Paris Agreement was signed. Projected emissions for 2030 are lower now than they were expected to be a decade ago. However, this improvement is nowhere near the scale or speed that is required. So this gap... it really represents the collective failure of the world to turn political commitments into sufficient real-world action.
Speaker 4: And while governments and experts are debating these huge numbers and percentages, people on the ground are already feeling the effects. It feels like the consequences are here now, but the solutions are still stuck in negotiations.
Speaker 1: Maya, that is such a powerful point, and it leads us directly to one of the most significant scientific advancements of the past decade, which is the ability to link specific weather events directly to climate change. Carter, tell us about the science of attribution.
Speaker 2: This has been a game-changer. For a long time, we could only say that climate change makes certain types of events, like heatwaves, more likely in general. But now, attribution science allows scientists to provide robust, quantitative assessments of the role human-caused warming played in a specific, individual event.
Speaker 1: So how does that work, in simple terms?
Speaker 2: They use multiple climate models to compare the probability of a specific extreme event happening in the world as it is today, with all our emissions, to its probability in a counterfactual world, a simulated world without human-caused greenhouse gases. This allows them to say, with a calculated degree of confidence, how much more likely or how much more intense an event was made because of climate change.
Speaker 3: So youre saying that scientists can now point to a specific flood, or a specific wildfire, and actually put a number on it? They can say this was 50 percent worse, or ten times more likely, because of our emissions?
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly. The science has matured to that point. For example, studies have found that some recent heatwaves, like the one in the Pacific Northwest in 2021, would have been virtually impossible without human-induced climate change. This ability to quantify the human fingerprint on disasters is profound. It transforms climate change from a distant, future threat into a direct and measurable cause of the harm and damage people are experiencing today.
Speaker 1: And this science has profound implications, doesn't it, Carter? It means the conversation shifts from future projections to present-day accountability. So let's talk about those cascading consequences the report details. It frames extreme weather as the new normal. What does that actually look like?
Speaker 2: It looks like a world where the weather has fundamentally shifted gears. The science of attribution has now firmly linked the dramatic rise in the frequency and intensity of extreme events to human-caused warming. So what used to be a rare event is now becoming a regular occurrence. In 2024 alone, for example, there were over 600 reported extreme weather events.
Speaker 4: It really does feel that way. I mean, the summer heat seems to build earlier and last longer, and it feels more oppressive, more dangerous than I ever remember. And then, when the rain finally comes, it's not a gentle shower. It's a deluge that overwhelms everything.
Speaker 2: You've just described the mechanics of it perfectly, Maya. Extreme heat events have become more frequent and more severe. Temperatures hitting over 40 degrees Celsius, which is 104 degrees Fahrenheit, used to be a rarity in many places. Now, it's becoming common. And that heat leads to the paradox of the water cycle.
Speaker 3: A paradox? How so? It seems to me we're either in a drought or a flood. How can both be happening more often? It feels contradictory.
Speaker 2: It does, but they are two sides of the same coin. A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture, about 7 percent more for every single degree Celsius of warming. So when it does rain, the downpours are far heavier, which dramatically increases flood risk. In fact, since the year 2000, flood-related disasters have risen by 134 percent compared to the two decades before.
Speaker 1: But what about the drought side of that coin?
Speaker 2: At the same time, those higher temperatures bake the land. They increase evaporation from soil, from rivers, from reservoirs, leading to more rapid and severe droughts in many regions. This has given rise to a phenomenon that scientists are now calling climate whiplash, where a region can swing violently between a devastating drought one year and catastrophic floods the next. It just overwhelms our infrastructure and our ecosystems.
Speaker 1: And this combination of prolonged heat and severe drought creates a perfect storm for another disaster we see constantly on the news: wildfires.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Wildfire seasons have become longer and more intense in many parts of the world. Scientific analysis estimates that human-caused climate change has already doubled the area of forest burned in the Western United States in recent decades. And this creates a terrifying feedback loop. These megafires don't just destroy communities, they release enormous amounts of stored carbon back into the atmosphere, which in turn causes more warming, which then leads to more fires.
Speaker 4: I live in California, and that feedback loop is something you can feel in your bones. The fear during fire season is palpable. And even if you're not near the flames, the smoke can choke the sky for weeks. It's a constant, unhealthy reminder of what's happening.
Speaker 1: Maya, you've taken us right to the next critical point. These disasters are not just statistics. They have a direct and severe impact on our health. The report goes so far as to call climate change the greatest global health threat of the 21st century. Carter?
Speaker 2: It is, without a doubt. The impacts are extensive. Let's start with the most direct one: the heat itself. Extreme heat is one of the deadliest weather phenomena. The IPCC confirms with very high confidence that the increase in extreme heat has resulted in human mortality and morbidity in every region of the world.
Speaker 3: We hear about vulnerable people being at risk during heatwaves, which makes sense. But does it have a broader impact on the general population, on the economy?
Speaker 2: A massive one. The Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change, which is a major annual report, documented these record-breaking health threats. They estimated that in 2023, 3.4 billion potential labor hours were lost globally just due to people being exposed to extreme heat. Thats an increase of 69 percent compared to the average in the 1990s. So yes, it has huge economic and productivity impacts.
Speaker 1: And those are just the direct impacts of the heat itself. What about the less obvious health threats?
Speaker 2: They are just as concerning. A warmer world is a more hospitable world for the vectors that carry diseases. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expanding the geographic range for diseases like malaria, dengue, West Nile virus, and Lyme disease. We're seeing them appear in places they've never been before.
Speaker 4: And it must affect our food and water, the very foundations of our health.
Speaker 2: Absolutely. Climate change directly undermines both. The report notes that climate change has slowed the growth of agricultural productivity over the past 50 years. It's a key driver of the global food insecurity that affected, by some estimates, over 750 million people in 2023. At the same time, about half the world's population, that's four billion people, now experiences severe water scarcity for at least one month of the year, a situation made much worse by melting glaciers and prolonged droughts.
Speaker 4: And beyond all the physical ailments, there has to be a psychological toll. The stress of living with this uncertainty, the trauma of surviving a disaster, the anxiety about what the future holds for your children. The report touches on mental health, doesn't it?
Speaker 2: It does. This is a growing and critical area of concern. The IPCC has now clearly associated increasing temperatures and the trauma from extreme events with significant challenges to mental health. This includes post-traumatic stress disorder after a disaster, anxiety and depression when people lose their homes or livelihoods, and a broader condition people are calling eco-anxiety, especially among young people, about the future of the planet.
Speaker 1: And this idea of a psychological toll, this eco-anxiety, leads to another form of stress: financial. The report makes it clear that the economic consequences of climate change have become impossible to ignore over the last decade. Carter, can you start by outlining the scale of these costs?
Speaker 2: The scale is immense, and it's escalating rapidly. The most direct measure we have comes from the global reinsurance industry, the companies that insure the insurance companies. Data from the Swiss Re Institute shows that for five consecutive years, from 2020 through 2024, the global insured losses from natural catastrophes have surpassed 100 billion US dollars.
Speaker 3: Okay, 100 billion is a massive number. But you have to wonder, isn't some of that just due to inflation, or the simple fact that we've built more expensive homes and cities in high-risk areas like coastlines? Are the storms themselves really causing more financial damage, or do we just have more valuable things in their way?
Speaker 2: That's a very important point, Frank. And yes, growing asset values in vulnerable areas, what they call exposure, is definitely a part of the story. However, the data clearly shows that the primary driver of the upward trend is the increased frequency and intensity of the severe weather events themselves. For example, in 2024, the total economic losses from natural disasters hit an estimated 318 billion dollars. The insured portion was 137 billion. The rest was uninsured.
Speaker 1: So more than half of all the losses were not covered by insurance. What does the report say about that?
Speaker 2: It refers to this as the protection gap, and this gap is widening. In 2024, 57 percent of all global economic losses from these catastrophes were uninsured. This is a huge problem, especially in developing countries where very few people have insurance. For these communities, a single disaster can wipe out years of economic development and trap them in a cycle of poverty and recovery.
Speaker 4: And this isn't just an abstract global statistic. I mean, we see it in our own communities. We hear stories of insurance premiums skyrocketing to the point where they are unaffordable. Or worse, insurance companies simply pulling out of entire states like Florida or California because the risk of wildfire or flooding has become too high. This creates this incredible financial stress for families who are just trying to protect their homes.
Speaker 1: And it's not just private homes and property. Our shared public infrastructure is also facing enormous risks.
Speaker 2: That's right. Our entire modern society, the energy grids, transportation networks, water treatment plants, they were all designed and built for a climate that no longer exists.
Speaker 2: Sea level rise directly threatens ports and coastal cities, extreme heat puts an incredible strain on power grids, and intense flooding can destroy roads and bridges. The World Bank has warned that the cost of inaction, particularly in terms of damage to infrastructure, could run into the trillions of dollars.
Speaker 3: Trillions in damage. But fixing it would also cost trillions. I mean, upgrading a nation's entire power grid or rebuilding its coastal defenses requires a colossal upfront investment. Where is that money supposed to come from, especially for countries that are already struggling?
Speaker 2: It's a major challenge, but the analysis shows that inaction is far more expensive. The World Bank estimates that for every one dollar invested in making infrastructure more climate-resilient now, we could see a benefit of four dollars in avoided damages and disruptions down the road. Its a classic case of an ounce of prevention being worth a pound of cure.
Speaker 1: When homes are destroyed, infrastructure fails, and livelihoods are lost, people are inevitably forced to move. The report identifies climate change as a powerful driver of human displacement.
Speaker 2: Yes, it acts as a threat multiplier. The number of forcibly displaced people worldwide has nearly doubled in the last ten years, reaching an estimated 123.2 million by the end of 2024.
Speaker 2: And while conflict is still a primary driver, the IPCC states with high confidence that climate and weather extremes are increasingly forcing people from their homes on every single continent. In fact, 2024 saw the highest number of new displacements from extreme weather in 16 years.
Speaker 3: I understand the numbers, but I think it's tricky to label someone a climate refugee. People move for all sorts of reasons, for better jobs, to escape poverty, for family. How can you really untangle all those factors and say with certainty that someone was displaced specifically by climate change?
Speaker 2: You've hit on the core of the issue. It's rarely a single cause, which is why the term threat multiplier is so accurate. A drought, for example, can kill crops, which leads to economic collapse, which can then lead to resource conflicts, and all of those factors together push people to move.
Speaker 2: Climate change is the spark that ignites these other pre-existing vulnerabilities. And the report highlights a chilling statistic on this point: between 2010 and 2020, the death rate from floods, droughts, and storms was 15 times higher in highly vulnerable regions compared to the most secure ones.
Speaker 4: And it's not just people who are being displaced and harmed. It's... it's everything else. The entire web of life that supports us.
Speaker 1: Thats a vital point, Maya. The report draws a direct line between the climate crisis and the broader biodiversity crisis that's happening all around us. Carter?
Speaker 2: Yes, the two are deeply intertwined. Climate change is a primary driver of what many scientists now refer to as the Earth's sixth mass extinction. A landmark global assessment from the IPBES warned that an estimated one million animal and plant species are now threatened with extinction, many within decades.
Speaker 2: While land use change is currently the biggest driver, climate change is projected to become as, or even more, important in the coming decades.
Speaker 1: Can you give us a concrete example of this happening right now?
Speaker 2: The most potent symbol is the fate of the world's coral reefs. The last decade has been catastrophic for them. The Great Barrier Reef, for instance, has suffered six mass coral bleaching events just since 2015.
Speaker 2: These are caused by prolonged marine heatwaves that literally cook the coral, causing them to expel their symbiotic algae and turn white. The increasing frequency of these heatwaves leaves no time for the reefs to recover.
Speaker 4: Its so hard to hear that. Losing the coral reefs… it's like imagining a world without the Amazon rainforest. It's a loss so profound you can't even begin to calculate the cost. A world that's just… less alive.
Speaker 2: And the science is very clear on this. Scientists warn that if global warming exceeds the 1.5 degree target, over 90 percent of the world's tropical coral reefs could be lost by the middle of this century. It's a devastating blow to marine biodiversity and to the millions of people who depend on those reefs for their food and their livelihoods.
Speaker 1: That is an incredibly sobering thought, Maya. A world that is simply less alive. We've spent this time detailing an accelerating crisis with devastating impacts on our health, our economy, and the very biodiversity of the planet. Its a stark picture. But the world has not been completely idle. The final section of the report assesses the global response.
Speaker 1: Carter, the central pillar of international climate policy over the past decade has been the Paris Agreement, adopted back in 2015. For listeners who may not remember the details, can you remind us what it set out to achieve?
Speaker 2: Of course. The Paris Agreement was a genuine diplomatic breakthrough. For the first time, it brought all nations, both developed and developing, into a common framework to combat climate change. Its main goals are to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit that temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 1: And how was it designed to achieve that? What's the actual mechanism?
Speaker 2: The agreement operates on a five-year cycle of what's called ratcheting ambition. The idea is that countries are required to submit their own national climate action plans, which are known as Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs. Then, every five years, they are supposed to come back to the table with a new, stronger plan that is more ambitious than their last one.
Speaker 3: Okay, hold on. Nationally Determined Contributions. That sounds like a lot of diplomatic jargon. If I'm hearing you right, does that just mean that every country gets to make up its own plan, and there's no real penalty or enforcement if they don't follow it or if their plan is too weak?
Speaker 2: You're not wrong, Frank. It is not an international treaty with a heavy-handed enforcement mechanism in the traditional sense. It's a framework that is built more on transparency, reporting, and a kind of global peer pressure. The idea is that by having everyone's commitments out in the open, and by regularly taking stock of our collective progress, countries will be encouraged and expected to ramp up their efforts over time.
Speaker 4: So its less of a strict global law and more of a collective promise. A set of promises, really. But based on everything we've talked about today, from the shattered temperature records to the accelerating ice melt, it seems like those promises are being broken.
Speaker 1: Maya, that takes us directly to what the report calls the ambition gap. Carter, you explained the process. Now let's talk about the reality. How big is the shortfall between what countries have promised in their NDCs and what the science tells us we actually need to do?
Speaker 2: The shortfall is massive. It's a chasm, really. The most recent analysis from the United Nations, which looked at the latest pledges from 195 countries, concluded that we are falling miles short of what's needed. If every country fully implemented its current pledges, we would see a global emission reduction of only about 5.9 percent by 2030 compared to 2019 levels.
Speaker 4: Only six percent? That sounds tiny. How does that compare to the goal?
Speaker 2: Well, the IPCC, the main scientific body, has found that to keep the 1.5 degree limit within reach, our emissions need to be slashed by at least 43 percent by 2030. So we are pledging for a six percent cut when we need a 43 percent cut.
Speaker 2: This gap means that the sum of all these national promises currently has the world on a trajectory toward a catastrophic level of warming somewhere between 2.5 and 2.9 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 3: That's just astounding. It's not a gap, its a total disconnect from reality. So these huge annual conferences, the COPs we hear about on the news every year with all the world leaders, what are they actually achieving if the numbers are still this bad? Is it just a talking shop?
Speaker 2: That's a criticism you hear a lot, and there is a great deal of frustration. These conferences are the primary venue for negotiating how to implement the Paris Agreement. They have produced some important outcomes. For instance, COP28 in Dubai produced the first ever global stocktake, which is essentially the world's climate report card. And it ended with a historic, first-ever call for countries to begin transitioning away from fossil fuels.
Speaker 4: But Carter, the language there seems so important. I remember the debate was about a phase-out of fossil fuels, but the final agreement was to transition away from them. It feels like very carefully chosen, watered-down language. Does that kind of subtle change in wording actually lead to real-world action, or does it just give countries a loophole?
Speaker 2: That is the heart of the debate. Many nations were deeply disappointed that the language wasn't stronger. The hope is that even that language signals a clear direction to the global economy. That same conference also established a global goal to triple renewable energy capacity and double the rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030, which are very concrete targets.
Speaker 1: And what about the most recent conference mentioned in the report, COP29?
Speaker 2: That was dubbed the Finance COP. Its main job was to agree on a new climate finance goal to help developing nations. After very contentious negotiations, they agreed that developed countries should lead in mobilizing at least 300 billion dollars per year by 2035 for developing nations. But again, many of those nations expressed deep disappointment, stating that this number falls far, far short of their estimated needs, which are in the trillions.
Speaker 1: This seems to be a recurring theme of falling short. Let's shift from the policy to the other major part of the response, which is technology. Here, the report does seem to highlight one area as a significant success story. And that is the renewables revolution.
Speaker 2: Yes, this has been the brightest spot of the last decade without a doubt. We've seen an absolutely explosive growth of renewable energy technologies, especially solar panels and wind power. This was driven by incredible innovation and economies of scale, and it caused the costs of solar and wind to plummet.
Speaker 2: They are now the cheapest sources of new electricity generation in most of the world. To give you a sense of the scale, in 2023, the world added a record 473 gigawatts of new renewable capacity. The International Energy Agency even forecasts that this year, in 2025, renewables will overtake coal as the single largest source of global electricity.
Speaker 3: Thats genuinely good news, and everyone loves seeing cheaper energy. But I noticed the report also says that we are still not on track to meet that COP28 goal of tripling renewable capacity by 2030.
Speaker 3: Why is that? If this technology is so cheap and effective, why aren't we just building it everywhere, all the time, as fast as we possibly can? What's the hold-up?
Speaker 2: It's a great question, Frank. The momentum is incredible, but the scale of the challenge is even bigger. To achieve that tripling goal, we would need to be adding, on average, around 1,050 gigawatts of new capacity every single year for the rest of the decade.
Speaker 2: That's more than double the record we just set in 2023. The barriers are no longer primarily about cost; they are about things like modernizing our electrical grids to handle this new type of energy, overcoming supply chain bottlenecks for components, and streamlining the permitting processes to get projects built faster. So even in this huge success story, there is a major gap between our current progress and the required pace of change.
Speaker 1: So, Carter, even our biggest technological success story, renewable energy, is facing a challenge of sheer scale and speed. The report points to another critical tool in the toolbox, something often called the first fuel, which is energy efficiency.
Speaker 3: Now this is something that just seems like pure common sense to me. Using less energy to get the same result, whether it's an efficient appliance or an insulated home. It saves people money on their bills, it reduces strain on the power grid, and it cuts emissions. It seems like the absolute lowest-hanging fruit. Why aren't we talking about this constantly?
Speaker 2: You are absolutely right, Frank. Improving energy efficiency is the cheapest and cleanest way to address our energy needs, which is why the COP28 goal to double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030 is so critical. But the reality, as the report lays out, has been deeply disappointing.
Speaker 1: How so? What does the data show?
Speaker 2: After a brief speed-up in 2022, which was mostly in response to the global energy crisis, the rate of global energy intensity improvement slowed way down to just one percent in both 2023 and 2024. To be on a pathway to net-zero emissions, we need that rate to be averaging around four percent per year. So we are falling far short. The report effectively calls it a major and concerning policy failure on a global scale.
Speaker 1: So if we're failing on the common-sense goal of efficiency, what about the more high-tech solutions that promise to clean up our existing emissions? Carter, the report spends some time on Carbon Capture, Utilisation, and Storage, or CCUS.
Speaker 3: Again, on the surface, this sounds like a pragmatic solution. For those really difficult industries that are hard to electrify, like making cement or steel, why not just build a system to capture the carbon dioxide before it ever gets into the atmosphere? It seems like a logical way to solve the problem without having to completely shut down these essential industries overnight.
Speaker 2: And that is exactly how it is often presented, Frank, as a necessary solution for these hard-to-abate sectors. And there is a lot of momentum in terms of announcements. The report notes there are over 700 projects in various stages of development. However, it also points to a massive gap between those announcements and the operational reality.
Speaker 4: What do you mean by that? A gap between announcements and reality?
Speaker 2: As of early 2024, the total global operational capacity for capturing CO2 was just over 50 million tonnes per year. That is a tiny fraction of what has been announced or proposed for 2030. And critically, only 20 percent of that announced capacity had actually reached a final investment decision.
Speaker 2: This indicates that most of these projects are still just on the drawing board, they are not yet real. So deployment has consistently and significantly lagged behind the expectations and the promises.
Speaker 4: You know, I have to wonder if there's a risk here that this technology just becomes an excuse. A way for fossil fuel companies and heavy industries to continue polluting under the promise that someday, in the future, they'll be able to clean it all up. It feels like it could be a dangerous distraction from the real work of actually cutting emissions at the source.
Speaker 1: Speaking of potentially dangerous and controversial ideas, the report mentions that as the world falls further behind on emissions reductions, there is a growing, albeit highly contentious, interest in something called solar geoengineering. Carter, can you even begin to explain what that is?
Speaker 2: I can try. It's also sometimes called solar radiation modification. This refers to a set of hypothetical technologies that are designed to cool the planet by reflecting a small fraction of incoming sunlight back out to space. The most commonly discussed method is called stratospheric aerosol injection, which would involve spraying reflective particles, like sulfur dioxide, into the upper atmosphere to mimic the cooling effect of a large volcanic eruption.
Speaker 4: That sounds absolutely terrifying. I mean, the idea of us deliberately conducting a planetary-scale experiment with our only atmosphere, when we can't possibly predict all the consequences… it just feels like the height of human arrogance. We've already made one huge mess by pumping carbon dioxide into the air; this sounds like a way to make another, potentially even worse, mess.
Speaker 2: Your reaction, Maya, captures the essence of the controversy. The scientific community is extremely cautious. The report emphasizes that geoengineering is not a substitute for cutting emissions. It does not address the root cause of the problem, which is the greenhouse gas blanket, and it carries immense and poorly understood risks.
Speaker 2: It could potentially disrupt regional weather patterns, harm the ozone layer, and it creates a moral hazard by possibly reducing the incentive for us to do the hard work of decarbonizing our economies.
Speaker 1: So it's seen as a last-ditch, break-glass-in-case-of-emergency option with huge potential side effects. Maya, your point about the arrogance of these high-tech ideas is well taken. And while we're discussing these futuristic and risky technologies, the report highlights a profound failure in a much more basic and immediate area: finance and justice for the people already suffering the consequences. Carter, can you explain what the report calls the adaptation finance gap?
Speaker 2: This is one of the most sobering findings in the entire report. While much of the focus is on mitigation, which is cutting emissions, adaptation, which is preparing for the impacts of climate change, is equally critical, especially for the world's most vulnerable nations. The UNEP Adaptation Gap Report revealed a staggering shortfall in funding.
Speaker 1: How big is the shortfall?
Speaker 2: The report estimates that the annual adaptation finance needs of developing countries are somewhere between 215 billion and 387 billion dollars. In stark contrast, the total international public finance that flowed to these countries for adaptation in 2021 was just 21 billion dollars, which was actually a 15 percent decline from the year before.
Speaker 2: This means the actual needs are 10 to 18 times greater than the funds that are actually being provided, leaving the most vulnerable communities dangerously exposed and underprepared.
Speaker 3: I understand the need is great, but why is this framed as a justice issue? Isn't every country ultimately responsible for protecting its own citizens and adapting to its own challenges?
Speaker 2: That question gets to the very core of the UN climate negotiations. The entire process is built upon a foundational principle known as common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities. It's a bit of a mouthful, but the concept is straightforward.
Speaker 2: It acknowledges that while all nations share a common responsibility to protect the global climate, the developed countries, which have been industrializing for over a century, bear a much greater historical responsibility for causing the problem in the first place. They also possess far greater financial and technological capabilities to address it.
Speaker 4: So its the idea that the polluter should pay. The ones who created the mess have a greater obligation to help clean it up, and to help protect those who are most harmed by it.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Climate justice frameworks articulate this through the concept of a double inequality. The very people and nations who have contributed the least to the emissions that cause climate change are the ones who are suffering the earliest and most severe consequences.
Speaker 2: Therefore, a just global response requires that the developed nations lead the way in making the deepest emissions cuts, and that they provide substantial financial and technological support to help developing nations adapt to the impacts they did little to cause.
Speaker 1: Carter, you were just explaining this core principle of climate justice, that the nations with the greatest historical responsibility for emissions also have the greatest capacity to help solve the problem.
Speaker 2: Yes, and it builds on what Maya was saying. Its about recognizing the profound unfairness, the, uh, double inequality that lies at the heart of the climate crisis. The people who are most harmed are the ones who did the least to cause the problem. Think about it, uh, a farmer in the Sahel whose land is turning to desert, or a family in a low-lying island nation whose home is threatened by sea level rise… their contribution to historical emissions is practically zero.
Speaker 4: So what you're saying is, that farmer, whose crops are failing from a drought they had no part in creating, is right now paying a much, much higher price than someone in a wealthy country who has, you know, benefited from a century of industrial development powered by fossil fuels.
Speaker 2: That is the injustice in a nutshell. And so, the framework for a just response is built on that understanding. It means developed nations have a moral and ethical obligation to lead with deep, rapid emissions cuts. And, crucially, it means they have an obligation to provide significant financial and technological support to help developing nations build clean economies and adapt to the impacts they are already facing.
Speaker 3: I understand the moral argument. I do. But from a purely practical standpoint, it seems incredibly complicated. I mean, how far back do you go to assign this historical responsibility? Are you trying to calculate the emissions of the United Kingdom from the 1880s? It feels like an impossibly complex way to assign blame.
Speaker 2: That's a fair point, Frank, and you know, its less about calculating precise historical blame and more about acknowledging the reality of the present day. The framework is not about punishing past generations. It's about recognizing which nations today have the accumulated wealth, the technology, and the stable institutions—many of which were built on that history of fossil-fueled development—to lead the global response. Its about capability and responsibility in the here and now.
Speaker 1: This whole conversation about justice, responsibility, and the immense shortfall in support really underscores the urgency of the crisis. And perhaps nothing in this entire report highlights that urgency more than the growing scientific understanding of a concept known as climate tipping points. Carter, for our listeners, what exactly is a tipping point?
Speaker 2: It is probably the most sobering concept in all of climate science. The IPCC defines a tipping point as a critical threshold in the Earth's system. Once that threshold is crossed, a part of the system could trigger an abrupt, cascading, and potentially irreversible change.
Speaker 1: Abrupt and irreversible. Those are two very powerful words. What does irreversible mean in this context?
Speaker 2: It means that even if we managed to cool the planet back down later, the system might not flip back. The change could be locked in for centuries, or even millennia. We could pass a point of no return.
Speaker 4: That is… a terrifying thought. So what are these systems? What parts of the planet are we talking about?
Speaker 2: Scientists have identified several large-scale components of the Earth system that may have these tipping points. The most commonly discussed are the great ice sheets. Were talking about the irreversible collapse of the Greenland and the West Antarctic ice sheets.
Speaker 1: And what would be the consequence of something like that?
Speaker 2: Well, uh, together, those two ice sheets hold enough frozen water to raise the global mean sea level by over 10 meters. That's about 33 feet.
Speaker 4: Ten meters… I… I cant even comprehend that. That's not just flooding. That is wiping entire cities, entire island nations, completely off the map for good.
Speaker 2: Yes, the consequences would be civilization-altering. And another major tipping element is in the oceans themselves. A major slowdown or even a shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, often called the AMOC.
Speaker 3: The AMOC. I've heard of that, but it sounds like something out of a disaster movie. What does this current actually do for us?
Speaker 2: It's a massive system of ocean currents that acts like a conveyor belt, transporting warm water from the tropics up to the North Atlantic. It plays a huge role in regulating weather patterns, especially in the Northern Hemisphere.
Speaker 2: A collapse of this system would drastically alter weather across North America and Europe, causing, you know, extreme cooling in some places, changing rainfall patterns, and disrupting monsoons that billions of people depend on for their food.
Speaker 1: So we have the ice and the oceans. What else?
Speaker 2: Then we have the biosphere systems. There are two major ones scientists are deeply concerned about. The first is the potential dieback of the Amazon rainforest.
Speaker 1: So the Amazon could go from being this vital carbon sink that helps us, to becoming a major carbon source that actually hurts us?
Speaker 2: Precisely. Large parts of the forest could transition into a drier, savanna-like ecosystem. And in doing so, it would release the vast quantities of carbon stored in its trees and soil, which would create a powerful feedback loop that accelerates even more global warming.
Speaker 4: And the other one? You hear people talk about a ticking carbon bomb in the arctic. Is that what you mean?
Speaker 2: That's the one. The abrupt, widespread thawing of permafrost. This is the permanently frozen ground in the arctic regions, and it contains enormous amounts of organic carbon that has been locked away for thousands of years. As it thaws, microbes decompose that organic matter and release it into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide and, even more potently, methane. This is another one of those dangerous feedback loops.
Speaker 1: So Carter, we have these massive, continent-scale systems that could fundamentally break. I think for a long time, many of us thought of these tipping points as very distant risks. You know, things that might happen if warming got really, really bad, say, at five or six degrees Celsius. What does the latest science in the report say about that?
Speaker 2: This, Alice, is perhaps the single most concerning finding to emerge in the last few years of research. The scientific consensus has shifted. Those early estimates that suggested these were high-warming risks have been revised. The latest research, which is cited in the IPCC reports, indicates that the temperature thresholds for triggering some of these tipping points may be much, much lower than we previously thought.
Speaker 3: How much lower are we talking about?
Speaker 2: The latest studies indicate that several of these major tipping points, including the collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, the shutdown of the AMOC, and widespread permafrost thaw, could potentially be triggered at warming levels between 1.5 and 2.0 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 4: But wait a minute. Carter, you said at the very, very beginning of our conversation that the world already temporarily breached 1.5 degrees of warming in 2024. If the trigger point is 1.5 degrees, what does that mean for us right now?
Speaker 2: It means… well, it means that the risk is no longer a distant, abstract threat for future generations. It places the possibility of crossing these irreversible thresholds squarely within the realm of possibility this century. It moves the conversation from the future into the immediate present.
Speaker 2: And, you know, it adds a profound, almost existential urgency to the need for immediate, deep, and drastic emissions reductions. The window of opportunity to steer away from these points is closing, and it is closing very, very rapidly.
Speaker 1: That is a deeply unsettling reality to confront, Carter. And Maya, I see you reacting to that. When you hear that the 1.5 degree line, which weve talked about for so long as this future guardrail, is not only something we've touched but is also the potential trigger for these irreversible changes… what does that feel like?
Speaker 4: You know, it… it almost takes your breath away. It feels like we've been driving towards a cliff in the fog, arguing about how fast we should be going. And Carter is saying the fog has just cleared, and we're right at the edge. Were there. That's a very, very hard thing to fully process.
Speaker 3: It is. And it brings up a really difficult, practical question for me. If we're already on the verge of crossing these irreversible thresholds, what is the point of all this? I mean, does a 43 percent emissions cut by 2030, which already seems impossible, even matter anymore if the fuse has already been lit on something like the Greenland ice sheet? Have we… have we already lost the game?
Speaker 2: Frank, that is the most important question anyone can ask right now. And the conclusion of the report, uh, argues that this is precisely why our actions now matter more than they ever have before. The first major conclusion is that the defining characteristic of the last decade is non-linear acceleration.
Speaker 1: Okay, non-linear acceleration. Break that down for us.
Speaker 2: Think of it like a car that's rolling down a hill. But the hill isn't a steady slope; it's a curve that gets steeper and steeper as you go. So for every foot you travel, your speed increases more than it did in the previous foot. You are accelerating exponentially, not in a straight line, not arithmetically. Thats whats happening to our planetary systems. The risks are growing at an accelerating rate.
Speaker 1: So every fraction of a degree of warming we can prevent now, every year we can act faster, has a much bigger impact in preventing that future acceleration than it would have twenty or thirty years ago.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Its what scientists call positive feedback loops becoming more potent. So, to answer Franks question, its the absolute opposite of the game being lost. It means the stakes of our actions in the next five to ten years are higher than they have ever been in human history. Every ton of carbon we keep out of the atmosphere now pays huge dividends in slowing down that terrifying acceleration toward those tipping points.
Speaker 1: And the report also concludes that these are not isolated problems, correct? It talks about a cascade of interconnected crises.
Speaker 2: Yes, that's the second key takeaway. We can no longer think of climate impacts as a series of separate events. A drought is not just a lack of water. It is a trigger. It triggers failures in the food system when crops fail. It triggers failures in the economic system when farmers lose their livelihoods.
Speaker 2: It triggers, you know, public health crises from malnutrition and water-borne diseases. It can even culminate in social instability and displacement. Climate change is a threat multiplier that makes all our existing vulnerabilities worse.
Speaker 4: You can really see that in real life, cant you? I mean, a wildfire isn't just a fire anymore. It becomes a public health crisis for millions of people breathing in the smoke. It's an economic crisis for the entire region. It becomes a water crisis months later when the first heavy rains wash toxic ash and debris into the reservoirs. You realize that one event pulls on all the other threads that hold our society together. Everything is connected.
Speaker 2: Thats a perfect way to put it, Maya. And because everything is connected, the report concludes that our response has to be holistic. We cant have siloed policies that address energy, or agriculture, or public health in isolation. They are all part of the same interconnected challenge.
Speaker 1: This brings us to the third, and perhaps the toughest, conclusion from the report. Which is that our global response, as it stands today, is being dangerously outpaced by the physical reality of climate change.
Speaker 2: That's the hard truth of the last decade. Despite all the meetings and the progress on renewables, the response remains critically insufficient. The report concludes that this failure is defined by three persistent and widening gaps. First is the ambition gap we already discussed, the gap between the weak climate pledges from countries and what science clearly shows is necessary.
Speaker 1: And the second?
Speaker 2: The second is the adaptation finance gap, which we just covered. The massive shortfall in funding that leaves the worlds most vulnerable populations essentially undefended against the coming storms and droughts. And the third is the justice gap, which undermines the trust and cooperation that are absolutely essential for any kind of effective global solution.
Speaker 3: So if I'm hearing this correctly, the reports ultimate conclusion is that our primary problem is no longer a technological one. We have the solar panels, we have the wind turbines, we have the efficiency solutions. The report is saying that the biggest barriers now are political, financial, and social. It's about a lack of political will, a failure to mobilize the necessary funds, and a failure to address the core injustices of the crisis.
Speaker 2: That is the absolute crux of the conclusion. Technology is a vital tool, an essential tool, but it is not a silver bullet. The primary obstacles are now in our halls of government, in our financial institutions, and, uh, in our collective willingness to face this reality and act at the scale it requires.
Speaker 1: So after this incredibly detailed and, frankly, alarming look back at the last decade, where does this leave us? We have a planet in a state of acceleration. We've temporarily breached the 1.5 degree threshold. And the risk of irreversible tipping points is no longer a future problem, but a present-day danger. Maya, I want to start with you. Whats your final takeaway?
Speaker 4: It leaves me feeling that the time for simply being worried, or for abstract hope, is over. The only appropriate response to this level of evidence is determined action. This report is a story written in data, and it's telling us we have to transform this stark awareness into real, tangible work in our communities and demand it from our leaders. Theres no time for anything else.
Speaker 1: Frank?
Speaker 3: It leaves me thinking that we need to have a much more honest and pragmatic conversation about the real-world costs and trade-offs. Weve talked about technology and policy, but this report makes it clear that the real fight is over politics and economics. And until we tackle that head-on, with honesty, we'll keep falling short.
Speaker 1: And Carter, a final thought from you.
Speaker 2: The science has been clear for a long time, but the evidence from this past decade is definitive. You know, this period from 2015 to 2025 will be remembered as the decade the consequences of our inaction became undeniable. That temporary breach of 1.5 degrees served as a final, unambiguous warning. The scientific challenge now is to monitor these accelerating changes. But the human challenge is to finally close those gaps between promises and performance, before those tipping points are crossed for good.
Speaker 1: Carter, that is a powerful and frankly stark place to end, on the precipice of these tipping points with the clock running out. But... you know, before we wrap up completely, I want to hold on that last thought. The human challenge. I feel we can't end just with the warning. I want to pivot from the problems we've detailed so thoroughly to the specific pathways forward that are emerging. Beyond the high-level policy failures, where are the new fronts in this challenge?
Speaker 2: That's a crucial pivot to make, Alice. Because, uh, despair is paralyzing. And despite the failures, there are new strategies and, you know, new arenas of action that are gaining momentum.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about one of those. We've mentioned the justice gap and the economic challenges. What about the people, the workers and communities, whose entire livelihoods are tied to the fossil fuel industries we need to transition away from?
Speaker 2: You're talking about the concept of a Just Transition. And you know, this has become a central part of the conversation because it's both morally right and politically essential. A Just Transition means ensuring that the shift to a green economy is fair and inclusive. It means we don't leave coal miners, oil rig workers, and entire communities that depend on these industries behind.
Speaker 3: This is something I think is critical. You can't just tell millions of people that their jobs, their skills, their histories are obsolete without a concrete plan. You know, you'd have massive social and political unrest. For people to buy into this massive economic shift, they have to see a future for themselves in it. A real plan for retraining, for new jobs in clean energy manufacturing or grid modernization, that is absolutely essential.
Speaker 4: And it's more than just jobs, isn't it? It's about identity and community. For generations, some towns have been defined by the local power plant or the mine. A just transition means investing in those places, helping them to diversify and build a new economic foundation that honors their heritage but, you know, allows them to thrive in a different kind of future. It's about respecting people while we make these big changes.
Speaker 1: So ensuring the transition is fair is one emerging pathway. Maya, you just mentioned respecting people and their heritage. What about respecting nature itself? The report touched on biodiversity. Are we starting to see a move towards working with nature to solve this?
Speaker 4: I hope so. Because for so long it feels like we've been trying to invent some new machine to fix the problems our last machine created. It just seems so obvious that we should be looking to nature, which has been regulating the climate for millions of years, for solutions.
Speaker 2: And that intuition is now a major field of action called Nature-Based Solutions. The idea is to use the power of healthy ecosystems to help us. And, you know, the benefits are often twofold. For example, restoring coastal mangrove forests. Mangroves are incredible at absorbing carbon, but they also act as a natural sea wall, protecting coastal communities from storm surges far more effectively and cheaply than a concrete barrier.
Speaker 1: So it helps with both mitigation, by absorbing carbon, and adaptation, by providing protection.
Speaker 2: Exactly. And there are many other examples. Reforestation and afforestation, uh, planting trees, to draw down carbon from the atmosphere. Regenerative agriculture, which involves farming practices that restore the health of the soil, turning it back into a powerful carbon sink. These solutions don't just fight climate change; they also restore biodiversity, they clean our water, and they can make our food systems more resilient.
Speaker 1: So much of the report focused on the failures of national governments to act. But we know a lot of the real-world changes happen at a more local level. What about the role of cities and even large corporations? Are they stepping up to fill the leadership vacuum?
Speaker 2: In many cases, yes. Cities are often more agile and pragmatic than national governments. Networks like the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group are hubs of innovation. You know, cities are where you see real progress on electrifying public transport, creating greener buildings, and improving waste management, all of which have a huge impact on emissions.
Speaker 3: That makes sense. But what about the private sector? We hear every major company in the world announcing some kind of a net-zero by 2050 target. How much of that is real, tangible action, and how much of it is just good public relations? You know, just greenwashing? Is anyone actually holding them accountable for these promises?
Speaker 2: That is the billion-dollar question, Frank. And you're right to be skeptical. The last few years have seen a surge in these pledges, but there's also been a surge in scrutiny. There is a huge push now to move companies beyond vague promises towards transparent, science-based targets for the near term. We're seeing a real divide emerge between the companies that are genuinely transforming their business models and those that are, uh, frankly, just trying to improve their image. Accountability is still a massive work in progress.
Speaker 1: So if governments are slow and corporations can't always be trusted, what other avenues for accountability are emerging? Where else are people pushing for change?
Speaker 2: One of the most dynamic and, you know, potentially powerful new fronts is in the courtroom. We are seeing a huge increase in what is called climate litigation.
Speaker 4: So, people are actually suing governments and companies over climate change?
Speaker 2: Yes, all over the world. Citizens, activist groups, cities, and even states are taking national governments to court to force them to adopt stronger climate policies, arguing that inaction violates their fundamental human rights to a healthy environment.
Speaker 2: And, connecting back to our earlier conversation, they are also suing the major fossil fuel companies. They are using that attribution science we discussed to directly link the emissions from a company's products to the specific harms and financial damages their communities have suffered from floods, wildfires, and sea level rise. It's a new and rapidly evolving way to demand accountability.
Speaker 1: And Carter, thats a fascinating development. The idea that a courtroom could become a key battleground for climate action. Frank, you look skeptical.
Speaker 3: Well, I am. I mean, it sounds good in a headline, "Activists Sue Oil Giant." But do these lawsuits actually work? It seems like they would get tied up in court for decades, with armies of corporate lawyers. Can a lawsuit really change the course of a multi-trillion-dollar global industry?
Speaker 2: It's a valid skepticism, Frank. And you're right, it's not a quick fix. But, uh, the impact isn't just about winning a single huge payout. These cases create enormous pressure. They force companies to disclose internal documents, they generate negative publicity, and, you know, they establish a legal record of responsibility. It fundamentally changes the risk calculation for these industries and their investors.
Speaker 4: And it changes the story, doesn't it? It reframes this from being a sort of blameless, collective problem to one of specific, attributable harm. It says, you knew about the damage your product would cause, and you did it anyway. That's a powerful narrative.
Speaker 1: So beyond the courtroom, what other economic tools are being discussed to drive this transition? The report mentions things like carbon pricing. Carter, what does that actually mean?
Speaker 2: Carbon pricing is a very direct economic strategy. It's about putting a price on carbon pollution to discourage its use. There are two main ways to do it. You can have a straightforward carbon tax, where the government sets a price per ton of carbon emitted. Or you can have a cap-and-trade system, where the government sets a limit, a cap, on total emissions, and then allows companies to buy and sell permits to emit.
Speaker 3: Okay, but let's be honest about what that means. A carbon tax just gets passed on to the consumer, right? It means higher gas prices, higher heating bills. It seems like a policy that would disproportionately hurt lower-income families and working people, while the big corporations just factor it into the cost of doing business.
Speaker 2: That is the single biggest and most important concern with carbon pricing, Frank. And if it's designed poorly, that's exactly what can happen. However, a well-designed system can actually be equitable. For example, some proposals are for a carbon fee and dividend system.
Speaker 1: A dividend? So you get money back?
Speaker 2: Exactly. The revenue collected from the carbon tax isn't just kept by the government. It's returned directly to citizens on an equal, per-person basis. In that system, most lower and middle-income families would actually come out ahead. They would get more back in the dividend than they pay in higher energy costs, because wealthier people tend to have a much larger carbon footprint.
Speaker 4: You know, it's also about what costs we're already paying. We don't see a line item on our bills for it, but we are all paying the price for pollution right now. We pay it in healthcare costs from asthma and other respiratory diseases linked to burning fossil fuels.
Speaker 4: We pay it in disaster recovery funds when our taxes go to rebuilding a town after a flood. A carbon price isn't creating a new cost; it's just making a hidden cost visible.
Speaker 1: This brings us to a question I think is on everyone's mind. We've talked about these huge, complex systems, from international law to national energy policy. It can all feel very distant. So what about us? What about individual action versus systemic change? Maya, does it really make a difference if I diligently sort my recycling or eat less meat when the scale of the problem is this vast?
Speaker 4: That is the question, isn't it? And it's so easy to feel like your small actions are just a drop in an angry ocean. But I truly believe they matter, just maybe not in the way we think. You know, the direct impact of me not using a plastic straw isn't going to stop the West Antarctic ice sheet from collapsing. I get that. But that's not the only point.
Speaker 1: So what is the point, from your perspective?
Speaker 4: When we make these conscious choices, we're not just reducing our own tiny footprint. We are sending signals. We are sending a signal to the market that there's demand for sustainable products. We are sending a signal to our friends and neighbors that this is something we care about, which helps to normalize climate consciousness in our culture.
Speaker 4: And, you know, most importantly, we are sending a signal to politicians that we are a constituency that will support bold climate action. Our individual actions build the social and political momentum for the big systemic changes to happen.
Speaker 2: I think Maya's point is absolutely crucial. The two are not in opposition; they reinforce each other. You need both. Individual action alone is not sufficient, that's clear. We cannot solve this crisis by changing lightbulbs and bringing reusable bags to the grocery store. We absolutely need the large-scale government policies and corporate transformations that will decarbonize our entire energy grid and industrial base.
Speaker 3: Right. Because asking an individual to solve climate change is like asking a soldier to win a war by themselves. It's an unfair burden.
Speaker 2: Exactly. But at the same time, systemic change is not something that just happens in a vacuum. It is the result of millions of people demanding it. So individual action is the necessary foundation. It's the engine of cultural change that makes the politics of systemic change possible. They are two sides of the very same coin. One cannot succeed without the other.
Speaker 1: Thats a really helpful way to frame it, Carter. So our individual choices create the culture, and that culture creates the political will for systemic change. Let's look forward then. As we chart a course out of this crisis, what are some of the other major technological or social shifts we need to be thinking about? The report's appendix lists a hundred different topics, one of which is the future of food.
Speaker 2: Yes, and this is absolutely critical because, as we discussed, agriculture is a major source of emissions. The future of food really involves a two-pronged approach. First, on the production side, it means scaling up what's often called sustainable or regenerative agriculture. These are farming practices that can reduce emissions, improve soil health so it absorbs more carbon, and use less water.
Speaker 4: And what's the second part? It has to be about what we eat, right?
Speaker 2: It is. It also involves changes in diet, particularly in wealthy nations. The science is quite clear that, uh, a diet lower in red meat consumption and higher in plant-based foods has a significantly smaller environmental footprint. This doesn't mean everyone has to become a vegetarian, but a societal shift in that direction would have a huge impact.
Speaker 3: Now, this is where it gets tricky for me. You start talking about what people eat, and it feels like a massive overreach. People's diets are incredibly personal and cultural. Are we really going to tell people they can't have a burger? That feels like a political non-starter, and it plays right into the hands of those who say climate action is about sacrifice and a lower quality of life.
Speaker 4: I hear that, Frank. I really do. But maybe the framing isn't about sacrifice. Maybe it's about health, and choice, and innovation. You know, the incredible boom in really high-quality, tasty plant-based alternatives is a market-driven solution. It's not about forcing anyone to do anything; it's about providing better options that are good for people and good for the planet. Its a cultural shift, not a government mandate.
Speaker 1: So food is one area. What about on the energy side? We've talked a lot about renewables. But there's another powerful, and often controversial, source of carbon-free electricity mentioned in the report: nuclear power. Carter, where does that fit into the picture?
Speaker 2: Well, nuclear power is… complicated. On the one hand, it is a proven, reliable, 24/7 source of zero-emission electricity. And from a purely climate perspective, many scientists and energy experts argue that it has to be part of the solution, especially for providing a stable baseload of power when the sun isn't shining or the wind isn't blowing.
Speaker 3: It seems like a no-brainer to me. If the goal is to eliminate carbon emissions from electricity as fast as possible, why aren't we building advanced nuclear reactors everywhere? The safety concerns, from what I've read about the newer designs, are vastly different from the older plants people think of.
Speaker 4: But the legacy is still there, isnt it? For so many people, the word nuclear brings up images of Chernobyl or Fukushima. And even if the new plants are safer, you still have the problem of nuclear waste. What do we do with this material that remains dangerously radioactive for thousands of years? It feels like we're solving one problem for ourselves by creating a potentially massive one for countless generations to come.
Speaker 2: And that, Maya, is the core of the dilemma. The issues of waste disposal, public perception, high upfront costs, and long construction times have made nuclear a very difficult path to pursue politically, even if the technology itself has advanced. It remains one of the most contentious and unresolved debates in the energy transition.
Speaker 1: This debate over nuclear power really highlights that the energy transition isn't just a scientific or economic challenge. Its also a geopolitical one. Carter, how is this massive global shift from fossil fuels to clean energy changing the relationships between countries?
Speaker 2: It's changing everything. For a century, geopolitics has been shaped by who has the oil and gas. But in a world powered by renewables, the map of power changes. It shifts from countries with fossil fuel reserves to countries that lead in manufacturing solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries. It also shifts power to countries that have the critical mineral resources, like lithium, cobalt, and copper, that are essential for these technologies.
Speaker 3: So we're just trading a dependency on oil from the Middle East for a dependency on batteries and minerals from other parts of the world? It sounds like we're just swapping one set of geopolitical problems for another.
Speaker 2: That is a very real risk, and its a major concern. Creating more resilient and diversified supply chains for these technologies is a huge priority. But there's also an upside. The resources for renewable energy, you know, sunlight and wind, are far more democratically distributed around the globe than fossil fuels are.
Speaker 2: Almost every country has the potential to generate its own clean energy, which could lead to greater energy independence and a more stable world in the long run.
Speaker 1: So after this incredibly comprehensive discussion, from the accelerating science to the cascading impacts and the immense challenges in our global response, I want to bring it back to a final thought from each of you. We're standing at the end of this decade of consequence. The report makes it clear the window is closing. Where do we go from here? Frank?
Speaker 3: For me, it comes down to honesty. I think we need to be more honest about the scale of the challenge and the true costs and trade-offs of the transition. We can't pretend this will be easy or painless. But if we can have a pragmatic conversation that acknowledges the difficulties, I think we have a better chance of bringing everyone along and actually getting it done.
Speaker 1: Maya, a final thought from you.
Speaker 4: I keep coming back to that idea of connection. This report shows how everything is connected—the ice melting in the Arctic is connected to the flood in your town, is connected to the food on your plate. And if the problem is one of broken connections, then the solution has to be about rebuilding them.
Speaker 4: Reconnecting with nature, reconnecting with our communities, and, you know, finding a shared sense of purpose to protect our common home. For me, the way forward has to be rooted in that sense of shared humanity.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Frank and Maya. That's a powerful call for honesty and for rebuilding our connections. Carter, I want to give you the final word on this part of our discussion. After laying out all this evidence, what is the single most important message you think we should take away about the path forward?
Speaker 2: I think, uh, the message is that the era of excuses is over. For decades, you could argue that we didn't fully understand, or that the technology wasn't ready, or that the impacts felt distant. This report from 2015 to 2025 slams the door on all of that. We know, with painful certainty, what is happening.
Speaker 2: We have the technological solutions, like solar and wind, that are not only ready but are now cheaper than the alternative. And the impacts are no longer distant; they are here, causing billions in damages and immense human suffering every single year.
Speaker 1: So the barriers are no longer technical or scientific.
Speaker 2: Not primarily. The report's inescapable conclusion is that the greatest barrier is a lack of political will, fueled by inertia and, you know, the vested interests of the fossil fuel industry. Overcoming that political barrier is now the central challenge.
Speaker 2: The road ahead, the road to the next major climate conference, COP30, and beyond, is not about inventing a new machine. It's about building a global consensus for action that is so powerful it becomes politically unstoppable.
Speaker 3: Carter, you say that, building a global consensus. But you know, I look at the world, and our politics seem more fractured and nationalistic than ever. How on earth do we create this unstoppable global movement when major countries can barely agree on basic trade rules, let alone something that requires a complete re-engineering of our entire economy? It feels… well, it feels naive.
Speaker 2: It's not naive to see the immense difficulty, Frank. It is, uh, perhaps the hardest thing humanity has ever tried to do. But it's not without precedent. We have faced global threats before. You know, scientists in the 1980s discovered that certain chemicals were destroying the ozone layer. The world came together, listened to the science, and passed the Montreal Protocol to phase out those chemicals. And it worked. The ozone layer is healing.
Speaker 4: But is that a fair comparison? Banning a few chemicals used in spray cans and refrigerators seems so much simpler than replacing the entire energy source that powers our civilization.
Speaker 2: Oh, you are absolutely right, Maya. The climate challenge is orders of magnitude more complex and more difficult. But the principle is the same: science identified a threat, and international cooperation solved it. What's different now, and you know, what gives me a sliver of hope, is that the threat is no longer an invisible hole in the sky.
Speaker 2: The escalating costs of floods, droughts, and fires are becoming so painfully obvious that the political calculation for leaders is starting to change. Inaction is becoming more politically expensive than action.
Speaker 4: And maybe the consensus doesn't just come from those leaders in a conference room. You know, I think about the youth climate movement. When millions of young people around the world take to the streets, inspired by activists like Greta Thunberg, that creates a different kind of pressure.
Speaker 4: Its a moral pressure. It builds from the ground up and forces its way into the halls of power. It's a reminder that this isn't just about economics; it's about their future that's being negotiated away.
Speaker 1: Thats a powerful point, Maya, the role of that moral pressure from the next generation. And it brings up the stark reality of what is truly at stake here. Carter, when we talk about these long-term consequences, like sea-level rise, the report makes it clear these are not temporary problems that will just go away if we fix our emissions. It talks about impacts being locked in for centuries. Can you explain that long-term legacy?
Speaker 2: Yes, and this is a concept that is, uh, difficult to grasp but absolutely crucial. The Earth's climate system has enormous inertia. Think of the oceans like a giant flywheel. They have absorbed over 90 percent of the excess heat we've trapped, and it takes a very, very long time for that heat to dissipate. Likewise, carbon dioxide is a very long-lived gas. Much of what we emit today will still be in the atmosphere, warming the planet, hundreds of years from now.
Speaker 3: So what does that mean in practical terms? Lets say, hypothetically, we wave a magic wand and stop all greenhouse gas emissions tomorrow, globally. Zero emissions. Does the warming stop? Do sea levels stop rising?
Speaker 2: No. And that is the hard reality. Even in that magical scenario, the planet would continue to warm for some time, and sea levels would continue to rise for centuries, possibly for millennia. The heat that is already stored in the deep ocean would continue to circulate and warm the surface.
Speaker 2: The existing greenhouse gases would continue to trap heat. The amount of warming and sea level rise we've already experienced is, in many ways, a done deal. That is the legacy we have already written.
Speaker 4: So even in the best-case scenario, things will still get worse before they get better.
Speaker 2: For a time, yes. But it's vital we don't interpret that as our efforts being futile. It is the absolute opposite. The actions we take in this decade will determine how much worse things get and for how long.
Speaker 2: We are at the controls, making a choice right now between a future where sea levels rise by, say, another meter, which is devastating but perhaps manageable, and a future where they rise by ten meters, which would be an unimaginable catastrophe.
Speaker 2: We are deciding today what percentage of the worlds species will go extinct. We are deciding how much of the planet will become uninhabitable for our own grandchildren. We are locking in that future with the choices we make today.
Speaker 1: That is an incredibly powerful and sobering thought, Carter. The idea that we are, right now, writing the legacy for centuries to come. You know, it raises a profound psychological question. How do we live with that knowledge? How do we confront this reality of a locked-in future without falling into paralysis or, you know, just complete despair?
Speaker 4: Thats the question I grapple with every day, Alice. And I know so many others do, too. Theres a real grief in realizing what weve already lost, and a real fear for whats to come. And some days, that can feel completely overwhelming. But, you know, what I've found, for myself, is that the only real antidote to that anxiety is action.
Speaker 3: Action. Thats easy to say. But if the problem is this big, and some of the damage is already done, what does that action even look like? It can feel like… I dont know, bailing out a sinking ship with a teaspoon. It might make you feel better, but is it actually changing the outcome? I worry about climate fatigue. People just get so overwhelmed by the bad news that they tune it all out.
Speaker 4: I see what you mean, Frank. I really do. But maybe the teaspoon isn't the point. Maybe the point is that when you start bailing, the person next to you sees you and picks up their own teaspoon. And then another person does. The action itself builds a sense of community and shared purpose.
Speaker 4: Its about building what some people call "active hope." It's not a blind optimism that everything will be fine. Its a belief that if we work together, we can still create a better outcome than the one were heading for. And that work, that action, gives us a sense of agency in a situation that can feel… hopeless.
Speaker 2: I think thats a crucial insight, Maya. And Frank, to address your point about fatigue, part of the solution is to change the narrative from one of pure sacrifice to one of opportunity. And theres real data to back this up. You know, the transition to a clean economy isn't just about shutting things down; it's about building new things. The International Energy Agency has reported that jobs in the clean energy sector are growing rapidly around the world, outpacing the fossil fuel industry.
Speaker 1: So this connects back to what we discussed earlier, the idea of a Just Transition. Its about creating tangible, positive, real-world opportunities for people.
Speaker 2: Precisely. It's about showing people a vision of the future that is not just survivable, but actually better. A future with cleaner air, quieter cities, and new, well-paying jobs in industries like solar installation, battery manufacturing, and grid modernization. When people can see a concrete benefit for themselves and their communities, its a very powerful motivator. It helps to overcome that sense of fatigue and shifts the focus to building a future we actually want.
Speaker 1: So, as we talk about building this new future, lets dive into another one of the advanced technologies mentioned in the report's appendix. We hear a lot of buzz about it. Carter, can you tell us about Green Hydrogen? What is it, and what role is it supposed to play?
Speaker 2: Of course. In simple terms, green hydrogen is a way to store clean energy. You take electricity from a renewable source, like a solar or wind farm, and you use it to power a machine called an electrolyzer. And this machine splits water—which is H2O—into its basic components, hydrogen and oxygen. The hydrogen that you get from this process is a clean, carbon-free fuel.
Speaker 3: Okay, so it's a clean fuel. But Carter, I've heard there are major problems with it. For one, its incredibly inefficient, isn't it? You use a huge amount of electricity to make the hydrogen, and then you lose more energy when you convert it back into power. And the cost… it seems to be way more expensive than just using the electricity directly. It sounds like another one of those futuristic solutions that's always just over the horizon.
Speaker 2: Uh, those are absolutely the key challenges, Frank. You are right. There are energy losses in the process, and right now, the cost of producing green hydrogen is still high compared to other options. However, the costs are falling rapidly as the technology scales up, much like we saw with solar panels a decade ago. And its real potential isn't necessarily for powering cars or homes, where batteries are often a better fit.
Speaker 1: So where does it fit? What's the specific job for this tool?
Speaker 2: Its promise is in those hard-to-abate sectors that we keep coming back to. Think about heavy industries like steel and cement manufacturing, which require incredibly high heat that's hard to achieve with just electricity. Or, uh, long-haul transportation, like container ships and airplanes.
Speaker 2: For these sectors, a clean-burning fuel like green hydrogen could be a genuine game-changer, a way to decarbonize parts of our economy that batteries can't easily reach.
Speaker 4: You know, hearing this, it highlights something I think is really confusing for a lot of people. It feels like every year theres a new savior technology. First, it was biofuels, then it was clean coal, now it's hydrogen. Its hard to keep up, and it can start to feel like we're just hoping for some single magic bullet to come along and fix everything for us. Maybe thats the wrong way to look at it?
Speaker 2: Maya, that is an incredibly wise observation. And you are absolutely right. The search for a single magic bullet has been a distraction. The most useful analogy is to think of it as a toolbox. You would never try to build a house with only a hammer. You need a saw, a screwdriver, a wrench… all for different tasks.
Speaker 1: Oh, I see. So it's not about hydrogen versus batteries, or renewables versus nuclear.
Speaker 2: Exactly. It's about having all of them in the toolbox. We need renewables to generate the clean electricity. We need batteries for short-term storage and for electric vehicles. We need green hydrogen for those specific industrial and transport applications. We need to massively ramp up energy efficiency to reduce overall demand. The goal isn't to find the one perfect solution; it's to build a resilient, robust, and flexible system using all the different tools that we have.
Speaker 1: Thats a really helpful way to frame it, Carter. A whole toolbox, not a magic wand. But you know, when you talk about all these huge, complex systems—from green hydrogen infrastructure to nuclear power plants—it can all feel very distant and overwhelming for the average person.
Speaker 1: Which brings us to a question I think is on everyone's mind. What about us? What about individual action versus systemic change? Maya, does it really make a difference if I diligently sort my recycling or eat less meat when the scale of the problem is this vast?
Speaker 4: That is the question, isn't it? And it's so easy to feel like your small actions are just a drop in an angry ocean. But I truly believe they matter, just maybe not in the way we usually think. You know, the direct carbon impact of me not using a plastic straw isn't going to stop the West Antarctic ice sheet from collapsing. I get that. But that's not the only point.
Speaker 3: But isn't it the most important point? I mean, we can all feel good about our reusable coffee cups, but meanwhile, a single coal plant is wiping out all our collective efforts in a matter of minutes. It feels like a distraction. It shifts the burden of responsibility from the handful of massive corporations and governments causing the problem onto the shoulders of billions of individuals. It feels unfair.
Speaker 4: I see that, Frank, and that's a real danger. But when we make these conscious choices, we're doing more than just reducing our own tiny footprint. We are sending signals. We send a signal to the market that there's demand for sustainable products. We send a signal to our friends and neighbors that this is something we care about, which, you know, helps to normalize climate consciousness in our culture.
Speaker 4: And most importantly, we send a signal to politicians that we are a constituency that will support bold climate action. Our individual actions build the social and political momentum for the big systemic changes to happen.
Speaker 2: I think Maya's point is absolutely crucial. And Frank's concern is equally valid. The two ideas are not in opposition; they actually reinforce each other. You need both. Individual action alone is not sufficient, that's clear. We cannot solve this crisis by changing lightbulbs. We absolutely need the large-scale government policies and corporate transformations that will decarbonize our entire industrial base.
Speaker 1: So it's not a choice between one or the other.
Speaker 2: Not at all. But at the same time, that systemic change doesn't just happen in a vacuum. It is the result of millions of people demanding it. So individual action is the necessary foundation. It's the engine of cultural change that makes the politics of systemic change possible. They are two sides of the very same coin. One cannot succeed without the other.
Speaker 1: Thats a great way to put it. So if individual action helps create the political will for systemic change, let's talk about one of the most powerful systemic tools that economists often discuss. Carter, the report mentions carbon pricing and emissions trading systems. Can you explain what that is?
Speaker 2: Certainly. Carbon pricing is a very direct economic strategy. It's about putting a price on carbon pollution to discourage it. There are two main ways to do it. You can have a straightforward carbon tax, where the government sets a price per ton of carbon dioxide emitted. Or you can have what's called a cap-and-trade system.
Speaker 1: And how does cap-and-trade work?
Speaker 2: In that system, the government sets a limit, a cap, on the total amount of emissions allowed in a sector, say, the electricity sector. And that cap gets lower every year. Then, companies within that sector are given permits to pollute, or they have to buy them. If a company pollutes less than its permit allows, it can sell its leftover permits to a company that pollutes more. This creates a financial incentive to cut emissions as cheaply as possible.
Speaker 3: Okay, but let's be honest about what a carbon tax really means for the average person. It just gets passed on to the consumer, right? It means higher prices at the gas pump, higher home heating bills. It seems like a policy that would disproportionately hurt lower-income families and working people, who spend a much bigger chunk of their income on those essentials. It sounds deeply unfair.
Speaker 2: That is the single biggest and most important concern with carbon pricing, Frank. And if it's designed poorly, that's exactly what can happen. It can be regressive. However, a well-designed system can actually address this and be equitable. For example, some of the most popular proposals are for a carbon fee and dividend system.
Speaker 1: A dividend? So you're saying people would get money back?
Speaker 2: Exactly. The revenue collected from the carbon tax isn't just kept by the government to spend on other things. It's returned directly to every citizen on an equal, per-person basis, like a check in the mail or a direct deposit.
Speaker 2: In that system, most lower and middle-income families would actually come out ahead. They would get more back in the dividend than they pay in higher energy costs, simply because wealthier people tend to travel more, have larger homes, and have a much larger carbon footprint.
Speaker 4: You know, it's also about what costs we're already paying. We don't see a line item on our bills for it, but we are all paying the price for pollution right now. We pay it in healthcare costs from asthma and other respiratory diseases linked to burning fossil fuels.
Speaker 4: We pay it in our insurance premiums, which go up after every climate-fueled disaster. We pay it in our taxes, which go to rebuilding a town after a flood. A carbon price isn't creating a new cost; it's just making a hidden cost visible and putting it on the people who are creating the pollution.
Speaker 1: Thats a powerful reframe, Maya. Shifting our perspective from a new tax to making a hidden cost visible. This conversation about fairness and who pays the cost brings us to another critical justice issue the report touches on: the impact on the workers and communities whose entire economies are built on the old system. Carter, can you talk about the concept of a Just Transition?
Speaker 2: Yes, and you know, this has moved from the fringes of the discussion to the absolute center, because it's both morally right and, frankly, politically essential. A Just Transition means ensuring that the massive shift to a green economy is fair and inclusive. It means we don't leave coal miners, oil rig workers, and entire communities that depend on these industries behind.
Speaker 3: This is something I think is absolutely critical, and it's often glossed over. You can't just tell millions of people that their jobs, their skills, their entire community's history is obsolete without a concrete, funded plan. If you do, you get massive social and political unrest. For people to buy into this huge economic shift, they have to see a future for themselves in it. A real plan for retraining, for new jobs in clean energy manufacturing or grid modernization, that is absolutely essential.
Speaker 4: And it's more than just a paycheck, isn't it? It's about identity and community. For generations, some towns have been defined by the local power plant or the mine. That's a source of pride. A just transition means investing directly in those places, helping them to diversify their economies and build a new foundation that honors their heritage but, you know, allows them to thrive in a different kind of future. It's about respecting people while we make these big, necessary changes.
Speaker 2: That's right. And it means ensuring that the new green jobs are good jobs, with fair wages, benefits, and the right to unionize. The goal isn't just to swap a fossil fuel job for any old job; it's to ensure the clean energy economy creates widespread prosperity and opportunity. If it doesn't, as Frank said, it will fail politically.
Speaker 1: This focus on political stability is a crucial point. The report also talks about how climate change is a threat multiplier, not just for economies, but for global peace and security. Carter, can you explain how climate change can lead to conflict?
Speaker 2: Well, the mechanism, according to defense and intelligence analysts, is that climate change exacerbates existing tensions and vulnerabilities. It's rarely the single, direct cause of a war, but it's like pouring gasoline on a fire that's already smoldering.
Speaker 1: Can you give us an example?
Speaker 2: Take a region that already has a history of ethnic tension and a fragile government. Now, add a multi-year, climate-driven drought. The water sources dry up. The pastures for livestock wither away. Crops fail. This leads to massive food and water scarcity, which in turn can drive resource competition between different groups.
Speaker 2: It can cause governments to collapse, create mass displacement, and open up a power vacuum that can be exploited by extremist groups. The climate stress is the catalyst that pushes a fragile situation into a full-blown crisis.
Speaker 3: But hang on a minute. It seems to me that people have been fighting over land and water for thousands of years. How can we be so sure that this isn't just old conflicts playing out, and that we're just slapping a new climate change label on them? Is the link really that direct?
Speaker 2: That's a fair question, Frank. And you're right, these are often old tensions. But what the science and the data show is a clear intensification. The droughts are more severe and longer-lasting than before. The floods are more extreme. The report notes that the IPCC states with high confidence that climate extremes are increasingly driving displacement, and that displacement itself is a major source of instability. So its not creating conflicts out of thin air; its making existing ones far more frequent and far more deadly.
Speaker 4: You know, when I hear this, I just think about the human cost. We see these headlines about instability in a faraway region, but we forget that these are families being forced to flee their homes because the land they have farmed for generations can no longer support them. They are not leaving because they want to; they are leaving because they have no choice. It connects directly back to that horrifying statistic you mentioned earlier, Carter, about the death rate from these disasters being 15 times higher in vulnerable regions.
Speaker 1: It truly underscores the profound inequity of this crisis. And this idea of instability leads me to another geopolitical question. We've talked about how the energy transition changes the map of power from oil states to countries with critical minerals. Carter, how is this massive global shift changing the relationships between major world powers?
Speaker 2: It's reshaping geopolitics in a fundamental way. For a century, international relations have been shaped by who has the oil and the gas. But in a world powered by renewables, the sources of power change. It shifts from countries with fossil fuel reserves to countries that lead in manufacturing the key technologies, so thats solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries.
Speaker 3: So we're just trading a dependency on oil from the Middle East for a dependency on batteries and solar panels from, say, China? It sounds like we're just swapping one set of geopolitical problems for another. We're still vulnerable, just in a different way.
Speaker 2: That is a very real risk, Frank, and its a major strategic concern for governments in Europe and North America. Creating more resilient, secure, and diversified supply chains for these clean energy technologies is a huge global priority right now. But there's also a fundamental upside to this new map.
Speaker 1: And whats that?
Speaker 2: The resources for renewable energy, you know, sunlight and wind, are far more democratically distributed around the globe than fossil fuel reserves are. Almost every single country has the potential to generate its own clean energy for its own people. Over the long run, this could lead to greater energy independence for many nations, reducing the number of global choke points and potentially leading to a more stable and equitable world.
Speaker 4: Thats a really hopeful thought. The idea that this transition, if we manage it right, could actually make the world a more peaceful place by giving more countries control over their own energy future.
Speaker 1: It is. Weve spent a lot of time talking about the failures of national governments and these huge geopolitical shifts. But we know a lot of the real-world changes are happening at a more local level. Carter, what does the report say about the role of cities in leading climate action?
Speaker 2: In many cases, cities are where the action is. They are often more agile, more pragmatic, and less tied up in partisan gridlock than national governments. And they have to be, because they are on the front lines of the impacts, from heat waves to flooding. So you have these incredible networks, like the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group, which are basically hubs of innovation.
Speaker 3: What kind of innovation are we talking about? What are cities actually doing on the ground that makes a difference?
Speaker 2: They are doing a lot. They are electrifying their public transport fleets, from buses to garbage trucks. They are creating greener building codes that mandate higher energy efficiency. They are investing in massive tree-planting campaigns and creating more parks to combat the urban heat island effect.
Speaker 2: They are redesigning streets to be more friendly for pedestrians and cyclists, and less dominated by cars. All of these actions, when added up across hundreds of cities, have a huge impact on both emissions and the quality of life for residents.
Speaker 4: And you can really feel that difference. You know, when your city invests in a new, reliable bus line or a safe, protected bike lane, your life gets better. Your commute is less stressful. The air feels cleaner. Its another one of those examples where the climate solution is also just a better way of living. It's not about sacrifice; it's about building cities that are more pleasant and more livable for everyone.
Speaker 1: It truly seems a recurring theme is that a more sustainable world is also a healthier and more equitable one. We have covered so much ground today, from the accelerating science of a planet in crisis, to the cascading impacts on our health, economy, and security, and to the immense challenges and emerging pathways in our global response.
Speaker 1: As we draw this conversation to a close, I want to come back to a final, forward-looking thought from each of you. We are standing at the end of this decade of consequence. The report makes it clear the window for action is closing with terrifying speed. Where do we go from here? Frank, what is your final takeaway?
Speaker 3: For me, it has to be about getting real. The scale of this report shows that we are past the point of easy, feel-good solutions. The transformation that is required is going to be hard, and it's going to be expensive. We need to stop pretending otherwise.
Speaker 3: The path forward has to be built on honesty about the costs, on ensuring the transition is fair to working people, and on deploying every single pragmatic tool we have, from renewables to nuclear to carbon capture, without letting ideology get in the way. Its an all-hands-on-deck emergency, and we need to start acting like it.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Frank. A powerful call for pragmatic, honest, all-of-the-above action.
Speaker 4: I keep coming back to that idea of the story we tell ourselves. For so long, the climate story has been framed by fear, by what we have to give up. And that fear is real, the grief for what we're losing is valid. But a story of fear alone can lead to paralysis. I believe we have to start telling a new story, a story of what we stand to gain.
Speaker 4: We gain a chance to build a world that is healthier, more just, and more connected to nature and to each other. That's the vision we have to hold on to. The way forward has to be rooted not just in fear of the future we want to avoid, but in a compelling, active hope for the future we want to create.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Maya. A beautiful and necessary call for a new, more hopeful narrative. And Carter, Ill give you the final word. After laying out all this sobering science and the stark conclusions of this report, what is the ultimate message you want to leave our listeners

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Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to Planet in Peril. I'm your host, Alice. We're here today to discuss a really sobering new report that looks back at the last ten years of climate change, from 2015 to 2025. It paints a picture not just of steady warming, but of a dangerous acceleration. And to help us unpack this, I'm joined by our expert panel. Welcome Carter, Frank, and Maya.
Speaker 2: Hi Alice, it's great to be here. I'm Carter.
Speaker 3: Hello, uh, I'm Frank. Good to be on.
Speaker 4: And I'm Maya. Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1: So, let's dive right in. Carter, this report, titled Decade of Consequence, uses some very strong language right from the start. Can you set the scene for us? What makes this last decade so... pivotal and alarming?
Speaker 2: Well Alice, the key takeaway is that word you used: acceleration. We're no longer on a gentle, predictable upward slope. The data, and this is coming from the big global bodies like the IPCC and the World Meteorological Organization, shows that every key indicator of the planet's health sped up in the last ten years. We've essentially pushed the global system into a new, more volatile state.
Speaker 4: You know, that really resonates. It feels that way, doesn't it? I mean, just thinking about my own garden, the seasons feel less predictable. The summer heat seems to arrive earlier and hit harder every year. It feels less stable.
Speaker 1: Thats a great point, Maya. It's moved from an abstract concept to a lived experience for so many. Carter, let's talk about the most direct indicator, temperature. The report says records haven't just been broken, they have been shattered.
Speaker 2: That's right. The ten-year period from 2015 to 2024 is, without a doubt, the warmest decade since we started keeping records in 1850. And it's not a fluke... every single year within that decade is among the ten warmest years ever recorded.
Speaker 3: Okay, Carter, but we always hear about record-breaking years. Every year seems to be the hottest ever. How is this different? Is it just a continuation of a trend?
Speaker 2: It is, but the trend itself is speeding up. And this decade saw something truly significant. The year 2024 became the first full calendar year where the global average temperature went past the 1.5 degree Celsius threshold from the Paris Agreement. Specifically, it hit about 1.55 degrees above the pre-industrial average.
Speaker 4: Wow. One point five degrees. Weve been talking about that number as a future goal, a line we must not cross. And we're already there, even temporarily? That's... unsettling.
Speaker 3: But Carter used the word temporarily. So does that mean the Paris Agreement goal is already lost? And you know, 2024 had a strong El Niño event, which is a natural warming cycle. How much of this is just nature doing its thing?
Speaker 2: That's an excellent and crucial question, Frank. No, a single year's breach doesn't mean the goal is permanently lost, as that refers to a long-term average. But it serves as a massive warning shot. It shows that the climate system is capable of reaching these dangerous levels now. And while El Niño played a role, it was riding on top of this powerful, long-term warming trend. The key isn't just one record year; its the accelerating rate of warming.
Speaker 1: Can you elaborate on that? The accelerating rate?
Speaker 2: Of course. Data from NOAA, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, shows that since 1982, the world has been warming at a rate of zero point two degrees Celsius per decade. Now, that might not sound like much, but its more than three times faster than the average rate since 1850. So, to answer your question, Frank, this isn't a natural blip. The engine is revving faster and faster.
Speaker 1: So let's talk about that engine. What's driving this acceleration? The report links it directly to greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Speaker 2: Exactly. The physics are very direct. And in the last decade, the concentrations of these gases have soared to levels that are, frankly, unprecedented in human history. The IPCC's latest major report states with high confidence that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are now higher than at any time in at least two million years.
Speaker 4: Two million years. I... I can't even process that number. It feels like we're running a massive, uncontrolled experiment on our only home.
Speaker 2: Thats a good way to put it, Maya. To give you some concrete numbers, in 2024, the average concentration of carbon dioxide hit 422.7 parts per million. That's a full 50 percent higher than before the industrial age began. And just like with temperature, the rate of increase is accelerating. In the 1960s, it grew by about zero point eight parts per million per year. In the last ten years? It's averaged 2.6 parts per million per year. The year 2024 saw the largest single-year jump ever recorded.
Speaker 1: So the warming is accelerating, and the concentration of the gas causing the warming is also accelerating. This brings us to the core question, which is addressed in the second section of the report. The science of attribution. Carter, how certain are scientists that this is... us?
Speaker 2: The scientific community is as certain as it is about the theory of gravity. The IPCC uses the strongest possible language. The report states unequivocally that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. There's no ambiguity left.
Speaker 3: Unequivocal. That is a strong word. But what does that mean in practice? I mean, a lot of people hear this and think, okay, but how do they know it's not the sun, or volcanoes, or some other natural cycle?
Speaker 2: It's a fair question. Scientists know because they use incredibly sophisticated climate models. They run simulations of the last 150 years with only natural factors, like solar cycles and volcanic eruptions. And when they do that, the models completely fail to replicate the warming we've actually observed. They just can't get the temperature to rise. It's only when they add in the human-caused greenhouse gas emissions that the models accurately match the real-world temperature record.
Speaker 4: Oh, I see. So its like trying to solve a mystery. You test out all the natural suspects, and none of them can be the culprit. But when you add in the human suspect, the story suddenly makes perfect sense.
Speaker 2: That's a perfect analogy. The IPCC even quantifies it. The best estimate is that humans have caused about one point zero seven degrees Celsius of warming since the late 1800s. The total observed warming over that same period? About one point one degrees Celsius. So, we account for... basically all of it.
Speaker 3: Right. So if it's unequivocally us, what specific human activities are we talking about? When people say we need to cut emissions, what are we actually supposed to be cutting?
Speaker 1: Thats a perfect question, Frank. Carter, the report gets right into this. Can you break down the main sources for us?
Speaker 2: Absolutely. The picture is actually very clear. The primary driver, by a huge margin, is the burning of fossil fuels, so thats coal, oil, and natural gas. In 2019, about 79 percent of all global greenhouse gas emissions came from using fossil fuels across four main areas: energy production for electricity and heat, industry, transportation, and buildings.
Speaker 3: So it really isn't just about driving cars. I mean, that's what you always hear. But this is about how we power our homes, how we make things, our entire economic structure.
Speaker 2: Precisely. The power sector alone, which generates electricity and heat, is the single biggest contributor. And what's concerning is that even with the amazing growth of renewable energy, the International Energy Agency has pointed out that demand for oil and gas has stayed stubbornly high. We're still investing in new fossil fuel infrastructure, which creates a real risk of locking in these emissions for decades to come.
Speaker 4: You know, it's so easy to picture smokestacks and the tailpipes of cars when we talk about this. But the report mentions another big piece of the puzzle, right? Something about our land, about forests and farming?
Speaker 2: Yes, and it's a critical piece, Maya. The remaining 21 to 22 percent of emissions come from what scientists call AFOLU. That stands for Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use. This includes methane emissions from livestock, nitrous oxide from fertilizers, and, crucially, deforestation.
Speaker 1: And why is deforestation such a major factor?
Speaker 2: It delivers a devastating one-two punch. First, when we clear forests, primarily for agriculture, we release the massive amounts of carbon that were stored in those trees and soils directly into the atmosphere. Between 2015 and 2020, the world continued to lose an estimated 10 million hectares of forest every single year. Second, by destroying the forest, we're eliminating a vital natural carbon sink that would otherwise be absorbing CO2 from the air. So it adds carbon while also reducing the planet's ability to clean it up.
Speaker 1: So we have a very clear picture of the sources. This leads to the obvious question of what we are doing about it. The report talks about a persistent and vast emissions gap. Carter, what is that?
Speaker 2: The emissions gap is the difference between what countries have pledged to do and what the science says is actually required to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement. The United Nations Environment Programme releases a report on this every year, and the findings are stark. The 2023 report found that with the policies we have right now, the world is on a trajectory for a temperature rise of nearly 3 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.
Speaker 4: Three degrees... Carter, we were just talking about how damaging it is to even temporarily hit 1.5 degrees. Three sounds... catastrophic.
Speaker 2: It would be. To align with the 1.5 degree pathway, the report states that predicted global emissions in 2030 need to be cut by a staggering 42 percent from where they're heading now.
Speaker 3: Hold on a minute. A 42 percent cut by 2030? Carter, that's just a handful of years away. Is that even realistic? Are countries just not trying, or is the goal itself simply impossible for our modern world to achieve?
Speaker 2: It's an immense challenge, Frank, there's no question. The report does note that there has been some progress since the Paris Agreement was signed. Projected emissions for 2030 are lower now than they were expected to be a decade ago. However, this improvement is nowhere near the scale or speed that is required. So this gap... it really represents the collective failure of the world to turn political commitments into sufficient real-world action.
Speaker 4: And while governments and experts are debating these huge numbers and percentages, people on the ground are already feeling the effects. It feels like the consequences are here now, but the solutions are still stuck in negotiations.
Speaker 1: Maya, that is such a powerful point, and it leads us directly to one of the most significant scientific advancements of the past decade, which is the ability to link specific weather events directly to climate change. Carter, tell us about the science of attribution.
Speaker 2: This has been a game-changer. For a long time, we could only say that climate change makes certain types of events, like heatwaves, more likely in general. But now, attribution science allows scientists to provide robust, quantitative assessments of the role human-caused warming played in a specific, individual event.
Speaker 1: So how does that work, in simple terms?
Speaker 2: They use multiple climate models to compare the probability of a specific extreme event happening in the world as it is today, with all our emissions, to its probability in a counterfactual world, a simulated world without human-caused greenhouse gases. This allows them to say, with a calculated degree of confidence, how much more likely or how much more intense an event was made because of climate change.
Speaker 3: So youre saying that scientists can now point to a specific flood, or a specific wildfire, and actually put a number on it? They can say this was 50 percent worse, or ten times more likely, because of our emissions?
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly. The science has matured to that point. For example, studies have found that some recent heatwaves, like the one in the Pacific Northwest in 2021, would have been virtually impossible without human-induced climate change. This ability to quantify the human fingerprint on disasters is profound. It transforms climate change from a distant, future threat into a direct and measurable cause of the harm and damage people are experiencing today.
Speaker 1: And this science has profound implications, doesn't it, Carter? It means the conversation shifts from future projections to present-day accountability. So let's talk about those cascading consequences the report details. It frames extreme weather as the new normal. What does that actually look like?
Speaker 2: It looks like a world where the weather has fundamentally shifted gears. The science of attribution has now firmly linked the dramatic rise in the frequency and intensity of extreme events to human-caused warming. So what used to be a rare event is now becoming a regular occurrence. In 2024 alone, for example, there were over 600 reported extreme weather events.
Speaker 4: It really does feel that way. I mean, the summer heat seems to build earlier and last longer, and it feels more oppressive, more dangerous than I ever remember. And then, when the rain finally comes, it's not a gentle shower. It's a deluge that overwhelms everything.
Speaker 2: You've just described the mechanics of it perfectly, Maya. Extreme heat events have become more frequent and more severe. Temperatures hitting over 40 degrees Celsius, which is 104 degrees Fahrenheit, used to be a rarity in many places. Now, it's becoming common. And that heat leads to the paradox of the water cycle.
Speaker 3: A paradox? How so? It seems to me we're either in a drought or a flood. How can both be happening more often? It feels contradictory.
Speaker 2: It does, but they are two sides of the same coin. A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture, about 7 percent more for every single degree Celsius of warming. So when it does rain, the downpours are far heavier, which dramatically increases flood risk. In fact, since the year 2000, flood-related disasters have risen by 134 percent compared to the two decades before.
Speaker 1: But what about the drought side of that coin?
Speaker 2: At the same time, those higher temperatures bake the land. They increase evaporation from soil, from rivers, from reservoirs, leading to more rapid and severe droughts in many regions. This has given rise to a phenomenon that scientists are now calling climate whiplash, where a region can swing violently between a devastating drought one year and catastrophic floods the next. It just overwhelms our infrastructure and our ecosystems.
Speaker 1: And this combination of prolonged heat and severe drought creates a perfect storm for another disaster we see constantly on the news: wildfires.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Wildfire seasons have become longer and more intense in many parts of the world. Scientific analysis estimates that human-caused climate change has already doubled the area of forest burned in the Western United States in recent decades. And this creates a terrifying feedback loop. These megafires don't just destroy communities, they release enormous amounts of stored carbon back into the atmosphere, which in turn causes more warming, which then leads to more fires.
Speaker 4: I live in California, and that feedback loop is something you can feel in your bones. The fear during fire season is palpable. And even if you're not near the flames, the smoke can choke the sky for weeks. It's a constant, unhealthy reminder of what's happening.
Speaker 1: Maya, you've taken us right to the next critical point. These disasters are not just statistics. They have a direct and severe impact on our health. The report goes so far as to call climate change the greatest global health threat of the 21st century. Carter?
Speaker 2: It is, without a doubt. The impacts are extensive. Let's start with the most direct one: the heat itself. Extreme heat is one of the deadliest weather phenomena. The IPCC confirms with very high confidence that the increase in extreme heat has resulted in human mortality and morbidity in every region of the world.
Speaker 3: We hear about vulnerable people being at risk during heatwaves, which makes sense. But does it have a broader impact on the general population, on the economy?
Speaker 2: A massive one. The Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change, which is a major annual report, documented these record-breaking health threats. They estimated that in 2023, 3.4 billion potential labor hours were lost globally just due to people being exposed to extreme heat. Thats an increase of 69 percent compared to the average in the 1990s. So yes, it has huge economic and productivity impacts.
Speaker 1: And those are just the direct impacts of the heat itself. What about the less obvious health threats?
Speaker 2: They are just as concerning. A warmer world is a more hospitable world for the vectors that carry diseases. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expanding the geographic range for diseases like malaria, dengue, West Nile virus, and Lyme disease. We're seeing them appear in places they've never been before.
Speaker 4: And it must affect our food and water, the very foundations of our health.
Speaker 2: Absolutely. Climate change directly undermines both. The report notes that climate change has slowed the growth of agricultural productivity over the past 50 years. It's a key driver of the global food insecurity that affected, by some estimates, over 750 million people in 2023. At the same time, about half the world's population, that's four billion people, now experiences severe water scarcity for at least one month of the year, a situation made much worse by melting glaciers and prolonged droughts.
Speaker 4: And beyond all the physical ailments, there has to be a psychological toll. The stress of living with this uncertainty, the trauma of surviving a disaster, the anxiety about what the future holds for your children. The report touches on mental health, doesn't it?
Speaker 2: It does. This is a growing and critical area of concern. The IPCC has now clearly associated increasing temperatures and the trauma from extreme events with significant challenges to mental health. This includes post-traumatic stress disorder after a disaster, anxiety and depression when people lose their homes or livelihoods, and a broader condition people are calling eco-anxiety, especially among young people, about the future of the planet.
Speaker 1: And this idea of a psychological toll, this eco-anxiety, leads to another form of stress: financial. The report makes it clear that the economic consequences of climate change have become impossible to ignore over the last decade. Carter, can you start by outlining the scale of these costs?
Speaker 2: The scale is immense, and it's escalating rapidly. The most direct measure we have comes from the global reinsurance industry, the companies that insure the insurance companies. Data from the Swiss Re Institute shows that for five consecutive years, from 2020 through 2024, the global insured losses from natural catastrophes have surpassed 100 billion US dollars.
Speaker 3: Okay, 100 billion is a massive number. But you have to wonder, isn't some of that just due to inflation, or the simple fact that we've built more expensive homes and cities in high-risk areas like coastlines? Are the storms themselves really causing more financial damage, or do we just have more valuable things in their way?
Speaker 2: That's a very important point, Frank. And yes, growing asset values in vulnerable areas, what they call exposure, is definitely a part of the story. However, the data clearly shows that the primary driver of the upward trend is the increased frequency and intensity of the severe weather events themselves. For example, in 2024, the total economic losses from natural disasters hit an estimated 318 billion dollars. The insured portion was 137 billion. The rest was uninsured.
Speaker 1: So more than half of all the losses were not covered by insurance. What does the report say about that?
Speaker 2: It refers to this as the protection gap, and this gap is widening. In 2024, 57 percent of all global economic losses from these catastrophes were uninsured. This is a huge problem, especially in developing countries where very few people have insurance. For these communities, a single disaster can wipe out years of economic development and trap them in a cycle of poverty and recovery.
Speaker 4: And this isn't just an abstract global statistic. I mean, we see it in our own communities. We hear stories of insurance premiums skyrocketing to the point where they are unaffordable. Or worse, insurance companies simply pulling out of entire states like Florida or California because the risk of wildfire or flooding has become too high. This creates this incredible financial stress for families who are just trying to protect their homes.
Speaker 1: And it's not just private homes and property. Our shared public infrastructure is also facing enormous risks.
Speaker 2: That's right. Our entire modern society, the energy grids, transportation networks, water treatment plants, they were all designed and built for a climate that no longer exists.
Speaker 2: Sea level rise directly threatens ports and coastal cities, extreme heat puts an incredible strain on power grids, and intense flooding can destroy roads and bridges. The World Bank has warned that the cost of inaction, particularly in terms of damage to infrastructure, could run into the trillions of dollars.
Speaker 3: Trillions in damage. But fixing it would also cost trillions. I mean, upgrading a nation's entire power grid or rebuilding its coastal defenses requires a colossal upfront investment. Where is that money supposed to come from, especially for countries that are already struggling?
Speaker 2: It's a major challenge, but the analysis shows that inaction is far more expensive. The World Bank estimates that for every one dollar invested in making infrastructure more climate-resilient now, we could see a benefit of four dollars in avoided damages and disruptions down the road. Its a classic case of an ounce of prevention being worth a pound of cure.
Speaker 1: When homes are destroyed, infrastructure fails, and livelihoods are lost, people are inevitably forced to move. The report identifies climate change as a powerful driver of human displacement.
Speaker 2: Yes, it acts as a threat multiplier. The number of forcibly displaced people worldwide has nearly doubled in the last ten years, reaching an estimated 123.2 million by the end of 2024.
Speaker 2: And while conflict is still a primary driver, the IPCC states with high confidence that climate and weather extremes are increasingly forcing people from their homes on every single continent. In fact, 2024 saw the highest number of new displacements from extreme weather in 16 years.
Speaker 3: I understand the numbers, but I think it's tricky to label someone a climate refugee. People move for all sorts of reasons, for better jobs, to escape poverty, for family. How can you really untangle all those factors and say with certainty that someone was displaced specifically by climate change?
Speaker 2: You've hit on the core of the issue. It's rarely a single cause, which is why the term threat multiplier is so accurate. A drought, for example, can kill crops, which leads to economic collapse, which can then lead to resource conflicts, and all of those factors together push people to move.
Speaker 2: Climate change is the spark that ignites these other pre-existing vulnerabilities. And the report highlights a chilling statistic on this point: between 2010 and 2020, the death rate from floods, droughts, and storms was 15 times higher in highly vulnerable regions compared to the most secure ones.
Speaker 4: And it's not just people who are being displaced and harmed. It's... it's everything else. The entire web of life that supports us.
Speaker 1: Thats a vital point, Maya. The report draws a direct line between the climate crisis and the broader biodiversity crisis that's happening all around us. Carter?
Speaker 2: Yes, the two are deeply intertwined. Climate change is a primary driver of what many scientists now refer to as the Earth's sixth mass extinction. A landmark global assessment from the IPBES warned that an estimated one million animal and plant species are now threatened with extinction, many within decades.
Speaker 2: While land use change is currently the biggest driver, climate change is projected to become as, or even more, important in the coming decades.
Speaker 1: Can you give us a concrete example of this happening right now?
Speaker 2: The most potent symbol is the fate of the world's coral reefs. The last decade has been catastrophic for them. The Great Barrier Reef, for instance, has suffered six mass coral bleaching events just since 2015.
Speaker 2: These are caused by prolonged marine heatwaves that literally cook the coral, causing them to expel their symbiotic algae and turn white. The increasing frequency of these heatwaves leaves no time for the reefs to recover.
Speaker 4: Its so hard to hear that. Losing the coral reefs… it's like imagining a world without the Amazon rainforest. It's a loss so profound you can't even begin to calculate the cost. A world that's just… less alive.
Speaker 2: And the science is very clear on this. Scientists warn that if global warming exceeds the 1.5 degree target, over 90 percent of the world's tropical coral reefs could be lost by the middle of this century. It's a devastating blow to marine biodiversity and to the millions of people who depend on those reefs for their food and their livelihoods.
Speaker 1: That is an incredibly sobering thought, Maya. A world that is simply less alive. We've spent this time detailing an accelerating crisis with devastating impacts on our health, our economy, and the very biodiversity of the planet. Its a stark picture. But the world has not been completely idle. The final section of the report assesses the global response.
Speaker 1: Carter, the central pillar of international climate policy over the past decade has been the Paris Agreement, adopted back in 2015. For listeners who may not remember the details, can you remind us what it set out to achieve?
Speaker 2: Of course. The Paris Agreement was a genuine diplomatic breakthrough. For the first time, it brought all nations, both developed and developing, into a common framework to combat climate change. Its main goals are to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit that temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 1: And how was it designed to achieve that? What's the actual mechanism?
Speaker 2: The agreement operates on a five-year cycle of what's called ratcheting ambition. The idea is that countries are required to submit their own national climate action plans, which are known as Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs. Then, every five years, they are supposed to come back to the table with a new, stronger plan that is more ambitious than their last one.
Speaker 3: Okay, hold on. Nationally Determined Contributions. That sounds like a lot of diplomatic jargon. If I'm hearing you right, does that just mean that every country gets to make up its own plan, and there's no real penalty or enforcement if they don't follow it or if their plan is too weak?
Speaker 2: You're not wrong, Frank. It is not an international treaty with a heavy-handed enforcement mechanism in the traditional sense. It's a framework that is built more on transparency, reporting, and a kind of global peer pressure. The idea is that by having everyone's commitments out in the open, and by regularly taking stock of our collective progress, countries will be encouraged and expected to ramp up their efforts over time.
Speaker 4: So its less of a strict global law and more of a collective promise. A set of promises, really. But based on everything we've talked about today, from the shattered temperature records to the accelerating ice melt, it seems like those promises are being broken.
Speaker 1: Maya, that takes us directly to what the report calls the ambition gap. Carter, you explained the process. Now let's talk about the reality. How big is the shortfall between what countries have promised in their NDCs and what the science tells us we actually need to do?
Speaker 2: The shortfall is massive. It's a chasm, really. The most recent analysis from the United Nations, which looked at the latest pledges from 195 countries, concluded that we are falling miles short of what's needed. If every country fully implemented its current pledges, we would see a global emission reduction of only about 5.9 percent by 2030 compared to 2019 levels.
Speaker 4: Only six percent? That sounds tiny. How does that compare to the goal?
Speaker 2: Well, the IPCC, the main scientific body, has found that to keep the 1.5 degree limit within reach, our emissions need to be slashed by at least 43 percent by 2030. So we are pledging for a six percent cut when we need a 43 percent cut.
Speaker 2: This gap means that the sum of all these national promises currently has the world on a trajectory toward a catastrophic level of warming somewhere between 2.5 and 2.9 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 3: That's just astounding. It's not a gap, its a total disconnect from reality. So these huge annual conferences, the COPs we hear about on the news every year with all the world leaders, what are they actually achieving if the numbers are still this bad? Is it just a talking shop?
Speaker 2: That's a criticism you hear a lot, and there is a great deal of frustration. These conferences are the primary venue for negotiating how to implement the Paris Agreement. They have produced some important outcomes. For instance, COP28 in Dubai produced the first ever global stocktake, which is essentially the world's climate report card. And it ended with a historic, first-ever call for countries to begin transitioning away from fossil fuels.
Speaker 4: But Carter, the language there seems so important. I remember the debate was about a phase-out of fossil fuels, but the final agreement was to transition away from them. It feels like very carefully chosen, watered-down language. Does that kind of subtle change in wording actually lead to real-world action, or does it just give countries a loophole?
Speaker 2: That is the heart of the debate. Many nations were deeply disappointed that the language wasn't stronger. The hope is that even that language signals a clear direction to the global economy. That same conference also established a global goal to triple renewable energy capacity and double the rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030, which are very concrete targets.
Speaker 1: And what about the most recent conference mentioned in the report, COP29?
Speaker 2: That was dubbed the Finance COP. Its main job was to agree on a new climate finance goal to help developing nations. After very contentious negotiations, they agreed that developed countries should lead in mobilizing at least 300 billion dollars per year by 2035 for developing nations. But again, many of those nations expressed deep disappointment, stating that this number falls far, far short of their estimated needs, which are in the trillions.
Speaker 1: This seems to be a recurring theme of falling short. Let's shift from the policy to the other major part of the response, which is technology. Here, the report does seem to highlight one area as a significant success story. And that is the renewables revolution.
Speaker 2: Yes, this has been the brightest spot of the last decade without a doubt. We've seen an absolutely explosive growth of renewable energy technologies, especially solar panels and wind power. This was driven by incredible innovation and economies of scale, and it caused the costs of solar and wind to plummet.
Speaker 2: They are now the cheapest sources of new electricity generation in most of the world. To give you a sense of the scale, in 2023, the world added a record 473 gigawatts of new renewable capacity. The International Energy Agency even forecasts that this year, in 2025, renewables will overtake coal as the single largest source of global electricity.
Speaker 3: Thats genuinely good news, and everyone loves seeing cheaper energy. But I noticed the report also says that we are still not on track to meet that COP28 goal of tripling renewable capacity by 2030.
Speaker 3: Why is that? If this technology is so cheap and effective, why aren't we just building it everywhere, all the time, as fast as we possibly can? What's the hold-up?
Speaker 2: It's a great question, Frank. The momentum is incredible, but the scale of the challenge is even bigger. To achieve that tripling goal, we would need to be adding, on average, around 1,050 gigawatts of new capacity every single year for the rest of the decade.
Speaker 2: That's more than double the record we just set in 2023. The barriers are no longer primarily about cost; they are about things like modernizing our electrical grids to handle this new type of energy, overcoming supply chain bottlenecks for components, and streamlining the permitting processes to get projects built faster. So even in this huge success story, there is a major gap between our current progress and the required pace of change.
Speaker 1: So, Carter, even our biggest technological success story, renewable energy, is facing a challenge of sheer scale and speed. The report points to another critical tool in the toolbox, something often called the first fuel, which is energy efficiency.
Speaker 3: Now this is something that just seems like pure common sense to me. Using less energy to get the same result, whether it's an efficient appliance or an insulated home. It saves people money on their bills, it reduces strain on the power grid, and it cuts emissions. It seems like the absolute lowest-hanging fruit. Why aren't we talking about this constantly?
Speaker 2: You are absolutely right, Frank. Improving energy efficiency is the cheapest and cleanest way to address our energy needs, which is why the COP28 goal to double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030 is so critical. But the reality, as the report lays out, has been deeply disappointing.
Speaker 1: How so? What does the data show?
Speaker 2: After a brief speed-up in 2022, which was mostly in response to the global energy crisis, the rate of global energy intensity improvement slowed way down to just one percent in both 2023 and 2024. To be on a pathway to net-zero emissions, we need that rate to be averaging around four percent per year. So we are falling far short. The report effectively calls it a major and concerning policy failure on a global scale.
Speaker 1: So if we're failing on the common-sense goal of efficiency, what about the more high-tech solutions that promise to clean up our existing emissions? Carter, the report spends some time on Carbon Capture, Utilisation, and Storage, or CCUS.
Speaker 3: Again, on the surface, this sounds like a pragmatic solution. For those really difficult industries that are hard to electrify, like making cement or steel, why not just build a system to capture the carbon dioxide before it ever gets into the atmosphere? It seems like a logical way to solve the problem without having to completely shut down these essential industries overnight.
Speaker 2: And that is exactly how it is often presented, Frank, as a necessary solution for these hard-to-abate sectors. And there is a lot of momentum in terms of announcements. The report notes there are over 700 projects in various stages of development. However, it also points to a massive gap between those announcements and the operational reality.
Speaker 4: What do you mean by that? A gap between announcements and reality?
Speaker 2: As of early 2024, the total global operational capacity for capturing CO2 was just over 50 million tonnes per year. That is a tiny fraction of what has been announced or proposed for 2030. And critically, only 20 percent of that announced capacity had actually reached a final investment decision.
Speaker 2: This indicates that most of these projects are still just on the drawing board, they are not yet real. So deployment has consistently and significantly lagged behind the expectations and the promises.
Speaker 4: You know, I have to wonder if there's a risk here that this technology just becomes an excuse. A way for fossil fuel companies and heavy industries to continue polluting under the promise that someday, in the future, they'll be able to clean it all up. It feels like it could be a dangerous distraction from the real work of actually cutting emissions at the source.
Speaker 1: Speaking of potentially dangerous and controversial ideas, the report mentions that as the world falls further behind on emissions reductions, there is a growing, albeit highly contentious, interest in something called solar geoengineering. Carter, can you even begin to explain what that is?
Speaker 2: I can try. It's also sometimes called solar radiation modification. This refers to a set of hypothetical technologies that are designed to cool the planet by reflecting a small fraction of incoming sunlight back out to space. The most commonly discussed method is called stratospheric aerosol injection, which would involve spraying reflective particles, like sulfur dioxide, into the upper atmosphere to mimic the cooling effect of a large volcanic eruption.
Speaker 4: That sounds absolutely terrifying. I mean, the idea of us deliberately conducting a planetary-scale experiment with our only atmosphere, when we can't possibly predict all the consequences… it just feels like the height of human arrogance. We've already made one huge mess by pumping carbon dioxide into the air; this sounds like a way to make another, potentially even worse, mess.
Speaker 2: Your reaction, Maya, captures the essence of the controversy. The scientific community is extremely cautious. The report emphasizes that geoengineering is not a substitute for cutting emissions. It does not address the root cause of the problem, which is the greenhouse gas blanket, and it carries immense and poorly understood risks.
Speaker 2: It could potentially disrupt regional weather patterns, harm the ozone layer, and it creates a moral hazard by possibly reducing the incentive for us to do the hard work of decarbonizing our economies.
Speaker 1: So it's seen as a last-ditch, break-glass-in-case-of-emergency option with huge potential side effects. Maya, your point about the arrogance of these high-tech ideas is well taken. And while we're discussing these futuristic and risky technologies, the report highlights a profound failure in a much more basic and immediate area: finance and justice for the people already suffering the consequences. Carter, can you explain what the report calls the adaptation finance gap?
Speaker 2: This is one of the most sobering findings in the entire report. While much of the focus is on mitigation, which is cutting emissions, adaptation, which is preparing for the impacts of climate change, is equally critical, especially for the world's most vulnerable nations. The UNEP Adaptation Gap Report revealed a staggering shortfall in funding.
Speaker 1: How big is the shortfall?
Speaker 2: The report estimates that the annual adaptation finance needs of developing countries are somewhere between 215 billion and 387 billion dollars. In stark contrast, the total international public finance that flowed to these countries for adaptation in 2021 was just 21 billion dollars, which was actually a 15 percent decline from the year before.
Speaker 2: This means the actual needs are 10 to 18 times greater than the funds that are actually being provided, leaving the most vulnerable communities dangerously exposed and underprepared.
Speaker 3: I understand the need is great, but why is this framed as a justice issue? Isn't every country ultimately responsible for protecting its own citizens and adapting to its own challenges?
Speaker 2: That question gets to the very core of the UN climate negotiations. The entire process is built upon a foundational principle known as common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities. It's a bit of a mouthful, but the concept is straightforward.
Speaker 2: It acknowledges that while all nations share a common responsibility to protect the global climate, the developed countries, which have been industrializing for over a century, bear a much greater historical responsibility for causing the problem in the first place. They also possess far greater financial and technological capabilities to address it.
Speaker 4: So its the idea that the polluter should pay. The ones who created the mess have a greater obligation to help clean it up, and to help protect those who are most harmed by it.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Climate justice frameworks articulate this through the concept of a double inequality. The very people and nations who have contributed the least to the emissions that cause climate change are the ones who are suffering the earliest and most severe consequences.
Speaker 2: Therefore, a just global response requires that the developed nations lead the way in making the deepest emissions cuts, and that they provide substantial financial and technological support to help developing nations adapt to the impacts they did little to cause.
Speaker 1: Carter, you were just explaining this core principle of climate justice, that the nations with the greatest historical responsibility for emissions also have the greatest capacity to help solve the problem.
Speaker 2: Yes, and it builds on what Maya was saying. Its about recognizing the profound unfairness, the, uh, double inequality that lies at the heart of the climate crisis. The people who are most harmed are the ones who did the least to cause the problem. Think about it, uh, a farmer in the Sahel whose land is turning to desert, or a family in a low-lying island nation whose home is threatened by sea level rise… their contribution to historical emissions is practically zero.
Speaker 4: So what you're saying is, that farmer, whose crops are failing from a drought they had no part in creating, is right now paying a much, much higher price than someone in a wealthy country who has, you know, benefited from a century of industrial development powered by fossil fuels.
Speaker 2: That is the injustice in a nutshell. And so, the framework for a just response is built on that understanding. It means developed nations have a moral and ethical obligation to lead with deep, rapid emissions cuts. And, crucially, it means they have an obligation to provide significant financial and technological support to help developing nations build clean economies and adapt to the impacts they are already facing.
Speaker 3: I understand the moral argument. I do. But from a purely practical standpoint, it seems incredibly complicated. I mean, how far back do you go to assign this historical responsibility? Are you trying to calculate the emissions of the United Kingdom from the 1880s? It feels like an impossibly complex way to assign blame.
Speaker 2: That's a fair point, Frank, and you know, its less about calculating precise historical blame and more about acknowledging the reality of the present day. The framework is not about punishing past generations. It's about recognizing which nations today have the accumulated wealth, the technology, and the stable institutions—many of which were built on that history of fossil-fueled development—to lead the global response. Its about capability and responsibility in the here and now.
Speaker 1: This whole conversation about justice, responsibility, and the immense shortfall in support really underscores the urgency of the crisis. And perhaps nothing in this entire report highlights that urgency more than the growing scientific understanding of a concept known as climate tipping points. Carter, for our listeners, what exactly is a tipping point?
Speaker 2: It is probably the most sobering concept in all of climate science. The IPCC defines a tipping point as a critical threshold in the Earth's system. Once that threshold is crossed, a part of the system could trigger an abrupt, cascading, and potentially irreversible change.
Speaker 1: Abrupt and irreversible. Those are two very powerful words. What does irreversible mean in this context?
Speaker 2: It means that even if we managed to cool the planet back down later, the system might not flip back. The change could be locked in for centuries, or even millennia. We could pass a point of no return.
Speaker 4: That is… a terrifying thought. So what are these systems? What parts of the planet are we talking about?
Speaker 2: Scientists have identified several large-scale components of the Earth system that may have these tipping points. The most commonly discussed are the great ice sheets. Were talking about the irreversible collapse of the Greenland and the West Antarctic ice sheets.
Speaker 1: And what would be the consequence of something like that?
Speaker 2: Well, uh, together, those two ice sheets hold enough frozen water to raise the global mean sea level by over 10 meters. That's about 33 feet.
Speaker 4: Ten meters… I… I cant even comprehend that. That's not just flooding. That is wiping entire cities, entire island nations, completely off the map for good.
Speaker 2: Yes, the consequences would be civilization-altering. And another major tipping element is in the oceans themselves. A major slowdown or even a shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, often called the AMOC.
Speaker 3: The AMOC. I've heard of that, but it sounds like something out of a disaster movie. What does this current actually do for us?
Speaker 2: It's a massive system of ocean currents that acts like a conveyor belt, transporting warm water from the tropics up to the North Atlantic. It plays a huge role in regulating weather patterns, especially in the Northern Hemisphere.
Speaker 2: A collapse of this system would drastically alter weather across North America and Europe, causing, you know, extreme cooling in some places, changing rainfall patterns, and disrupting monsoons that billions of people depend on for their food.
Speaker 1: So we have the ice and the oceans. What else?
Speaker 2: Then we have the biosphere systems. There are two major ones scientists are deeply concerned about. The first is the potential dieback of the Amazon rainforest.
Speaker 1: So the Amazon could go from being this vital carbon sink that helps us, to becoming a major carbon source that actually hurts us?
Speaker 2: Precisely. Large parts of the forest could transition into a drier, savanna-like ecosystem. And in doing so, it would release the vast quantities of carbon stored in its trees and soil, which would create a powerful feedback loop that accelerates even more global warming.
Speaker 4: And the other one? You hear people talk about a ticking carbon bomb in the arctic. Is that what you mean?
Speaker 2: That's the one. The abrupt, widespread thawing of permafrost. This is the permanently frozen ground in the arctic regions, and it contains enormous amounts of organic carbon that has been locked away for thousands of years. As it thaws, microbes decompose that organic matter and release it into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide and, even more potently, methane. This is another one of those dangerous feedback loops.
Speaker 1: So Carter, we have these massive, continent-scale systems that could fundamentally break. I think for a long time, many of us thought of these tipping points as very distant risks. You know, things that might happen if warming got really, really bad, say, at five or six degrees Celsius. What does the latest science in the report say about that?
Speaker 2: This, Alice, is perhaps the single most concerning finding to emerge in the last few years of research. The scientific consensus has shifted. Those early estimates that suggested these were high-warming risks have been revised. The latest research, which is cited in the IPCC reports, indicates that the temperature thresholds for triggering some of these tipping points may be much, much lower than we previously thought.
Speaker 3: How much lower are we talking about?
Speaker 2: The latest studies indicate that several of these major tipping points, including the collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, the shutdown of the AMOC, and widespread permafrost thaw, could potentially be triggered at warming levels between 1.5 and 2.0 degrees Celsius.
Speaker 4: But wait a minute. Carter, you said at the very, very beginning of our conversation that the world already temporarily breached 1.5 degrees of warming in 2024. If the trigger point is 1.5 degrees, what does that mean for us right now?
Speaker 2: It means… well, it means that the risk is no longer a distant, abstract threat for future generations. It places the possibility of crossing these irreversible thresholds squarely within the realm of possibility this century. It moves the conversation from the future into the immediate present.
Speaker 2: And, you know, it adds a profound, almost existential urgency to the need for immediate, deep, and drastic emissions reductions. The window of opportunity to steer away from these points is closing, and it is closing very, very rapidly.
Speaker 1: That is a deeply unsettling reality to confront, Carter. And Maya, I see you reacting to that. When you hear that the 1.5 degree line, which weve talked about for so long as this future guardrail, is not only something we've touched but is also the potential trigger for these irreversible changes… what does that feel like?
Speaker 4: You know, it… it almost takes your breath away. It feels like we've been driving towards a cliff in the fog, arguing about how fast we should be going. And Carter is saying the fog has just cleared, and we're right at the edge. Were there. That's a very, very hard thing to fully process.
Speaker 3: It is. And it brings up a really difficult, practical question for me. If we're already on the verge of crossing these irreversible thresholds, what is the point of all this? I mean, does a 43 percent emissions cut by 2030, which already seems impossible, even matter anymore if the fuse has already been lit on something like the Greenland ice sheet? Have we… have we already lost the game?
Speaker 2: Frank, that is the most important question anyone can ask right now. And the conclusion of the report, uh, argues that this is precisely why our actions now matter more than they ever have before. The first major conclusion is that the defining characteristic of the last decade is non-linear acceleration.
Speaker 1: Okay, non-linear acceleration. Break that down for us.
Speaker 2: Think of it like a car that's rolling down a hill. But the hill isn't a steady slope; it's a curve that gets steeper and steeper as you go. So for every foot you travel, your speed increases more than it did in the previous foot. You are accelerating exponentially, not in a straight line, not arithmetically. Thats whats happening to our planetary systems. The risks are growing at an accelerating rate.
Speaker 1: So every fraction of a degree of warming we can prevent now, every year we can act faster, has a much bigger impact in preventing that future acceleration than it would have twenty or thirty years ago.
Speaker 2: Exactly. Its what scientists call positive feedback loops becoming more potent. So, to answer Franks question, its the absolute opposite of the game being lost. It means the stakes of our actions in the next five to ten years are higher than they have ever been in human history. Every ton of carbon we keep out of the atmosphere now pays huge dividends in slowing down that terrifying acceleration toward those tipping points.
Speaker 1: And the report also concludes that these are not isolated problems, correct? It talks about a cascade of interconnected crises.
Speaker 2: Yes, that's the second key takeaway. We can no longer think of climate impacts as a series of separate events. A drought is not just a lack of water. It is a trigger. It triggers failures in the food system when crops fail. It triggers failures in the economic system when farmers lose their livelihoods.
Speaker 2: It triggers, you know, public health crises from malnutrition and water-borne diseases. It can even culminate in social instability and displacement. Climate change is a threat multiplier that makes all our existing vulnerabilities worse.
Speaker 4: You can really see that in real life, cant you? I mean, a wildfire isn't just a fire anymore. It becomes a public health crisis for millions of people breathing in the smoke. It's an economic crisis for the entire region. It becomes a water crisis months later when the first heavy rains wash toxic ash and debris into the reservoirs. You realize that one event pulls on all the other threads that hold our society together. Everything is connected.
Speaker 2: Thats a perfect way to put it, Maya. And because everything is connected, the report concludes that our response has to be holistic. We cant have siloed policies that address energy, or agriculture, or public health in isolation. They are all part of the same interconnected challenge.
Speaker 1: This brings us to the third, and perhaps the toughest, conclusion from the report. Which is that our global response, as it stands today, is being dangerously outpaced by the physical reality of climate change.
Speaker 2: That's the hard truth of the last decade. Despite all the meetings and the progress on renewables, the response remains critically insufficient. The report concludes that this failure is defined by three persistent and widening gaps. First is the ambition gap we already discussed, the gap between the weak climate pledges from countries and what science clearly shows is necessary.
Speaker 1: And the second?
Speaker 2: The second is the adaptation finance gap, which we just covered. The massive shortfall in funding that leaves the worlds most vulnerable populations essentially undefended against the coming storms and droughts. And the third is the justice gap, which undermines the trust and cooperation that are absolutely essential for any kind of effective global solution.
Speaker 3: So if I'm hearing this correctly, the reports ultimate conclusion is that our primary problem is no longer a technological one. We have the solar panels, we have the wind turbines, we have the efficiency solutions. The report is saying that the biggest barriers now are political, financial, and social. It's about a lack of political will, a failure to mobilize the necessary funds, and a failure to address the core injustices of the crisis.
Speaker 2: That is the absolute crux of the conclusion. Technology is a vital tool, an essential tool, but it is not a silver bullet. The primary obstacles are now in our halls of government, in our financial institutions, and, uh, in our collective willingness to face this reality and act at the scale it requires.
Speaker 1: So after this incredibly detailed and, frankly, alarming look back at the last decade, where does this leave us? We have a planet in a state of acceleration. We've temporarily breached the 1.5 degree threshold. And the risk of irreversible tipping points is no longer a future problem, but a present-day danger. Maya, I want to start with you. Whats your final takeaway?
Speaker 4: It leaves me feeling that the time for simply being worried, or for abstract hope, is over. The only appropriate response to this level of evidence is determined action. This report is a story written in data, and it's telling us we have to transform this stark awareness into real, tangible work in our communities and demand it from our leaders. Theres no time for anything else.
Speaker 1: Frank?
Speaker 3: It leaves me thinking that we need to have a much more honest and pragmatic conversation about the real-world costs and trade-offs. Weve talked about technology and policy, but this report makes it clear that the real fight is over politics and economics. And until we tackle that head-on, with honesty, we'll keep falling short.
Speaker 1: And Carter, a final thought from you.
Speaker 2: The science has been clear for a long time, but the evidence from this past decade is definitive. You know, this period from 2015 to 2025 will be remembered as the decade the consequences of our inaction became undeniable. That temporary breach of 1.5 degrees served as a final, unambiguous warning. The scientific challenge now is to monitor these accelerating changes. But the human challenge is to finally close those gaps between promises and performance, before those tipping points are crossed for good.
Speaker 1: Carter, that is a powerful and frankly stark place to end, on the precipice of these tipping points with the clock running out. But... you know, before we wrap up completely, I want to hold on that last thought. The human challenge. I feel we can't end just with the warning. I want to pivot from the problems we've detailed so thoroughly to the specific pathways forward that are emerging. Beyond the high-level policy failures, where are the new fronts in this challenge?
Speaker 2: That's a crucial pivot to make, Alice. Because, uh, despair is paralyzing. And despite the failures, there are new strategies and, you know, new arenas of action that are gaining momentum.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about one of those. We've mentioned the justice gap and the economic challenges. What about the people, the workers and communities, whose entire livelihoods are tied to the fossil fuel industries we need to transition away from?
Speaker 2: You're talking about the concept of a Just Transition. And you know, this has become a central part of the conversation because it's both morally right and politically essential. A Just Transition means ensuring that the shift to a green economy is fair and inclusive. It means we don't leave coal miners, oil rig workers, and entire communities that depend on these industries behind.

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pyproject.toml Normal file
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[build-system]
requires = ["setuptools>=61.0"]
build-backend = "setuptools.build_meta"
[project]
name = "vibevoice"
version = "0.0.1"
authors = [
{ name="vibevoice team", email="vibepod@microsoft.com" },
]
description = "A model for speech generation with an AR + diffusion architecture."
readme = "README.md"
requires-python = ">=3.8"
classifiers = [
"Programming Language :: Python :: 3",
# "License :: OSI Approved :: MIT License",
"Operating System :: OS Independent",
]
dependencies = [
"torch",
"accelerate==1.6.0",
"transformers==4.51.3", # we develop this project on transformers==4.51.3, later version may not be compatible
"diffusers",
"tqdm",
"numpy",
"scipy",
"ml-collections",
"absl-py",
"gradio",
"av",
"aiortc",
]
[project.urls]
"Homepage" = "https://github.com/microsoft/VibeVoice"
"Bug Tracker" = "https://github.com/microsoft/VibeVoice/issues"
[tool.setuptools]
packages = ["vibevoice",]

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@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
{
"_attn_implementation_autoset": true,
"acoustic_vae_dim": 64,
"acoustic_tokenizer_config": {
"causal": true,
"channels": 1,
"conv_bias": true,
"conv_norm": "none",
"corpus_normalize": 0.0,
"decoder_depths": null,
"decoder_n_filters": 32,
"decoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"disable_last_norm": true,
"encoder_depths": "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
"encoder_n_filters": 32,
"encoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"fix_std": 0.5,
"layer_scale_init_value": 1e-06,
"layernorm": "RMSNorm",
"layernorm_elementwise_affine": true,
"layernorm_eps": 1e-05,
"mixer_layer": "depthwise_conv",
"model_type": "vibepod_acoustic_tokenizer",
"pad_mode": "constant",
"std_dist_type": "gaussian",
"vae_dim": 64,
"weight_init_value": 0.01
},
"decoder_config": {
"attention_dropout": 0.0,
"hidden_act": "silu",
"hidden_size": 1536,
"initializer_range": 0.02,
"intermediate_size": 8960,
"max_position_embeddings": 65536,
"max_window_layers": 28,
"model_type": "qwen2",
"num_attention_heads": 12,
"num_hidden_layers": 28,
"num_key_value_heads": 2,
"rms_norm_eps": 1e-06,
"rope_scaling": null,
"rope_theta": 1000000.0,
"sliding_window": null,
"tie_word_embeddings": true,
"torch_dtype": "bfloat16",
"use_cache": true,
"use_sliding_window": false,
"vocab_size": 151936
},
"diffusion_head_config": {
"ddpm_batch_mul": 4,
"ddpm_beta_schedule": "cosine",
"ddpm_num_inference_steps": 20,
"ddpm_num_steps": 1000,
"diffusion_type": "ddpm",
"head_ffn_ratio": 3.0,
"head_layers": 4,
"hidden_size": 1536,
"latent_size": 64,
"model_type": "vibepod_diffusion_head",
"prediction_type": "v_prediction",
"rms_norm_eps": 1e-05,
"speech_vae_dim": 64
},
"model_type": "vibepod",
"semantic_tokenizer_config": {
"causal": true,
"channels": 1,
"conv_bias": true,
"conv_norm": "none",
"corpus_normalize": 0.0,
"disable_last_norm": true,
"encoder_depths": "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
"encoder_n_filters": 32,
"encoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"fix_std": 0,
"layer_scale_init_value": 1e-06,
"layernorm": "RMSNorm",
"layernorm_elementwise_affine": true,
"layernorm_eps": 1e-05,
"mixer_layer": "depthwise_conv",
"model_type": "vibepod_semantic_tokenizer",
"pad_mode": "constant",
"std_dist_type": "none",
"vae_dim": 128,
"weight_init_value": 0.01
},
"semantic_vae_dim": 128,
"torch_dtype": "bfloat16"
}

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@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
{
"_attn_implementation_autoset": true,
"acoustic_vae_dim": 64,
"acoustic_tokenizer_config": {
"causal": true,
"channels": 1,
"conv_bias": true,
"conv_norm": "none",
"corpus_normalize": 0.0,
"decoder_depths": null,
"decoder_n_filters": 32,
"decoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"disable_last_norm": true,
"encoder_depths": "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
"encoder_n_filters": 32,
"encoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"fix_std": 0.5,
"layer_scale_init_value": 1e-06,
"layernorm": "RMSNorm",
"layernorm_elementwise_affine": true,
"layernorm_eps": 1e-05,
"mixer_layer": "depthwise_conv",
"model_type": "vibepod_acoustic_tokenizer",
"pad_mode": "constant",
"std_dist_type": "gaussian",
"vae_dim": 64,
"weight_init_value": 0.01
},
"decoder_config": {
"attention_dropout": 0.0,
"hidden_act": "silu",
"hidden_size": 3584,
"initializer_range": 0.02,
"intermediate_size": 18944,
"max_position_embeddings": 32768,
"max_window_layers": 28,
"model_type": "qwen2",
"num_attention_heads": 28,
"num_hidden_layers": 28,
"num_key_value_heads": 4,
"rms_norm_eps": 1e-06,
"rope_theta": 1000000.0,
"sliding_window": null,
"tie_word_embeddings": false,
"torch_dtype": "bfloat16",
"transformers_version": "4.40.1",
"use_cache": true,
"use_mrope": false,
"use_sliding_window": false,
"vocab_size": 152064
},
"diffusion_head_config": {
"ddpm_batch_mul": 4,
"ddpm_beta_schedule": "cosine",
"ddpm_num_inference_steps": 20,
"ddpm_num_steps": 1000,
"diffusion_type": "ddpm",
"head_ffn_ratio": 3.0,
"head_layers": 4,
"hidden_size": 3584,
"latent_size": 64,
"model_type": "vibepod_diffusion_head",
"prediction_type": "v_prediction",
"rms_norm_eps": 1e-05,
"speech_vae_dim": 64
},
"model_type": "vibepod",
"semantic_tokenizer_config": {
"causal": true,
"channels": 1,
"conv_bias": true,
"conv_norm": "none",
"corpus_normalize": 0.0,
"disable_last_norm": true,
"encoder_depths": "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
"encoder_n_filters": 32,
"encoder_ratios": [
8,
5,
5,
4,
2,
2
],
"fix_std": 0,
"layer_scale_init_value": 1e-06,
"layernorm": "RMSNorm",
"layernorm_elementwise_affine": true,
"layernorm_eps": 1e-05,
"mixer_layer": "depthwise_conv",
"model_type": "vibepod_semantic_tokenizer",
"pad_mode": "constant",
"std_dist_type": "none",
"vae_dim": 128,
"weight_init_value": 0.01
},
"semantic_vae_dim": 128,
"torch_dtype": "bfloat16"
}

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""" VibeVoice_AcousticTokenizer model configuration"""
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple
from transformers.configuration_utils import PretrainedConfig
from transformers.utils import logging
from transformers.models.qwen2.configuration_qwen2 import Qwen2Config
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerConfig(PretrainedConfig):
model_type = "vibevoice_acoustic_tokenizer"
def __init__(
self,
channels: int = 1,
corpus_normalize: float = 0.0,
causal: bool = True,
vae_dim: int = 64,
fix_std: float = 0.5,
std_dist_type: str = 'gaussian',
# common
mixer_layer: str = 'depthwise_conv',
conv_norm: str = 'none',
pad_mode: str = 'constant',
disable_last_norm: bool = True,
layernorm: str = 'RMSNorm',
layernorm_eps: float = 1e-5,
layernorm_elementwise_affine: bool = True,
conv_bias: bool = True,
layer_scale_init_value: float = 1e-6,
weight_init_value: float = 1e-2,
# encoder specific
encoder_n_filters: int = 32,
encoder_ratios: Optional[List[int]] = [8,5,5,4,2,2],
encoder_depths: str = "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
# decoder specific
decoder_n_filters: int = 32,
decoder_ratios: Optional[List[int]] = None, # if None, same as encoder
decoder_depths: Optional[str] = None,
**kwargs
):
super().__init__(**kwargs)
self.channels = channels
self.corpus_normalize = corpus_normalize
self.causal = causal
self.vae_dim = vae_dim
self.fix_std = fix_std
self.std_dist_type = std_dist_type
# common parameters
self.conv_norm = conv_norm
self.pad_mode = pad_mode
self.layernorm_eps = layernorm_eps
self.disable_last_norm = disable_last_norm
self.layernorm = layernorm
self.layernorm_elementwise_affine = layernorm_elementwise_affine
self.conv_bias = conv_bias
self.layer_scale_init_value = layer_scale_init_value
self.weight_init_value = weight_init_value
self.mixer_layer = mixer_layer
# encoder specific parameters
self.encoder_n_filters = encoder_n_filters
self.encoder_ratios = encoder_ratios
self.encoder_depths = encoder_depths
# decoder specific parameters
self.decoder_ratios = decoder_ratios if decoder_ratios is not None else encoder_ratios
self.decoder_n_filters = decoder_n_filters
self.decoder_depths = decoder_depths
class VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerConfig(PretrainedConfig):
model_type = "vibevoice_semantic_tokenizer"
def __init__(
self,
channels: int = 1,
corpus_normalize: float = 0.0,
causal: bool = True,
vae_dim: int = 64,
fix_std: float = 0,
std_dist_type: str = 'none',
# common
mixer_layer: str = 'depthwise_conv',
conv_norm: str = 'none',
pad_mode: str = 'constant',
disable_last_norm: bool = True,
layernorm: str = 'RMSNorm',
layernorm_eps: float = 1e-5,
layernorm_elementwise_affine: bool = True,
conv_bias: bool = True,
layer_scale_init_value: float = 1e-6,
weight_init_value: float = 1e-2,
# encoder specific
encoder_n_filters: int = 32,
encoder_ratios: Optional[List[int]] = [8,5,5,4,2,2],
encoder_depths: str = "3-3-3-3-3-3-8",
**kwargs
):
super().__init__(**kwargs)
self.channels = channels
self.corpus_normalize = corpus_normalize
self.causal = causal
self.vae_dim = vae_dim
self.fix_std = fix_std
self.std_dist_type = std_dist_type
# common parameters
self.conv_norm = conv_norm
self.pad_mode = pad_mode
self.layernorm_eps = layernorm_eps
self.disable_last_norm = disable_last_norm
self.layernorm = layernorm
self.layernorm_elementwise_affine = layernorm_elementwise_affine
self.conv_bias = conv_bias
self.layer_scale_init_value = layer_scale_init_value
self.weight_init_value = weight_init_value
self.mixer_layer = mixer_layer
# encoder specific parameters
self.encoder_n_filters = encoder_n_filters
self.encoder_ratios = encoder_ratios
self.encoder_depths = encoder_depths
class VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig(PretrainedConfig):
model_type = "vibevoice_diffusion_head"
def __init__(
self,
hidden_size=768,
head_layers=4,
head_ffn_ratio=3.0,
rms_norm_eps=1e-5,
latent_size=64,
speech_vae_dim=None,
prediction_type="v_prediction",
diffusion_type="ddpm",
ddpm_num_steps=1000,
ddpm_num_inference_steps=20,
ddpm_beta_schedule="cosine",
ddpm_batch_mul=4,
**kwargs
):
self.hidden_size = hidden_size
self.head_layers = head_layers
self.head_ffn_ratio = head_ffn_ratio
self.rms_norm_eps = rms_norm_eps
self.latent_size = latent_size
self.speech_vae_dim = speech_vae_dim
self.prediction_type = prediction_type
self.diffusion_type = diffusion_type
self.ddpm_num_steps = ddpm_num_steps
self.ddpm_num_inference_steps = ddpm_num_inference_steps
self.ddpm_beta_schedule = ddpm_beta_schedule
self.ddpm_batch_mul = ddpm_batch_mul
super().__init__(**kwargs)
class VibeVoiceConfig(PretrainedConfig):
model_type = "vibevoice"
is_composition = True
sub_configs = {
"acoustic_tokenizer_config": VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerConfig,
"semantic_tokenizer_config": VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerConfig,
"decoder_config": Qwen2Config,
"diffusion_head_config": VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig,
}
# keys_to_ignore_at_inference = ["past_key_values"]
# Default tensor parallel plan for base model `Qwen2`
base_model_tp_plan = {
"layers.*.self_attn.q_proj": "colwise",
"layers.*.self_attn.k_proj": "colwise",
"layers.*.self_attn.v_proj": "colwise",
"layers.*.self_attn.o_proj": "rowwise",
"layers.*.mlp.gate_proj": "colwise",
"layers.*.mlp.up_proj": "colwise",
"layers.*.mlp.down_proj": "rowwise",
}
def __init__(
self,
acoustic_tokenizer_config=None,
semantic_tokenizer_config=None,
decoder_config=None,
diffusion_head_config=None,
**kwargs
):
# kwargs["_attn_implementation"] = "flash_attention_2"
kwargs["_attn_implementation_autoset"] = False
if acoustic_tokenizer_config is None:
self.acoustic_tokenizer_config = self.sub_configs["acoustic_tokenizer_config"]()
elif isinstance(acoustic_tokenizer_config, dict):
acoustic_tokenizer_config["model_type"] = "vibevoice_acoustic_tokenizer"
self.acoustic_tokenizer_config = self.sub_configs["acoustic_tokenizer_config"](**acoustic_tokenizer_config)
elif isinstance(acoustic_tokenizer_config, VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerConfig):
# If an instance of the config class is provided
self.acoustic_tokenizer_config = acoustic_tokenizer_config
if semantic_tokenizer_config is None:
self.semantic_tokenizer_config = self.sub_configs["semantic_tokenizer_config"]()
elif isinstance(semantic_tokenizer_config, dict):
semantic_tokenizer_config["model_type"] = "vibevoice_semantic_tokenizer"
self.semantic_tokenizer_config = self.sub_configs["semantic_tokenizer_config"](**semantic_tokenizer_config)
elif isinstance(semantic_tokenizer_config, VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerConfig):
# If an instance of the config class is provided
self.semantic_tokenizer_config = semantic_tokenizer_config
if decoder_config is None:
self.decoder_config = self.sub_configs["decoder_config"]()
elif isinstance(decoder_config, dict):
# If a dictionary is provided, instantiate the config class with it
# self.decoder_config = self.sub_configs["decoder_config"](**decoder_config)
if decoder_config.get("model_type", '') == "qwen2":
self.decoder_config = Qwen2Config(**decoder_config)
else:
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported decoder model type: {decoder_config.get('model_type', '')}")
elif isinstance(decoder_config, (Qwen2Config,)):
# If an instance of the config class is provided
self.decoder_config = decoder_config
if diffusion_head_config is None:
self.diffusion_head_config = self.sub_configs["diffusion_head_config"]()
elif isinstance(diffusion_head_config, dict):
diffusion_head_config["model_type"] = "vibevoice_diffusion_head"
self.diffusion_head_config = self.sub_configs["diffusion_head_config"](**diffusion_head_config)
elif isinstance(diffusion_head_config, VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig):
# If an instance of the config class is provided
self.diffusion_head_config = diffusion_head_config
# other parameters
self.acoustic_vae_dim = getattr(self.acoustic_tokenizer_config, 'vae_dim', 64)
self.semantic_vae_dim = getattr(self.semantic_tokenizer_config, 'vae_dim', 128)
super().__init__(**kwargs)
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerConfig",
"VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerConfig",
"VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig",
"VibeVoiceConfig"
]

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@ -0,0 +1,488 @@
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple, Union, Callable
from tqdm import tqdm
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
import torch.nn.functional as F
import torch.distributed as dist
from transformers.models.auto import AutoModel, AutoModelForCausalLM
from transformers.activations import ACT2FN
from transformers.modeling_outputs import CausalLMOutput, BaseModelOutputWithPast, ModelOutput
from transformers.models.llama.modeling_llama import LlamaRMSNorm
from transformers import modeling_utils
from transformers.modeling_utils import PreTrainedModel
from transformers.modeling_flash_attention_utils import FlashAttentionKwargs
from transformers.utils import logging
from .modular_vibevoice_tokenizer import VibeVoiceTokenizerStreamingCache, VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerModel, VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerModel
from .modular_vibevoice_diffusion_head import VibeVoiceDiffusionHead
from vibevoice.schedule.dpm_solver import DPMSolverMultistepScheduler
from .configuration_vibevoice import VibeVoiceConfig
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
if not hasattr(modeling_utils, "ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES") or modeling_utils.ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES is None:
modeling_utils.ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES = ["tp", "none", "colwise", "rowwise"]
@dataclass
class VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast(ModelOutput):
loss: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None
diffusion_loss: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None
speech_token_num: Optional[int] = None
logits: torch.FloatTensor = None
past_key_values: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[torch.FloatTensor]]] = None
hidden_states: Optional[Tuple[torch.FloatTensor, ...]] = None
attentions: Optional[Tuple[torch.FloatTensor, ...]] = None
@dataclass
class VibeVoiceGenerationOutput(ModelOutput):
"""
Output type for VibeVoice generation.
Args:
sequences (`torch.LongTensor` of shape `(batch_size, sequence_length)`):
The generated sequences.
speech_outputs (`List[torch.FloatTensor]`, *optional*):
List of generated speech waveforms or latents for each speech segment.
"""
sequences: torch.LongTensor = None
speech_outputs: Optional[List[torch.FloatTensor]] = None
class SpeechConnector(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, input_dim, output_dim):
super().__init__()
self.fc1 = nn.Linear(input_dim, output_dim)
self.norm = LlamaRMSNorm(output_dim, eps=1e-6)
self.fc2 = nn.Linear(output_dim, output_dim)
def forward(self, features, **kwargs):
x = self.fc1(features)
x = self.norm(x)
x = self.fc2(x)
return x
# @auto_docstring
class VibeVoicePreTrainedModel(PreTrainedModel):
config_class = VibeVoiceConfig
base_model_prefix = "model"
supports_gradient_checkpointing = True
_skip_keys_device_placement = "past_key_values"
_supports_cache_class = True
_supports_flash_attn_2 = True
_supports_sdpa = True
_supports_quantized_cache = True
_supports_static_cache = True
_supports_attention_backend = True
def _init_weights(self, module):
if isinstance(module, VibeVoiceDiffusionHead):
module.initialize_weights()
return
# Use the language model's initializer_range if available
if hasattr(self.config, 'language_model_config') and hasattr(self.config.language_model_config, 'initializer_range'):
std = self.config.language_model_config.initializer_range
elif hasattr(self.config, 'decoder_config') and hasattr(self.config.decoder_config, 'initializer_range'):
std = self.config.decoder_config.initializer_range
else:
std = 0.02 # Default value
if isinstance(module, nn.Linear):
module.weight.data.normal_(mean=0.0, std=std)
if module.bias is not None:
module.bias.data.zero_()
elif isinstance(module, nn.LayerNorm):
module.weight.data.fill_(1.0)
module.bias.data.zero_()
# @auto_docstring
class VibeVoiceModel(VibeVoicePreTrainedModel):
def __init__(self, config):
super().__init__(config)
if hasattr(config, 'torch_dtype') and config.torch_dtype is not None:
if isinstance(config.torch_dtype, str):
dtype = getattr(torch, config.torch_dtype)
else:
dtype = config.torch_dtype
else:
dtype = torch.float32
# Initialize Qwen2 model for language modeling
lm_config = config.decoder_config
self.language_model = AutoModel.from_config(lm_config)
# Initialize speech components if needed
self.acoustic_tokenizer = AutoModel.from_config(config.acoustic_tokenizer_config).to(dtype)
self.semantic_tokenizer = AutoModel.from_config(config.semantic_tokenizer_config).to(dtype)
self.acoustic_connector = SpeechConnector(config.acoustic_vae_dim, lm_config.hidden_size).to(dtype)
self.semantic_connector = SpeechConnector(config.semantic_vae_dim, lm_config.hidden_size).to(dtype)
# Register scaling factors as buffers - use 1D tensors for FSDP compatibility
self.register_buffer('speech_scaling_factor', torch.tensor(float('nan')))
self.register_buffer('speech_bias_factor', torch.tensor(float('nan')))
# Initialize prediction head for speech generation
self.prediction_head = AutoModel.from_config(config.diffusion_head_config).to(dtype)
# Initialize noise scheduler
self.noise_scheduler = DPMSolverMultistepScheduler(
num_train_timesteps=config.diffusion_head_config.ddpm_num_steps,
beta_schedule=config.diffusion_head_config.ddpm_beta_schedule,
prediction_type=config.diffusion_head_config.prediction_type
)
def get_input_embeddings(self):
if hasattr(self.language_model, 'embed_tokens'):
# If the language model has an embed_tokens attribute, return it
return self.language_model.embed_tokens
for name, attr in self.language_model.fullmap.items(): # parallel by nnscaler, the name is changed
if attr.orig_name == 'embed_tokens.weight':
return getattr(self.language_model, name)
assert False, 'should not arrive here'
def set_input_embeddings(self, value):
self.language_model.embed_tokens = value
def set_speech_tokenizers(self, acoustic_tokenizer=None, semantic_tokenizer=None):
"""Set the speech tokenizers used for encoding and decoding speech."""
self.acoustic_tokenizer = acoustic_tokenizer
self.semantic_tokenizer = semantic_tokenizer
# Reset the encoder to evaluation mode
if self.acoustic_tokenizer is not None:
self.acoustic_tokenizer.eval()
if self.semantic_tokenizer is not None:
self.semantic_tokenizer.eval()
def forward(
self,
input_ids: torch.LongTensor = None,
attention_mask: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
position_ids: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
past_key_values: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[torch.FloatTensor]]] = None,
inputs_embeds: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
use_cache: Optional[bool] = None,
output_attentions: Optional[bool] = None,
output_hidden_states: Optional[bool] = None,
return_dict: Optional[bool] = None,
cache_position: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> Union[Tuple, BaseModelOutputWithPast]:
return_dict = return_dict if return_dict is not None else self.config.use_return_dict
# Forward through language model
outputs = self.language_model(
input_ids=input_ids,
attention_mask=attention_mask,
position_ids=position_ids,
past_key_values=past_key_values,
inputs_embeds=inputs_embeds,
use_cache=use_cache,
output_attentions=output_attentions,
output_hidden_states=output_hidden_states,
return_dict=return_dict,
cache_position=cache_position,
**kwargs,
)
if not return_dict:
return outputs
return BaseModelOutputWithPast(
last_hidden_state=outputs.last_hidden_state,
past_key_values=outputs.past_key_values,
hidden_states=outputs.hidden_states,
attentions=outputs.attentions,
)
class VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration(VibeVoicePreTrainedModel):
_tied_weights_keys = ["lm_head.weight"]
_tp_plan = {"lm_head": "colwise_rep"}
def __init__(self, config):
super().__init__(config)
self.model = VibeVoiceModel(config)
self.vocab_size = config.decoder_config.vocab_size
self.lm_head = nn.Linear(config.decoder_config.hidden_size, self.vocab_size, bias=False)
self.post_init()
def get_input_embeddings(self):
return self.model.get_input_embeddings()
def set_input_embeddings(self, value):
self.model.set_input_embeddings(value)
def get_output_embeddings(self):
return self.lm_head
def set_decoder(self, decoder):
self.model.language_model = decoder
def get_decoder(self):
return self.model.language_model
def tie_weights(self):
"""
Tie the weights between the input embeddings and the output embeddings.
"""
if getattr(self.config.decoder_config, 'tie_word_embeddings', False):
# The standard PreTrainedModel method will handle the tying.
# It typically does a simple parameter object assignment, which is
# CORRECT to do BEFORE FSDP wraps the model.
output_embeddings = self.get_output_embeddings()
input_embeddings = self.get_input_embeddings()
if hasattr(input_embeddings, 'weight'):
output_embeddings.weight = input_embeddings.weight
else:
# maybe returned input_embeddings a tensor directly
output_embeddings.weight = input_embeddings
if getattr(output_embeddings, "bias", None) is not None:
output_embeddings.bias.data = nn.functional.pad(
output_embeddings.bias.data,
(0, output_embeddings.weight.shape[0] - output_embeddings.bias.shape[0]),
"constant",
0,
)
print("✅ Tied input and output embeddings using standard assignment.")
else:
print(" tie_word_embeddings is False, not tying weights.")
# Also, ensure set_output_embeddings is safe, though your implementation looks okay.
# The key is to avoid calling it after accelerator.prepare().
def set_output_embeddings(self, new_embeddings):
# Your current implementation using data.copy_ is good practice,
# but the best way is to not call this after prepare().
self.lm_head = new_embeddings
def forward_speech_features(
self,
speech_tensors=None,
speech_masks=None,
speech_type="audio",
return_unmask=False
):
if speech_tensors is None:
# Use config to get vae_dim instead of non-existent self.args
vae_dim = self.config.acoustic_tokenizer_config.vae_dim
audio_features = torch.zeros(1, 1, vae_dim).to(self.get_input_embeddings().weight)
connect_features = self.model.acoustic_connector(audio_features)
return audio_features, connect_features
else:
with torch.no_grad():
if speech_type == "audio":
with torch.no_grad():
frames = self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.encode(speech_tensors.unsqueeze(1))[0][0]
audio_tokens = frames.sample(self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.std_dist_type)[0]
elif speech_type == "vae":
# Use config to get vae_dim instead of non-existent self.args
vae_dim = self.config.acoustic_tokenizer_config.vae_dim
speech_mode = speech_tensors.reshape(speech_tensors.size(0), -1, vae_dim)
# gaussian sample from the speech_mode
batch_size = speech_mode.size(0)
value = self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.fix_std / 0.8
std = torch.randn(batch_size, dtype=speech_mode.dtype, device=speech_mode.device) * value
std = std.view(-1, *[1] * (speech_mode.dim() - 1))
audio_tokens = speech_mode + std * torch.randn(speech_mode.shape).to(speech_mode)
else:
raise NotImplementedError(f"Speech type {speech_type} not implemented")
if torch.isnan(self.model.speech_scaling_factor) or torch.isnan(self.model.speech_bias_factor):
scaling_factor = 1. / audio_tokens[speech_masks].flatten().std()
bias_factor = -audio_tokens[speech_masks].flatten().mean()
# Only use distributed operations if the process group is initialized
if dist.is_available() and dist.is_initialized():
dist.all_reduce(scaling_factor, op=dist.ReduceOp.SUM)
dist.all_reduce(bias_factor, op=dist.ReduceOp.SUM)
world_size = dist.get_world_size()
self.model.speech_scaling_factor.copy_(scaling_factor / world_size)
self.model.speech_bias_factor.copy_(bias_factor / world_size)
print(f"Speech scaling factor (distributed): {self.model.speech_scaling_factor}, bias factor: {self.model.speech_bias_factor}", flush=True)
else:
# Single process case
self.model.speech_scaling_factor.copy_(scaling_factor)
self.model.speech_bias_factor.copy_(bias_factor)
print(f"Speech scaling factor (single process): {self.model.speech_scaling_factor}, bias factor: {self.model.speech_bias_factor}", flush=True)
audio_features = (audio_tokens + self.model.speech_bias_factor) * self.model.speech_scaling_factor
connect_features = self.model.acoustic_connector(audio_features)
if return_unmask:
return audio_features, connect_features
return audio_features[speech_masks], connect_features[speech_masks]
def forward(
self,
input_ids: torch.LongTensor = None,
attention_mask: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
position_ids: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
past_key_values: Optional[List[torch.FloatTensor]] = None,
inputs_embeds: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
labels: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
use_cache: Optional[bool] = False,
output_attentions: Optional[bool] = None,
output_hidden_states: Optional[bool] = None,
return_dict: Optional[bool] = None,
cache_position: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
# New arguments for speech processing and loss calculation
speech_tensors: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
speech_masks: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
speeches_loss_input: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
speech_semantic_tensors: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
acoustic_input_mask: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
acoustic_loss_mask: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
ddpm_batch_mul: int = 1,
**kwargs: Optional[Dict[str, Union[torch.Tensor, str]]],
) -> Union[Tuple, VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast]:
return_dict = return_dict if return_dict is not None else self.config.use_return_dict
x = self.get_input_embeddings()(input_ids)
semantic_speech_all_connect_features = self.model.semantic_connector(speech_semantic_tensors)
if speeches_loss_input is not None:
# only part audio need diffuse
speech_all_features, speech_all_connect_features = self.forward_speech_features(
speech_tensors=speech_tensors.type_as(x) if speech_tensors is not None else None,
speech_masks=speech_masks,
speech_type=kwargs.get("speech_type", "audio"),
return_unmask=True
)
if speech_tensors is not None:
if semantic_speech_all_connect_features is not None:
x[acoustic_input_mask] = speech_all_connect_features[speech_masks] + semantic_speech_all_connect_features[speech_masks]
else:
x[acoustic_input_mask] = speech_all_connect_features[speech_masks]
speech_features = speech_all_features[speeches_loss_input.unsqueeze(-1) & speech_masks] # only part audio need diffuse
speech_connect_features = speech_all_connect_features[speeches_loss_input.unsqueeze(-1) & speech_masks]
else:
speech_features, speech_connect_features = self.forward_speech_features(
speech_tensors=speech_tensors.type_as(x) if speech_tensors is not None else None,
speech_masks=speech_masks,
speech_type=kwargs.get("speech_type", "audio"),
)
if speech_tensors is not None:
x[acoustic_input_mask] = speech_connect_features
outputs = self.model(
input_ids=None,
attention_mask=attention_mask,
position_ids=position_ids,
past_key_values=past_key_values,
inputs_embeds=x,
use_cache=use_cache,
output_attentions=output_attentions,
output_hidden_states=False,
return_dict=return_dict,
cache_position=cache_position,
)
hidden_states = outputs.last_hidden_state
logits = self.lm_head(hidden_states)
# logits = logits.float()
loss = None
if labels is not None:
# The custom CE loss with masking is calculated in the training script.
# We leave the standard loss calculation here as None.
pass
# --- Diffusion Loss Calculation ---
diffusion_loss = None
# This block is executed only if we are in a context that involves speech.
if speech_tensors is not None and acoustic_loss_mask.sum().item() > 0:
condition_features = hidden_states[acoustic_loss_mask]
speech_len, latent_size = speech_features.shape
noise = torch.randn(
(speech_len * ddpm_batch_mul, latent_size),
device=hidden_states.device,
dtype=hidden_states.dtype
)
timesteps = torch.multinomial(
torch.ones(self.config.diffusion_head_config.ddpm_num_steps),
speech_len * ddpm_batch_mul,
replacement=True,
).to(hidden_states.device)
speech_features_repeated = speech_features.repeat_interleave(ddpm_batch_mul, dim=0)
condition_features_repeated = condition_features.repeat_interleave(ddpm_batch_mul, dim=0)
noisy_speech_features = self.model.noise_scheduler.add_noise(
speech_features_repeated, noise, timesteps
)
model_output = self.model.prediction_head(
noisy_speech_features,
timesteps.type_as(x),
condition_features_repeated
)
prediction_type = self.config.diffusion_head_config.prediction_type
if prediction_type == "epsilon":
target_for_loss = noise
elif prediction_type == "v_prediction":
target_for_loss = self.model.noise_scheduler.get_velocity(
speech_features_repeated, noise, timesteps
)
else:
raise NotImplementedError(f"Prediction type {prediction_type} not implemented")
diffusion_loss = F.mse_loss(model_output.float(), target_for_loss.float(), reduction='sum')
if latent_size > 0 and ddpm_batch_mul > 0:
diffusion_loss = diffusion_loss / latent_size / ddpm_batch_mul
else:
diffusion_loss = torch.tensor(0.0, device=diffusion_loss.device)
else:
# Dummy loss for DDP to work when there are no speech samples in a batch,
# but we are in a speech context.
diffusion_loss = sum(p.sum() for p in self.model.prediction_head.parameters()) * 0.0
diffusion_loss += sum(p.sum() for p in self.model.acoustic_connector.parameters()) * 0.0
diffusion_loss += sum(p.sum() for p in self.model.semantic_connector.parameters()) * 0.0
# --- End Diffusion Loss Calculation ---
if not return_dict:
output = (logits, speech_len) + outputs.to_tuple()[1:]
return (loss, diffusion_loss) + output
return VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast(
loss=loss,
diffusion_loss=diffusion_loss,
speech_token_num=speech_len if speech_tensors is not None else 0,
logits=logits,
past_key_values=outputs.past_key_values,
hidden_states=outputs.hidden_states,
attentions=outputs.attentions,
)
AutoModel.register(VibeVoiceConfig, VibeVoiceModel)
AutoModelForCausalLM.register(VibeVoiceConfig, VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration)
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceModel",
"VibeVoicePreTrainedModel",
"VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration",
"VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast",
"VibeVoiceGenerationOutput",
]

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@ -0,0 +1,715 @@
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple, Union, Callable
from tqdm import tqdm
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
from transformers.models.auto import AutoModel, AutoModelForCausalLM
from transformers.generation import GenerationMixin, GenerationConfig, LogitsProcessor, LogitsProcessorList, StoppingCriteriaList
from transformers.modeling_outputs import BaseModelOutputWithPast, ModelOutput
from transformers import modeling_utils
from transformers.modeling_utils import PreTrainedModel
from transformers.modeling_flash_attention_utils import FlashAttentionKwargs
from transformers.utils import logging
# from .modular_vibevoice_tokenizer import VibeVoiceTokenizerStreamingCache, VibeVoiceAcousticTokenizerModel, VibeVoiceSemanticTokenizerModel
from .modular_vibevoice_tokenizer import VibeVoiceTokenizerStreamingCache, VibeVoiceTokenizerEncoderOutput
from .modular_vibevoice_diffusion_head import VibeVoiceDiffusionHead
from vibevoice.schedule.dpm_solver import DPMSolverMultistepScheduler
from .configuration_vibevoice import VibeVoiceConfig
from .modular_vibevoice_text_tokenizer import VibeVoiceTextTokenizer, VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast
from .modeling_vibevoice import VibeVoiceModel, VibeVoicePreTrainedModel
from .streamer import AudioStreamer, AsyncAudioStreamer
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
if not hasattr(modeling_utils, "ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES") or modeling_utils.ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES is None:
modeling_utils.ALL_PARALLEL_STYLES = ["tp", "none", "colwise", "rowwise"]
@dataclass
class VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast(BaseModelOutputWithPast):
logits: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None
@dataclass
class VibeVoiceGenerationOutput(ModelOutput):
"""
Output type for VibeVoice generation.
Args:
sequences (`torch.LongTensor` of shape `(batch_size, sequence_length)`):
The generated sequences.
speech_outputs (`List[torch.FloatTensor]`, *optional*):
List of generated speech waveforms or latents for each speech segment.
"""
sequences: torch.LongTensor = None
speech_outputs: Optional[List[torch.FloatTensor]] = None
reach_max_step_sample: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None
class VibeVoiceTokenConstraintProcessor(LogitsProcessor):
"""Constrains token generation to only valid tokens during speech generation."""
def __init__(self, valid_token_ids: List[int], device: torch.device = None):
self.valid_token_ids = torch.tensor(valid_token_ids, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
def __call__(self, input_ids: torch.LongTensor, scores: torch.FloatTensor) -> torch.FloatTensor:
# Create a mask for valid tokens
mask = torch.full_like(scores, float('-inf'))
mask[:, self.valid_token_ids] = 0
# Apply mask to scores
scores = scores + mask
return scores
class VibeVoiceForConditionalGenerationInference(VibeVoicePreTrainedModel, GenerationMixin):
_tied_weights_keys = ["lm_head.weight"]
_tp_plan = {"lm_head": "colwise_rep"}
def __init__(self, config):
super().__init__(config)
# Initialize the base model
self.model = VibeVoiceModel(config)
# LM head for text generation
self.lm_head = nn.Linear(config.decoder_config.hidden_size, config.decoder_config.vocab_size, bias=False)
# inference configuration
self.ddpm_inference_steps = config.diffusion_head_config.ddpm_num_inference_steps
# Initialize weights and apply final processing
self.post_init()
@property
def noise_scheduler(self):
return self.model.noise_scheduler
@property
def prediction_head(self):
return self.model.prediction_head
@property
def speech_scaling_factor(self):
return self.model.speech_scaling_factor
@property
def speech_bias_factor(self):
return self.model.speech_bias_factor
@property
def acoustic_tokenizer(self):
return self.model.acoustic_tokenizer
@property
def semantic_tokenizer(self):
return self.model.semantic_tokenizer
@property
def acoustic_connector(self):
return self.model.acoustic_connector
@property
def semantic_connector(self):
return self.model.semantic_connector
def tie_weights(self):
"""
Tie the weights between the input embeddings and the output embeddings.
"""
# Tie lm_head.weight to language_model.embed_tokens.weight
if not getattr(self.config, 'tie_word_embeddings', False):
return
if hasattr(self, 'lm_head') and hasattr(self.model.language_model, 'embed_tokens'):
self.lm_head.weight = self.model.language_model.embed_tokens.weight
def get_input_embeddings(self):
return self.model.get_input_embeddings()
def set_input_embeddings(self, value):
self.model.set_input_embeddings(value)
def get_output_embeddings(self):
return self.lm_head
def set_output_embeddings(self, new_embeddings):
self.lm_head = new_embeddings
def set_speech_tokenizers(self, acoustic_tokenizer=None, semantic_tokenizer=None):
"""Set the speech tokenizers used for encoding and decoding speech."""
self.model.set_speech_tokenizers(acoustic_tokenizer, semantic_tokenizer)
def set_ddpm_inference_steps(self, num_steps=None):
self.ddpm_inference_steps = num_steps or self.config.diffusion_head_config.ddpm_num_inference_steps
def _process_speech_inputs(self, speech_tensors, speech_masks, speech_type="audio"):
"""Process speech inputs through tokenizers and connectors."""
with torch.no_grad():
if speech_type == "audio":
# Encode audio to acoustic latents
encoder_output = self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.encode(speech_tensors.unsqueeze(1))
acoustic_latents = encoder_output.sample(dist_type=self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.std_dist_type)[0]
# Apply scaling and bias
acoustic_features = (acoustic_latents + self.model.speech_bias_factor.to(acoustic_latents.device)) * self.model.speech_scaling_factor.to(acoustic_latents.device)
# Connect to language model space
acoustic_connected = self.model.acoustic_connector(acoustic_features)[speech_masks.cpu()]
return acoustic_features, acoustic_connected
elif speech_type == "pt":
encoder_output = VibeVoiceTokenizerEncoderOutput(mean=speech_tensors, std=self.acoustic_tokenizer.config.fix_std)
acoustic_latents = encoder_output.sample(dist_type=self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.std_dist_type)[0]
# Apply scaling and bias
acoustic_features = (acoustic_latents + self.model.speech_bias_factor.to(acoustic_latents.device)) * self.model.speech_scaling_factor.to(acoustic_latents.device)
# Connect to language model space
acoustic_connected = self.model.acoustic_connector(acoustic_features)[speech_masks.cpu()]
return acoustic_features, acoustic_connected
else:
raise NotImplementedError(f"Speech type {speech_type} not implemented")
# @can_return_tuple
def forward(
self,
input_ids: torch.LongTensor = None,
attention_mask: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
position_ids: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
past_key_values: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[torch.FloatTensor]]] = None,
inputs_embeds: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
labels: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
use_cache: Optional[bool] = None,
output_attentions: Optional[bool] = None,
output_hidden_states: Optional[bool] = None,
return_dict: Optional[bool] = None,
cache_position: Optional[torch.LongTensor] = None,
speech_tensors: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
speech_masks: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
speech_input_mask: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
logits_to_keep: Union[int, slice] = 0,
**kwargs,
) -> Union[Tuple, VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast]:
"""
Args:
labels (`torch.LongTensor` of shape `(batch_size, sequence_length)`, *optional*):
Labels for computing the masked language modeling loss. Indices should either be in `[0, ...,
config.vocab_size]` or -100 (see `input_ids` docstring). Tokens with indices set to `-100` are ignored
(masked), the loss is only computed for the tokens with labels in `[0, ..., config.vocab_size]`.
speech_tensors (`torch.FloatTensor`, *optional*):
Input speech waveforms for voice cloning or speech understanding.
speech_masks (`torch.BoolTensor`, *optional*):
Masks indicating valid speech frames.
speech_input_mask (`torch.BoolTensor`, *optional*):
Positions in the input sequence where speech embeddings should be inserted.
Returns:
`VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast` or tuple
"""
return_dict = return_dict if return_dict is not None else self.config.use_return_dict
# Get embeddings
if inputs_embeds is None:
inputs_embeds = self.model.get_input_embeddings()(input_ids)
# Process speech inputs if provided
if speech_tensors is not None and speech_masks is not None:
acoustic_features, speech_embeds = self._process_speech_inputs(speech_tensors.to(self.dtype), speech_masks)
if speech_input_mask is not None:
inputs_embeds[speech_input_mask] = speech_embeds
outputs = self.model(
inputs_embeds=inputs_embeds,
attention_mask=attention_mask,
position_ids=position_ids,
past_key_values=past_key_values,
use_cache=use_cache,
output_attentions=output_attentions,
output_hidden_states=output_hidden_states,
return_dict=return_dict,
cache_position=cache_position,
**kwargs,
)
hidden_states = outputs[0] if not return_dict else outputs.last_hidden_state
# Only compute necessary logits, and do not upcast them to float if we are not computing the loss
slice_indices = slice(-logits_to_keep, None) if isinstance(logits_to_keep, int) else logits_to_keep
logits = self.lm_head(hidden_states[:, slice_indices, :])
if labels is not None:
raise NotImplementedError("Loss computation is not implemented in this version.")
return VibeVoiceCausalLMOutputWithPast(
logits=logits,
past_key_values=outputs.past_key_values,
last_hidden_state=hidden_states,
attentions=outputs.attentions,
)
def _build_generate_config_model_kwargs(self, generation_config, inputs, tokenizer, return_processors=False, **kwargs):
if generation_config is None:
generation_config = GenerationConfig(
bos_token_id=tokenizer.bos_token_id,
eos_token_id=tokenizer.eos_token_id,
pad_token_id = tokenizer.pad_token_id
)
else:
generation_config = GenerationConfig(
**generation_config,
bos_token_id=tokenizer.bos_token_id,
eos_token_id=tokenizer.eos_token_id,
pad_token_id = tokenizer.pad_token_id
)
generation_config, model_kwargs = self._prepare_generation_config(
generation_config,
True,
speech_start_id=tokenizer.speech_start_id,
speech_end_id=tokenizer.speech_end_id,
speech_diffusion_id=tokenizer.speech_diffusion_id,
**kwargs
)
generation_config.speech_start_id = tokenizer.speech_start_id
generation_config.speech_end_id = tokenizer.speech_end_id
generation_config.speech_diffusion_id = tokenizer.speech_diffusion_id
inputs_tensor, model_input_name, model_kwargs = self._prepare_model_inputs(inputs, generation_config.bos_token_id, model_kwargs)
batch_size = inputs_tensor.shape[0]
device = self.device
self._prepare_special_tokens(generation_config, True, device=device)
generation_config.use_cache = True
model_kwargs["use_cache"] = generation_config.use_cache
input_ids = inputs_tensor.to(self.device)
input_ids_length = input_ids.shape[1]
has_default_max_length = kwargs.get("max_length") is None and generation_config.max_length is not None
has_default_min_length = kwargs.get("min_length") is None and generation_config.min_length is not None
generation_config = self._prepare_generated_length(
generation_config=generation_config,
has_default_max_length=has_default_max_length,
has_default_min_length=has_default_min_length,
model_input_name=model_input_name,
inputs_tensor=inputs_tensor,
input_ids_length=input_ids_length,
)
max_cache_length = generation_config.max_length - 1
self._prepare_cache_for_generation(generation_config, model_kwargs, None, batch_size, max_cache_length, device)
model_kwargs['cache_position'] = torch.arange(input_ids_length, device=device, dtype=torch.long)
for k, v in model_kwargs.items():
if isinstance(v, torch.Tensor):
model_kwargs[k] = v.to(device=device)
if return_processors:
logits_processor = self._get_logits_processor(
generation_config=generation_config,
input_ids_seq_length=input_ids_length,
encoder_input_ids=inputs_tensor,
prefix_allowed_tokens_fn=None,
logits_processor=LogitsProcessorList(),
device=inputs_tensor.device,
model_kwargs=model_kwargs,
)
stopping_criteria = self._get_stopping_criteria(generation_config=generation_config, stopping_criteria=StoppingCriteriaList())
return generation_config, model_kwargs, input_ids, logits_processor, stopping_criteria
else:
return generation_config, model_kwargs, input_ids
@torch.no_grad()
def generate(
self,
inputs: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
generation_config: Optional[GenerationConfig] = None,
logits_processor: Optional[LogitsProcessorList] = None,
stopping_criteria: Optional[StoppingCriteriaList] = None,
prefix_allowed_tokens_fn: Optional[Callable[[int, torch.Tensor], List[int]]] = None,
synced_gpus: Optional[bool] = None,
assistant_model: Optional["PreTrainedModel"] = None,
audio_streamer: Optional[Union[AudioStreamer, AsyncAudioStreamer]] = None,
negative_prompt_ids: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
negative_prompt_attention_mask: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None,
speech_tensors: Optional[torch.FloatTensor] = None,
speech_masks: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
speech_input_mask: Optional[torch.BoolTensor] = None,
return_speech: bool = True,
cfg_scale: float = 1.0,
stop_check_fn: Optional[Callable[[], bool]] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> Union[torch.LongTensor, VibeVoiceGenerationOutput]:
"""
Generates sequences of token ids and optionally speech outputs.
Args:
All standard generation arguments from GenerationMixin
negative_prompt_ids: Negative prompt for CFG in speech generation
negative_prompt_attention_mask: Attention mask for negative prompt
speech_tensors: Input speech for voice cloning
speech_masks: Masks for speech tensors
speech_input_mask: Positions to insert speech embeddings
return_speech: Whether to decode and return speech outputs
cfg_scale: CFG scale for speech generation
stop_check_fn: Optional callable that returns True if generation should stop
Returns:
Generated token sequences and optionally speech outputs
"""
# 1. Handle `generation_config` and kwargs that might update it, and validate the `.generate()` call
tokenizer = kwargs.pop("tokenizer", None) # Pull this out first, we only use it for stopping criteria
parsed_scripts = kwargs.pop("parsed_scripts", None)
all_speakers_list = kwargs.pop("all_speakers_list", None)
max_length_times = kwargs.pop("max_length_times", 2)
if kwargs.get('max_new_tokens', None) is None:
kwargs['max_new_tokens'] = self.config.decoder_config.max_position_embeddings - kwargs['input_ids'].shape[-1]
generation_config, model_kwargs, input_ids, logits_processor, stopping_criteria = self._build_generate_config_model_kwargs(
generation_config, inputs, tokenizer, return_processors=True, **kwargs
)
negative_kwargs = {
'input_ids': torch.full((kwargs['input_ids'].shape[0], 1), tokenizer.speech_start_id, dtype=torch.long, device=kwargs['input_ids'].device),
'attention_mask': torch.ones((kwargs['input_ids'].shape[0], 1), dtype=torch.long, device=kwargs['input_ids'].device),
'max_new_tokens': kwargs.get('max_new_tokens', 100)
}
negative_generation_config, negative_model_kwargs, negative_input_ids = self._build_generate_config_model_kwargs(
None, None, tokenizer, return_processors=False, **negative_kwargs
)
acoustic_cache = VibeVoiceTokenizerStreamingCache()
semantic_cache = VibeVoiceTokenizerStreamingCache()
batch_size = input_ids.shape[0]
device = input_ids.device
finished_tags = torch.zeros(batch_size, dtype=torch.bool, device=device)
correct_cnt = torch.zeros(batch_size, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
is_prefill = True
inputs_embeds = None
verbose = kwargs.get("verbose", False)
# Initialize audio chunks storage for each sample
audio_chunks = [[] for _ in range(batch_size)]
initial_length = input_ids.shape[-1]
initial_length_per_sample = model_kwargs['attention_mask'].sum(dim=-1)
# Define all valid tokens that can be generated
valid_tokens = [
generation_config.speech_start_id,
generation_config.speech_end_id,
generation_config.speech_diffusion_id,
generation_config.eos_token_id
]
# Add bos_token_id if it exists
if hasattr(generation_config, 'bos_token_id') and generation_config.bos_token_id is not None:
valid_tokens.append(generation_config.bos_token_id)
# Add custom processor to constrain token generation
token_constraint_processor = VibeVoiceTokenConstraintProcessor(valid_tokens, device=device)
if logits_processor is None:
logits_processor = LogitsProcessorList()
logits_processor.append(token_constraint_processor)
max_steps = min(generation_config.max_length - initial_length, int(max_length_times * initial_length))
max_step_per_sample = torch.min(generation_config.max_length - initial_length_per_sample, (max_length_times * initial_length_per_sample).long())
reach_max_step_sample = torch.zeros(batch_size, dtype=torch.bool, device=device)
# Create progress iterator if verbose
if kwargs.get("show_progress_bar", True):
progress_bar = tqdm(range(max_steps), desc="Generating", leave=False)
else:
progress_bar = range(max_steps)
for step in progress_bar:
# Check for external stop signal
if stop_check_fn is not None and stop_check_fn():
if verbose:
print(f"Generation stopped externally at step {step + 1}")
# End the audio streamer if it exists
if audio_streamer is not None:
audio_streamer.end()
break
# Check if audio_streamer has been ended (stopped externally)
if audio_streamer is not None and hasattr(audio_streamer, 'finished_flags'):
if any(audio_streamer.finished_flags):
if verbose:
print(f"Audio generation stopped externally at step {step + 1}")
break
if finished_tags.all():
if hasattr(progress_bar, 'set_description'):
progress_bar.set_description("Generation complete")
break
if input_ids.shape[-1] >= generation_config.max_length:
print(f"Reached maximum generation length {generation_config.max_length}, stopped it.")
reached_samples = torch.arange(batch_size, device=device)[~finished_tags]
if reached_samples.numel() > 0:
reach_max_step_sample[reached_samples] = True
break
# Update progress bar description with active samples
if hasattr(progress_bar, 'set_description'):
active_samples = (~finished_tags).sum().item()
progress_bar.set_description(f"Generating (active: {active_samples}/{batch_size})")
model_inputs = self.prepare_inputs_for_generation(input_ids, **model_kwargs)
if is_prefill:
# we process the speech inputs only during the first generation step
prefill_inputs = {
"speech_tensors": speech_tensors.to(device=device),
"speech_masks": speech_masks.to(device),
"speech_input_mask": speech_input_mask.to(device),
}
is_prefill = False
else:
_ = model_inputs.pop('inputs_embeds', None)
prefill_inputs = {'inputs_embeds': inputs_embeds}
# Forward pass through the model
outputs = self(
**model_inputs, **prefill_inputs, logits_to_keep=1, return_dict=True, output_attentions=False, output_hidden_states=False,
)
model_kwargs = self._update_model_kwargs_for_generation(
outputs, model_kwargs, is_encoder_decoder=False,
)
# Get logits and apply logits processor
next_token_logits = outputs.logits[:, -1, :].to(copy=True, dtype=torch.float32, device=input_ids.device)
# next_token_logits = outputs.logits[:, -1, :].to(copy=True, device=input_ids.device)
next_token_scores = logits_processor(input_ids, next_token_logits)
# token selection
if generation_config.do_sample:
probs = nn.functional.softmax(next_token_scores, dim=-1)
# TODO (joao): this OP throws "skipping cudagraphs due to ['incompatible ops']", find solution
next_tokens = torch.multinomial(probs, num_samples=1).squeeze(1)
else:
next_tokens = torch.argmax(next_token_scores, dim=-1)
next_tokens[finished_tags] = generation_config.eos_token_id
input_ids = torch.cat([input_ids, next_tokens[:, None]], dim=-1)
if not kwargs.get('refresh_negative', True):
negative_model_inputs = self.prepare_inputs_for_generation(negative_input_ids, **negative_model_kwargs)
# Forward negative pass through the model
if negative_model_inputs['inputs_embeds'] is None and inputs_embeds is not None:
negative_model_inputs['inputs_embeds'] = inputs_embeds
negative_model_inputs['input_ids'] = None
negative_outputs = self(
**negative_model_inputs, logits_to_keep=0, return_dict=True, output_attentions=False, output_hidden_states=False,
)
negative_model_kwargs = self._update_model_kwargs_for_generation(
negative_outputs, negative_model_kwargs, is_encoder_decoder=False,
)
negative_input_ids = torch.cat([negative_input_ids, next_tokens[:, None]], dim=-1)
# reached end of generation
if (next_tokens == generation_config.eos_token_id).any():
eos_indices = (next_tokens == generation_config.eos_token_id).nonzero(as_tuple=False).squeeze(1)
# Only print for samples that are newly finished (not already marked as finished)
new_eos_indices = eos_indices[~finished_tags[eos_indices]]
if new_eos_indices.numel() > 0:
finished_tags[new_eos_indices] = True
if verbose:
print(f"Samples {new_eos_indices.tolist()} reached EOS token at step {step + 1}.", flush=True)
if audio_streamer is not None:
audio_streamer.end(new_eos_indices)
# Check if any sample reached its maximum generation length
max_length_reached = step >= max_step_per_sample
new_max_length_indices = torch.nonzero(max_length_reached & ~finished_tags, as_tuple=False).squeeze(1)
if new_max_length_indices.numel() > 0:
finished_tags[new_max_length_indices] = True
reach_max_step_sample[new_max_length_indices] = True
if verbose:
print(f"Samples {new_max_length_indices.tolist()} reached max generation length at step {step + 1}.", flush=True)
if audio_streamer is not None:
audio_streamer.end(new_max_length_indices)
# speech_end
diffusion_end_indices = (next_tokens == generation_config.speech_end_id).nonzero(as_tuple=False).squeeze(1)
if diffusion_end_indices.numel() > 0:
# Clear tokenizer caches for samples that reached speech end
acoustic_cache.set_to_zero(diffusion_end_indices)
semantic_cache.set_to_zero(diffusion_end_indices)
# speech_begin
diffusion_start_indices = torch.arange(batch_size, device=device)[~finished_tags & (next_tokens == generation_config.speech_start_id)]
if diffusion_start_indices.numel() > 0 and kwargs.get('refresh_negative', True):
# update attention mask
for i, sample_idx in enumerate(diffusion_start_indices.tolist()):
negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'][sample_idx, :] = 0
negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'][sample_idx, -1] = 1
# update past key values
for layer_idx, (k_cache, v_cache) in enumerate(zip(negative_model_kwargs['past_key_values'].key_cache,
negative_model_kwargs['past_key_values'].value_cache)):
# Process each non-diffusion sample
for sample_idx in diffusion_start_indices.tolist():
# Shift cache for this sample
k_cache[sample_idx, :, -1, :] = k_cache[sample_idx, :, 0, :].clone()
v_cache[sample_idx, :, -1, :] = v_cache[sample_idx, :, 0, :].clone()
# update negative_input_ids
for sample_idx in diffusion_start_indices.tolist():
negative_input_ids[sample_idx, -1] = generation_config.speech_start_id
# Prepare inputs_embeds for next iteration
# Initialize with default embeddings for all tokens
next_inputs_embeds = self.model.get_input_embeddings()(next_tokens).unsqueeze(1) # [batch_size, 1, hidden_size]
# forward diffusion
# Diffusion indices are those that are not finished and not special tokens
diffusion_indices = torch.arange(batch_size, device=device)[~finished_tags & (next_tokens == generation_config.speech_diffusion_id)]
if diffusion_indices.numel() > 0:
if kwargs.get('refresh_negative', True):
negative_model_inputs = self.prepare_inputs_for_generation(negative_input_ids, **negative_model_kwargs)
# Forward negative pass through the model
if negative_model_inputs['inputs_embeds'] is None and inputs_embeds is not None:
negative_model_inputs['inputs_embeds'] = inputs_embeds
negative_model_inputs['input_ids'] = None
negative_outputs = self(
**negative_model_inputs, logits_to_keep=0, return_dict=True, output_attentions=False, output_hidden_states=False,
)
negative_model_kwargs = self._update_model_kwargs_for_generation(
negative_outputs, negative_model_kwargs, is_encoder_decoder=False,
)
negative_input_ids = torch.cat([negative_input_ids, next_tokens[:, None]], dim=-1)
# correct the non-diffusion indices
# we forward all samples' negative outputs even if
# they are not in diffusion mode to keep the cache consistent
# So we need to correct the kv cache of non-diffusion samples
non_diffusion_mask = ~finished_tags & (next_tokens != generation_config.speech_diffusion_id)
if non_diffusion_mask.any():
non_diffusion_indices = torch.arange(batch_size, device=device)[non_diffusion_mask]
start_indices = correct_cnt[non_diffusion_indices]
# 1. Update attention_mask - need to handle each sample separately
seq_len = negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'].shape[1]
for i, (sample_idx, start_idx) in enumerate(zip(non_diffusion_indices.tolist(), start_indices.tolist())):
# Shift the attention mask for this sample
if start_idx + 1 < seq_len - 1:
negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'][sample_idx, start_idx+1:] = \
negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'][sample_idx, start_idx:-1].clone()
negative_model_kwargs['attention_mask'][sample_idx, start_idx] = 0
# 2. Update past_key_values
for layer_idx, (k_cache, v_cache) in enumerate(zip(negative_model_kwargs['past_key_values'].key_cache,
negative_model_kwargs['past_key_values'].value_cache)):
# Process each non-diffusion sample
for sample_idx, start_idx in zip(non_diffusion_indices.tolist(), start_indices.tolist()):
if start_idx + 1 < k_cache.shape[2] - 1:
# Shift cache for this sample
k_cache[sample_idx, :, start_idx+1:, :] = k_cache[sample_idx, :, start_idx:-1, :].clone()
v_cache[sample_idx, :, start_idx+1:, :] = v_cache[sample_idx, :, start_idx:-1, :].clone()
# 3. Update negative_input_ids
for sample_idx, start_idx in zip(non_diffusion_indices.tolist(), start_indices.tolist()):
if start_idx + 1 < negative_input_ids.shape[1] - 1:
negative_input_ids[sample_idx, start_idx+1:] = \
negative_input_ids[sample_idx, start_idx:-1].clone()
correct_cnt[non_diffusion_indices] += 1
positive_condition = outputs.last_hidden_state[diffusion_indices, -1, :]
negative_condition = negative_outputs.last_hidden_state[diffusion_indices, -1, :]
speech_latent = self.sample_speech_tokens(
positive_condition,
negative_condition,
cfg_scale=cfg_scale,
).unsqueeze(1)
# Decode acoustic latent to audio using acoustic streaming cache
scaled_latent = speech_latent / self.model.speech_scaling_factor.to(speech_latent.device) - self.model.speech_bias_factor.to(speech_latent.device)
audio_chunk = self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.decode(
scaled_latent.to(self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.device),
cache=acoustic_cache, # Use acoustic-specific cache
sample_indices=diffusion_indices.to(self.model.acoustic_tokenizer.device),
use_cache=True,
debug=False
)
# Store audio chunks for each sample
for i, sample_idx in enumerate(diffusion_indices):
idx = sample_idx.item()
# Only append audio chunk if the sample is not finished
if not finished_tags[idx]:
audio_chunks[idx].append(audio_chunk[i])
# Add streaming support here
if audio_streamer is not None:
# Stream the audio chunks immediately
audio_streamer.put(audio_chunk, diffusion_indices)
# Encode audio to semantic features using semantic streaming cache
semantic_features = self.model.semantic_tokenizer.encode(
audio_chunk,
cache=semantic_cache, # Use semantic-specific cache
sample_indices=diffusion_indices,
use_cache=True,
debug=False
).mean # semantic tokenizer has no VAE.
# Combine acoustic and semantic features for next input
acoustic_embed = self.model.acoustic_connector(speech_latent)
semantic_embed = self.model.semantic_connector(semantic_features)
diffusion_embeds = acoustic_embed + semantic_embed
# Update embeddings for diffusion indices
next_inputs_embeds[diffusion_indices] = diffusion_embeds
# Set inputs_embeds for next iteration
inputs_embeds = next_inputs_embeds
if audio_streamer is not None:
audio_streamer.end()
# Concatenate audio chunks for each sample
final_audio_outputs = []
for sample_chunks in audio_chunks:
if sample_chunks:
# Concatenate all chunks along the time dimension (assumed to be the last dimension)
concatenated_audio = torch.cat(sample_chunks, dim=-1)
final_audio_outputs.append(concatenated_audio)
else:
# If no audio was generated for this sample, append None
final_audio_outputs.append(None)
return VibeVoiceGenerationOutput(
sequences=input_ids,
speech_outputs=final_audio_outputs if return_speech else None,
reach_max_step_sample=reach_max_step_sample,
)
@torch.no_grad()
def sample_speech_tokens(self, condition, neg_condition, cfg_scale=3.0):
self.model.noise_scheduler.set_timesteps(self.ddpm_inference_steps)
condition = torch.cat([condition, neg_condition], dim=0).to(self.model.prediction_head.device)
speech = torch.randn(condition.shape[0], self.config.acoustic_vae_dim).to(condition)
for t in self.model.noise_scheduler.timesteps:
half = speech[: len(speech) // 2]
combined = torch.cat([half, half], dim=0)
eps = self.model.prediction_head(combined, t.repeat(combined.shape[0]).to(combined), condition=condition)
cond_eps, uncond_eps = torch.split(eps, len(eps) // 2, dim=0)
half_eps = uncond_eps + cfg_scale * (cond_eps - uncond_eps)
eps = torch.cat([half_eps, half_eps], dim=0)
speech = self.model.noise_scheduler.step(eps, t, speech).prev_sample
return speech[: len(speech) // 2]
AutoModelForCausalLM.register(VibeVoiceConfig, VibeVoiceForConditionalGenerationInference)
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceForConditionalGenerationInference",
]

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import math
from typing import Optional, Tuple, Union
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
import torch.nn.functional as F
from transformers.models.auto import AutoModel
from transformers.modeling_utils import PreTrainedModel
# from transformers.modeling_layers import GradientCheckpointingLayer
from transformers.activations import ACT2FN
from transformers.utils import logging
from .configuration_vibevoice import VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class RMSNorm(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, dim: int, eps: float = 1e-6, elementwise_affine=True, memory_efficient=False):
super().__init__()
self.dim = dim
self.eps = eps
self.elementwise_affine = elementwise_affine
if self.elementwise_affine:
self.weight = nn.Parameter(torch.ones(dim))
else:
self.register_parameter('weight', None)
def _norm(self, x):
return x * torch.rsqrt(x.pow(2).mean(-1, keepdim=True) + self.eps)
def forward(self, x):
output = self._norm(x.float()).type_as(x)
if self.weight is not None:
output = output * self.weight
return output
def extra_repr(self) -> str:
return f'dim={self.dim}, eps={self.eps}, elementwise_affine={self.elementwise_affine}'
def modulate(x, shift, scale):
"""Apply modulation to input tensor."""
return x * (1 + scale) + shift
class TimestepEmbedder(nn.Module):
"""
Embeds scalar timesteps into vector representations.
Args:
hidden_size (`int`): Size of the output embedding
frequency_embedding_size (`int`, optional): Size of the intermediate frequency embedding
"""
def __init__(self, hidden_size, frequency_embedding_size=256):
super().__init__()
self.mlp = nn.Sequential(
nn.Linear(frequency_embedding_size, hidden_size, bias=False),
# nn.SiLU(),
ACT2FN['silu'],
nn.Linear(hidden_size, hidden_size, bias=False),
)
self.frequency_embedding_size = frequency_embedding_size
@staticmethod
def timestep_embedding(t, dim, max_period=10000):
"""
Create sinusoidal timestep embeddings.
Args:
t (`torch.Tensor`): A 1-D Tensor of N indices, one per batch element.
These may be fractional.
dim (`int`): The dimension of the output.
max_period (`int`, optional): Controls the minimum frequency of the embeddings.
Returns:
`torch.Tensor`: An [N, D] Tensor of positional embeddings.
"""
half = dim // 2
freqs = torch.exp(
-math.log(max_period) * torch.arange(start=0, end=half, dtype=torch.float32) / half
).to(t.device)
args = t[:, None].float() * freqs[None]
embedding = torch.cat([torch.cos(args), torch.sin(args)], dim=-1)
if dim % 2:
embedding = torch.cat([embedding, torch.zeros_like(embedding[:, :1])], dim=-1)
return embedding.to(t.dtype)
def forward(self, t):
t_freq = self.timestep_embedding(t, self.frequency_embedding_size)
t_emb = self.mlp(t_freq)
return t_emb
class FeedForwardNetwork(nn.Module):
"""
Standard feed-forward network with SwiGLU activation.
Args:
embed_dim (`int`): Input dimension
ffn_dim (`int`): Hidden dimension
"""
def __init__(
self,
embed_dim,
ffn_dim,
):
super().__init__()
self.embed_dim = embed_dim
self.gate_proj = nn.Linear(self.embed_dim, ffn_dim, bias=False)
self.up_proj = nn.Linear(self.embed_dim, ffn_dim, bias=False)
self.down_proj = nn.Linear(ffn_dim, self.embed_dim, bias=False)
self.act_fn = ACT2FN['silu'] # Using SiLU as the activation function
def forward(self, x):
gate = self.gate_proj(x)
up = self.up_proj(x)
# SwiGLU activation
# gate = F.silu(gate)
gate = self.act_fn(gate)
return self.down_proj(gate * up)
class HeadLayer(nn.Module):
"""
A layer in the diffusion head.
Args:
embed_dim (`int`): Input dimension
ffn_dim (`int`): Hidden dimension
cond_dim (`int`): Condition embedding dimension
norm_eps (`float`, optional): Epsilon for normalization
"""
def __init__(
self,
embed_dim,
ffn_dim,
cond_dim,
norm_eps=1e-5,
):
super().__init__()
self.embed_dim = embed_dim
self.cond_dim = cond_dim
self.ffn_dim = ffn_dim
self.ffn = FeedForwardNetwork(
self.embed_dim,
self.ffn_dim,
)
self.norm = RMSNorm(self.embed_dim, eps=norm_eps)
self.adaLN_modulation = nn.Sequential(
# nn.SiLU(),
ACT2FN['silu'],
nn.Linear(cond_dim, 3 * self.embed_dim, bias=False)
)
def forward(self, x, c):
shift_ffn, scale_ffn, gate_ffn = self.adaLN_modulation(c).chunk(3, dim=-1)
x = x + gate_ffn * self.ffn(modulate(self.norm(x), shift_ffn, scale_ffn))
return x
class FinalLayer(nn.Module):
"""
Final layer in the diffusion head.
Args:
hidden_size (`int`): Input dimension
output_size (`int`): Output dimension
cond_size (`int`): Condition embedding dimension
norm_eps (`float`, optional): Epsilon for normalization
"""
def __init__(self, hidden_size, output_size, cond_size, norm_eps=1e-5):
super().__init__()
self.norm_final = RMSNorm(hidden_size, eps=norm_eps, elementwise_affine=False)
self.linear = nn.Linear(hidden_size, output_size, bias=False)
self.adaLN_modulation = nn.Sequential(
# nn.SiLU(),
ACT2FN['silu'],
nn.Linear(cond_size, 2 * hidden_size, bias=False)
)
def forward(self, x, c):
shift, scale = self.adaLN_modulation(c).chunk(2, dim=-1)
x = modulate(self.norm_final(x), shift, scale)
x = self.linear(x)
return x
class VibeVoiceDiffusionHead(PreTrainedModel):
"""
Diffusion head model for vibevoice.
Args:
config (`VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig`): Model configuration
latent_size (`int`, optional): Size of the latent space. If not provided, uses `config.latent_size`.
"""
config_class = VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig
supports_gradient_checkpointing = True
_supports_flash_attn_2 = True
_supports_sdpa = True
def __init__(
self,
config,
):
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.cond_dim = config.hidden_size
latent_size = config.latent_size
self.noisy_images_proj = nn.Linear(latent_size, config.hidden_size, bias=False)
self.cond_proj = nn.Linear(config.hidden_size, self.cond_dim, bias=False)
self.t_embedder = TimestepEmbedder(self.cond_dim)
ffn_dim = int(config.hidden_size * config.head_ffn_ratio)
# Create the intermediate layers
self.layers = nn.ModuleList([
HeadLayer(
embed_dim=config.hidden_size,
ffn_dim=ffn_dim,
cond_dim=self.cond_dim,
norm_eps=config.rms_norm_eps
)
for _ in range(config.head_layers)
])
# Final layer for output
self.final_layer = FinalLayer(
hidden_size=config.hidden_size,
output_size=latent_size,
cond_size=self.cond_dim,
norm_eps=config.rms_norm_eps
)
self.initialize_weights()
def initialize_weights(self):
"""Initialize the weights of the model."""
# Initialize timestep embedder
nn.init.normal_(self.t_embedder.mlp[0].weight, std=0.02)
nn.init.normal_(self.t_embedder.mlp[2].weight, std=0.02)
# Zero-out adaLN modulation layers
for layer in self.layers:
nn.init.constant_(layer.adaLN_modulation[-1].weight, 0)
# Zero-out output layers
nn.init.constant_(self.final_layer.adaLN_modulation[-1].weight, 0)
nn.init.constant_(self.final_layer.linear.weight, 0)
def forward(
self,
noisy_images,
timesteps,
condition,
):
"""
Forward pass of the prediction head.
Args:
noisy_images (`torch.Tensor`): Noisy images/latents to denoise
timesteps (`torch.Tensor`): Timesteps for diffusion
condition (`torch.Tensor`): Conditioning information
Returns:
`torch.Tensor`: The predicted noise/velocity
"""
x = self.noisy_images_proj(noisy_images)
t = self.t_embedder(timesteps)
condition = self.cond_proj(condition)
c = condition + t
for layer in self.layers:
x = layer(x, c)
x = self.final_layer(x, c)
return x
AutoModel.register(VibeVoiceDiffusionHeadConfig, VibeVoiceDiffusionHead)
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceDiffusionHead",
]

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"""Tokenization classes for vibevoice."""
from typing import List, Optional, Union
from transformers.utils import logging
from transformers.models.qwen2.tokenization_qwen2 import Qwen2Tokenizer
from transformers.models.qwen2.tokenization_qwen2_fast import Qwen2TokenizerFast
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class VibeVoiceTextTokenizer(Qwen2Tokenizer):
"""
Construct a VibeVoice tokenizer. Based on the Qwen2 tokenizer with additional special tokens for speech.
Args:
vocab_file (`str`):
Path to the vocabulary file.
merges_file (`str`):
Path to the merges file.
errors (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"replace"`):
Paradigm to follow when decoding bytes to UTF-8.
unk_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The unknown token.
bos_token (`str`, *optional*):
The beginning of sequence token. Not used for vibevoice.
eos_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The end of sequence token.
pad_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The token used for padding.
add_special_tokens (`bool`, *optional*, defaults to `True`):
Whether or not to add special tokens when encoding.
"""
model_input_names = ["input_ids", "attention_mask"]
def __init__(
self,
vocab_file,
merges_file,
errors="replace",
unk_token="<|endoftext|>",
bos_token=None,
eos_token="<|endoftext|>",
pad_token="<|endoftext|>",
add_prefix_space=False,
add_special_tokens=True,
**kwargs,
):
super().__init__(
vocab_file=vocab_file,
merges_file=merges_file,
errors=errors,
unk_token=unk_token,
bos_token=bos_token,
eos_token=eos_token,
pad_token=pad_token,
add_prefix_space=add_prefix_space,
add_special_tokens=add_special_tokens,
**kwargs,
)
# Add VibeVoice-specific special tokens
self._add_vibevoice_special_tokens()
def _add_vibevoice_special_tokens(self):
"""Add VibeVoice-specific special tokens."""
special_tokens = {
"additional_special_tokens": [
"<|vision_start|>", # Speech start (reusing vision tokens)
"<|vision_end|>", # Speech end
"<|vision_pad|>", # Speech diffusion pad
]
}
num_added = self.add_special_tokens(special_tokens)
# Cache special token IDs
self._speech_start_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_start|>")
self._speech_end_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_end|>")
self._speech_diffusion_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_pad|>")
self._eos_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids('<|endoftext|>')
return num_added
@property
def eos_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the end of sequence token."""
return self._eos_id
@property
def speech_start_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech start token."""
return self._speech_start_id
@property
def speech_end_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech end token."""
return self._speech_end_id
@property
def speech_diffusion_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech diffusion token."""
return self._speech_diffusion_id
@property
def pad_id(self) -> int:
"""Id used for padding (returns -100 for loss masking)."""
return -100
class VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast(Qwen2TokenizerFast):
"""
Construct a "fast" VibeVoice tokenizer (backed by HuggingFace's *tokenizers* library).
Based on the Qwen2 tokenizer with additional special tokens for speech.
Args:
vocab_file (`str`, *optional*):
Path to the vocabulary file.
merges_file (`str`, *optional*):
Path to the merges file.
tokenizer_file (`str`, *optional*):
Path to [tokenizers](https://github.com/huggingface/tokenizers) file.
unk_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The unknown token.
bos_token (`str`, *optional*):
The beginning of sequence token. Not used for vibevoice.
eos_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The end of sequence token.
pad_token (`str`, *optional*, defaults to `"<|endoftext|>"`):
The token used for padding.
"""
model_input_names = ["input_ids", "attention_mask"]
def __init__(
self,
vocab_file=None,
merges_file=None,
tokenizer_file=None,
unk_token="<|endoftext|>",
bos_token=None,
eos_token="<|endoftext|>",
pad_token="<|endoftext|>",
add_prefix_space=False,
**kwargs,
):
super().__init__(
vocab_file=vocab_file,
merges_file=merges_file,
tokenizer_file=tokenizer_file,
unk_token=unk_token,
bos_token=bos_token,
eos_token=eos_token,
pad_token=pad_token,
add_prefix_space=add_prefix_space,
**kwargs,
)
# Add VibeVoice-specific special tokens
self._add_vibevoice_special_tokens()
def _add_vibevoice_special_tokens(self):
"""Add VibeVoice-specific special tokens."""
special_tokens = {
"additional_special_tokens": [
"<|vision_start|>", # Speech start (reusing vision tokens)
"<|vision_end|>", # Speech end
"<|vision_pad|>", # Speech diffusion pad
]
}
num_added = self.add_special_tokens(special_tokens)
# Cache special token IDs
self._speech_start_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_start|>")
self._speech_end_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_end|>")
self._speech_diffusion_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids("<|vision_pad|>")
# self._eos_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids('<|endoftext|>')
self._eos_id = self.eos_token_id # qwen2 / qwen3
self._pad_id = self.convert_tokens_to_ids('<|image_pad|>')
return num_added
@property
def eos_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the end of sequence token."""
return self._eos_id
@property
def speech_start_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech start token."""
return self._speech_start_id
@property
def speech_end_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech end token."""
return self._speech_end_id
@property
def speech_diffusion_id(self) -> int:
"""Id of the speech diffusion token."""
return self._speech_diffusion_id
@property
def pad_id(self) -> int:
"""Id used for padding (returns -100 for loss masking)."""
return self._pad_id
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceTextTokenizer",
"VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast",
]

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from __future__ import annotations
import torch
import asyncio
from queue import Queue
from typing import TYPE_CHECKING, Optional
from transformers.generation import BaseStreamer
class AudioStreamer(BaseStreamer):
"""
Audio streamer that stores audio chunks in queues for each sample in the batch.
This allows streaming audio generation for multiple samples simultaneously.
Parameters:
batch_size (`int`):
The batch size for generation
stop_signal (`any`, *optional*):
The signal to put in the queue when generation ends. Defaults to None.
timeout (`float`, *optional*):
The timeout for the audio queue. If `None`, the queue will block indefinitely.
"""
def __init__(
self,
batch_size: int,
stop_signal: Optional[any] = None,
timeout: Optional[float] = None,
):
self.batch_size = batch_size
self.stop_signal = stop_signal
self.timeout = timeout
# Create a queue for each sample in the batch
self.audio_queues = [Queue() for _ in range(batch_size)]
self.finished_flags = [False for _ in range(batch_size)]
self.sample_indices_map = {} # Maps from sample index to queue index
def put(self, audio_chunks: torch.Tensor, sample_indices: torch.Tensor):
"""
Receives audio chunks and puts them in the appropriate queues.
Args:
audio_chunks: Tensor of shape (num_samples, ...) containing audio chunks
sample_indices: Tensor indicating which samples these chunks belong to
"""
for i, sample_idx in enumerate(sample_indices):
idx = sample_idx.item()
if idx < self.batch_size and not self.finished_flags[idx]:
# Convert to numpy or keep as tensor based on preference
audio_chunk = audio_chunks[i].detach().cpu()
self.audio_queues[idx].put(audio_chunk, timeout=self.timeout)
def end(self, sample_indices: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None):
"""
Signals the end of generation for specified samples or all samples.
Args:
sample_indices: Optional tensor of sample indices to end. If None, ends all.
"""
if sample_indices is None:
# End all samples
for idx in range(self.batch_size):
if not self.finished_flags[idx]:
self.audio_queues[idx].put(self.stop_signal, timeout=self.timeout)
self.finished_flags[idx] = True
else:
# End specific samples
for sample_idx in sample_indices:
idx = sample_idx.item() if torch.is_tensor(sample_idx) else sample_idx
if idx < self.batch_size and not self.finished_flags[idx]:
self.audio_queues[idx].put(self.stop_signal, timeout=self.timeout)
self.finished_flags[idx] = True
def __iter__(self):
"""Returns an iterator over the batch of audio streams."""
return AudioBatchIterator(self)
def get_stream(self, sample_idx: int):
"""Get the audio stream for a specific sample."""
if sample_idx >= self.batch_size:
raise ValueError(f"Sample index {sample_idx} exceeds batch size {self.batch_size}")
return AudioSampleIterator(self, sample_idx)
class AudioSampleIterator:
"""Iterator for a single audio stream from the batch."""
def __init__(self, streamer: AudioStreamer, sample_idx: int):
self.streamer = streamer
self.sample_idx = sample_idx
def __iter__(self):
return self
def __next__(self):
value = self.streamer.audio_queues[self.sample_idx].get(timeout=self.streamer.timeout)
if value == self.streamer.stop_signal:
raise StopIteration()
return value
class AudioBatchIterator:
"""Iterator that yields audio chunks for all samples in the batch."""
def __init__(self, streamer: AudioStreamer):
self.streamer = streamer
self.active_samples = set(range(streamer.batch_size))
def __iter__(self):
return self
def __next__(self):
if not self.active_samples:
raise StopIteration()
batch_chunks = {}
samples_to_remove = set()
# Try to get chunks from all active samples
for idx in self.active_samples:
try:
value = self.streamer.audio_queues[idx].get(block=False)
if value == self.streamer.stop_signal:
samples_to_remove.add(idx)
else:
batch_chunks[idx] = value
except:
# Queue is empty for this sample, skip it this iteration
pass
# Remove finished samples
self.active_samples -= samples_to_remove
if batch_chunks:
return batch_chunks
elif self.active_samples:
# If no chunks were ready but we still have active samples,
# wait a bit and try again
import time
time.sleep(0.01)
return self.__next__()
else:
raise StopIteration()
class AsyncAudioStreamer(AudioStreamer):
"""
Async version of AudioStreamer for use in async contexts.
"""
def __init__(
self,
batch_size: int,
stop_signal: Optional[any] = None,
timeout: Optional[float] = None,
):
super().__init__(batch_size, stop_signal, timeout)
# Replace regular queues with async queues
self.audio_queues = [asyncio.Queue() for _ in range(batch_size)]
self.loop = asyncio.get_running_loop()
def put(self, audio_chunks: torch.Tensor, sample_indices: torch.Tensor):
"""Put audio chunks in the appropriate async queues."""
for i, sample_idx in enumerate(sample_indices):
idx = sample_idx.item()
if idx < self.batch_size and not self.finished_flags[idx]:
audio_chunk = audio_chunks[i].detach().cpu()
self.loop.call_soon_threadsafe(
self.audio_queues[idx].put_nowait, audio_chunk
)
def end(self, sample_indices: Optional[torch.Tensor] = None):
"""Signal the end of generation for specified samples."""
if sample_indices is None:
indices_to_end = range(self.batch_size)
else:
indices_to_end = [s.item() if torch.is_tensor(s) else s for s in sample_indices]
for idx in indices_to_end:
if idx < self.batch_size and not self.finished_flags[idx]:
self.loop.call_soon_threadsafe(
self.audio_queues[idx].put_nowait, self.stop_signal
)
self.finished_flags[idx] = True
async def get_stream(self, sample_idx: int):
"""Get async iterator for a specific sample's audio stream."""
if sample_idx >= self.batch_size:
raise ValueError(f"Sample index {sample_idx} exceeds batch size {self.batch_size}")
while True:
value = await self.audio_queues[sample_idx].get()
if value == self.stop_signal:
break
yield value
def __aiter__(self):
"""Returns an async iterator over all audio streams."""
return AsyncAudioBatchIterator(self)
class AsyncAudioBatchIterator:
"""Async iterator for batch audio streaming."""
def __init__(self, streamer: AsyncAudioStreamer):
self.streamer = streamer
self.active_samples = set(range(streamer.batch_size))
def __aiter__(self):
return self
async def __anext__(self):
if not self.active_samples:
raise StopAsyncIteration()
batch_chunks = {}
samples_to_remove = set()
# Create tasks for all active samples
tasks = {
idx: asyncio.create_task(self._get_chunk(idx))
for idx in self.active_samples
}
# Wait for at least one chunk to be ready
done, pending = await asyncio.wait(
tasks.values(),
return_when=asyncio.FIRST_COMPLETED,
timeout=self.streamer.timeout
)
# Cancel pending tasks
for task in pending:
task.cancel()
# Process completed tasks
for idx, task in tasks.items():
if task in done:
try:
value = await task
if value == self.streamer.stop_signal:
samples_to_remove.add(idx)
else:
batch_chunks[idx] = value
except asyncio.CancelledError:
pass
self.active_samples -= samples_to_remove
if batch_chunks:
return batch_chunks
elif self.active_samples:
# Try again if we still have active samples
return await self.__anext__()
else:
raise StopAsyncIteration()
async def _get_chunk(self, idx):
"""Helper to get a chunk from a specific queue."""
return await self.streamer.audio_queues[idx].get()

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import math
import warnings
from typing import List, Optional, Union, Dict, Any, Tuple
import os
import re
import numpy as np
import torch
from transformers.tokenization_utils_base import BatchEncoding, PaddingStrategy, PreTokenizedInput, TextInput, TruncationStrategy
from transformers.utils import TensorType, logging
from .vibevoice_tokenizer_processor import AudioNormalizer
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class VibeVoiceProcessor:
r"""
Constructs a VibeVoice processor which wraps a VibeVoice tokenizer and audio processor into a single processor.
[`VibeVoiceProcessor`] offers all the functionalities of [`VibeVoiceTokenizer`] and [`VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor`].
See the [`~VibeVoiceProcessor.__call__`] and [`~VibeVoiceProcessor.decode`] for more information.
Args:
tokenizer (`VibeVoiceTextTokenizer` or `VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast`):
The tokenizer for text processing.
audio_processor (`VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor`):
The audio processor for speech processing.
speech_tok_compress_ratio (`int`, *optional*, defaults to 3200):
The compression ratio for speech tokenization.
db_normalize (`bool`, *optional*, defaults to True):
Whether to apply decibel normalization to audio inputs.
"""
def __init__(self, tokenizer=None, audio_processor=None, speech_tok_compress_ratio=3200, db_normalize=True, **kwargs):
self.tokenizer = tokenizer
self.audio_processor = audio_processor
self.speech_tok_compress_ratio = speech_tok_compress_ratio
self.db_normalize = db_normalize
self.audio_normalizer = AudioNormalizer() if db_normalize else None
self.system_prompt = " Transform the text provided by various speakers into speech output, utilizing the distinct voice of each respective speaker.\n"
@classmethod
def from_pretrained(cls, pretrained_model_name_or_path, **kwargs):
"""
Instantiate a VibeVoiceProcessor from a pretrained VibeVoice processor.
Args:
pretrained_model_name_or_path (`str` or `os.PathLike`):
This can be either:
- a string, the *model id* of a pretrained model
- a path to a *directory* containing processor config
Returns:
[`VibeVoiceProcessor`]: The processor object instantiated from pretrained model.
"""
import os
import json
from .vibevoice_tokenizer_processor import VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor
from vibevoice.modular.modular_vibevoice_text_tokenizer import (
VibeVoiceTextTokenizer,
VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast
)
# Load processor configuration
config_path = os.path.join(pretrained_model_name_or_path, "preprocessor_config.json")
if os.path.exists(config_path):
with open(config_path, 'r') as f:
config = json.load(f)
else:
logger.warning(f"No preprocessor_config.json found at {pretrained_model_name_or_path}, using defaults")
config = {
"speech_tok_compress_ratio": 3200,
"db_normalize": True,
}
# Extract main processor parameters
speech_tok_compress_ratio = config.get("speech_tok_compress_ratio", 3200)
db_normalize = config.get("db_normalize", True)
# Load tokenizer - try from model path first, then fallback to Qwen
language_model_pretrained_name = config.get("language_model_pretrained_name", None) or kwargs.pop("language_model_pretrained_name", "Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B")
logger.info(f"Loading tokenizer from {language_model_pretrained_name}")
if 'qwen' in language_model_pretrained_name.lower():
tokenizer = VibeVoiceTextTokenizerFast.from_pretrained(
language_model_pretrained_name,
**kwargs
)
else:
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported tokenizer type for {language_model_pretrained_name}. Supported types: Qwen, Llama, Gemma.")
# Load audio processor
if "audio_processor" in config:
# Create audio processor from config
audio_config = config["audio_processor"]
audio_processor = VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor(
sampling_rate=audio_config.get("sampling_rate", 24000),
normalize_audio=audio_config.get("normalize_audio", True),
target_dB_FS=audio_config.get("target_dB_FS", -25),
eps=audio_config.get("eps", 1e-6),
)
else:
# Create default audio processor
audio_processor = VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor()
# Create and return the processor
return cls(
tokenizer=tokenizer,
audio_processor=audio_processor,
speech_tok_compress_ratio=speech_tok_compress_ratio,
db_normalize=db_normalize,
)
def save_pretrained(self, save_directory: Union[str, os.PathLike], **kwargs):
"""
Save a processor to a directory, so that it can be re-loaded using the
[`~VibeVoiceProcessor.from_pretrained`] class method.
Args:
save_directory (`str` or `os.PathLike`):
Directory where the processor will be saved.
"""
import os
import json
os.makedirs(save_directory, exist_ok=True)
# Save processor configuration
processor_config = {
"processor_class": "VibeVoiceProcessor",
"speech_tok_compress_ratio": self.speech_tok_compress_ratio,
"db_normalize": self.db_normalize,
"audio_processor": {
"feature_extractor_type": "VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor",
"sampling_rate": getattr(self.audio_processor, 'sampling_rate', 24000),
"normalize_audio": getattr(self.audio_processor, 'normalize_audio', True),
"target_dB_FS": getattr(self.audio_processor, 'target_dB_FS', -25),
"eps": getattr(self.audio_processor, 'eps', 1e-6),
}
}
config_path = os.path.join(save_directory, "preprocessor_config.json")
with open(config_path, 'w') as f:
json.dump(processor_config, f, indent=2)
logger.info(f"Processor configuration saved in {config_path}")
def __call__(
self,
text: Optional[Union[str, List[str], TextInput, PreTokenizedInput, List[TextInput], List[PreTokenizedInput]]] = None,
voice_samples: Optional[Union[List[Union[str, np.ndarray]], List[List[Union[str, np.ndarray]]]]] = None,
padding: Union[bool, str, PaddingStrategy] = True,
truncation: Union[bool, str, TruncationStrategy] = False,
max_length: Optional[int] = None,
return_tensors: Optional[Union[str, TensorType]] = None,
return_attention_mask: bool = True,
**kwargs,
) -> BatchEncoding:
"""
Main method to process one or more podcast scripts with optional voice samples.
Args:
text (`str`, `List[str]`):
The input text(s) to process. Can be:
- A single script string
- A list of script strings for batch processing
- A path to a .json or .txt file
- A list of paths
voice_samples (`List[Union[str, np.ndarray]]`, `List[List[Union[str, np.ndarray]]]`, *optional*):
Voice samples for each script. Can be:
- A list of samples for a single script
- A list of lists for batch processing
padding (`bool`, `str` or `PaddingStrategy`, defaults to `True`):
Whether to pad sequences to the same length
truncation (`bool`, `str` or `TruncationStrategy`, defaults to `False`):
Whether to truncate sequences
max_length (`int`, *optional*):
Maximum length of the returned sequences
return_tensors (`str` or `TensorType`, *optional*):
If set, will return tensors of a particular framework
return_attention_mask (`bool`, defaults to `True`):
Whether to return the attention mask
Returns:
`BatchEncoding`: A BatchEncoding with the following fields:
- **input_ids** -- List of token id sequences or tensor
- **attention_mask** -- List of attention masks or tensor
- **speech_tensors** -- Padded speech inputs (if voice_samples provided)
- **speech_masks** -- Speech masks (if voice_samples provided)
- **speech_input_mask** -- Boolean masks indicating speech token positions
"""
# Handle single vs batch input
if isinstance(text, str) or (isinstance(text, list) and len(text) > 0 and not isinstance(text[0], str)):
# Single input
texts = [text]
is_batched = False
else:
# Batch input
texts = text
is_batched = True
# Handle voice samples
if voice_samples is not None:
if not is_batched or (isinstance(voice_samples[0], (str, np.ndarray))):
# Single set of voice samples
voice_samples_list = [voice_samples]
else:
# Batch of voice samples
voice_samples_list = voice_samples
else:
voice_samples_list = [None] * len(texts)
# Process each input
all_encodings = []
for text_input, voice_input in zip(texts, voice_samples_list):
encoding = self._process_single(text_input, voice_input)
all_encodings.append(encoding)
# Combine batch
batch_encoding = self._batch_encode(
all_encodings,
padding=padding,
truncation=truncation,
max_length=max_length,
return_tensors=return_tensors,
return_attention_mask=return_attention_mask,
)
return batch_encoding
def _process_single(
self,
text: Union[str, TextInput],
voice_samples: Optional[List[Union[str, np.ndarray]]] = None,
) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Process a single podcast script."""
# Determine if text is a file path or direct script
script = None
if isinstance(text, str):
# Check if it's a file path
if text.endswith('.json') and os.path.exists(text):
script = self._convert_json_to_script(text)
elif text.endswith('.txt') and os.path.exists(text):
script = self._convert_text_to_script(text)
else:
# Assume it's the script content directly
script = text
if script is None:
raise ValueError(f"Could not process input text: {text}")
# Parse the script
parsed_lines = self._parse_script(script)
all_speakers = list(set(speaker_id for speaker_id, _ in parsed_lines))
# Create system prompt
# system_tokens = self.tokenizer.encode(self.system_prompt, add_special_tokens=False)
system_tokens = self.tokenizer.encode(self.system_prompt)
# Process voice samples if provided
if voice_samples:
voice_tokens, voice_speech_inputs, voice_speech_masks = self._create_voice_prompt(voice_samples[:len(all_speakers)])
else:
voice_tokens, voice_speech_inputs, voice_speech_masks = [], [], []
# Build full token sequence
full_tokens = system_tokens + voice_tokens
speech_input_mask = [False] * len(system_tokens) + voice_speech_masks
# Add text input section
full_tokens += self.tokenizer.encode(' Text input:\n', add_special_tokens=False)
speech_input_mask += [False] * len(self.tokenizer.encode(' Text input:\n', add_special_tokens=False))
for speaker_id, speaker_text in parsed_lines:
speaker_text_tokens = self.tokenizer.encode(f" Speaker {speaker_id}:{speaker_text}\n", add_special_tokens=False)
full_tokens += speaker_text_tokens
speech_input_mask += [False] * len(speaker_text_tokens)
# Add speech output section
full_tokens += self.tokenizer.encode(' Speech output:\n', add_special_tokens=False) + [self.tokenizer.speech_start_id]
speech_input_mask += [False] * (len(self.tokenizer.encode(' Speech output:\n', add_special_tokens=False)) + 1)
return {
"input_ids": full_tokens,
"speech_inputs": voice_speech_inputs if voice_speech_inputs else None,
"speech_input_mask": speech_input_mask,
"parsed_script": parsed_lines,
"all_speakers": all_speakers,
}
def _batch_encode(
self,
encodings: List[Dict[str, Any]],
padding: Union[bool, str, PaddingStrategy] = True,
truncation: Union[bool, str, TruncationStrategy] = False,
max_length: Optional[int] = None,
return_tensors: Optional[Union[str, TensorType]] = None,
return_attention_mask: bool = True,
) -> BatchEncoding:
"""Combine multiple encodings into a batch with padding."""
# Extract input_ids and create attention_mask
input_ids_list = [enc["input_ids"] for enc in encodings]
speech_input_masks_list = [enc["speech_input_mask"] for enc in encodings]
# Determine padding strategy
if isinstance(padding, bool):
padding_strategy = PaddingStrategy.LONGEST if padding else PaddingStrategy.DO_NOT_PAD
elif isinstance(padding, str):
padding_strategy = PaddingStrategy(padding)
else:
padding_strategy = padding
# Apply padding to input_ids
if padding_strategy != PaddingStrategy.DO_NOT_PAD:
if padding_strategy == PaddingStrategy.LONGEST:
max_len = max(len(ids) for ids in input_ids_list)
elif padding_strategy == PaddingStrategy.MAX_LENGTH and max_length is not None:
max_len = max_length
else:
max_len = max(len(ids) for ids in input_ids_list)
# Pad sequences
padded_input_ids = []
attention_masks = []
padded_speech_input_masks = []
for input_ids, speech_mask in zip(input_ids_list, speech_input_masks_list):
# Truncate if needed
if truncation and len(input_ids) > max_len:
input_ids = input_ids[:max_len]
speech_mask = speech_mask[:max_len]
# Pad
padding_length = max_len - len(input_ids)
# padded_ids = [self.tokenizer.pad_token_id] * padding_length + input_ids
padded_ids = [self.tokenizer.pad_id] * padding_length + input_ids
attention_mask = [0] * padding_length + [1] * len(input_ids)
padded_speech_mask = [False] * padding_length + speech_mask
padded_input_ids.append(padded_ids)
attention_masks.append(attention_mask)
padded_speech_input_masks.append(padded_speech_mask)
input_ids_list = padded_input_ids
speech_input_masks_list = padded_speech_input_masks
else:
# No padding, just create attention masks
attention_masks = [[1] * len(ids) for ids in input_ids_list] if return_attention_mask else None
# Process speech inputs
all_speech_inputs = []
has_speech = False
for enc in encodings:
if enc["speech_inputs"] is not None:
all_speech_inputs.extend(enc["speech_inputs"])
has_speech = True
# Prepare batch encoding
batch_encoding = BatchEncoding()
# Handle tensor conversion
if return_tensors is not None:
batch_encoding["input_ids"] = torch.tensor(input_ids_list, dtype=torch.long)
if return_attention_mask and attention_masks is not None:
batch_encoding["attention_mask"] = torch.tensor(attention_masks, dtype=torch.long)
batch_encoding["speech_input_mask"] = torch.tensor(speech_input_masks_list, dtype=torch.bool)
else:
batch_encoding["input_ids"] = input_ids_list
if return_attention_mask and attention_masks is not None:
batch_encoding["attention_mask"] = attention_masks
batch_encoding["speech_input_mask"] = speech_input_masks_list
# Process speech tensors if present
if has_speech:
speech_dict = self.prepare_speech_inputs(
all_speech_inputs,
return_tensors=return_tensors,
)
batch_encoding["speech_tensors"] = speech_dict["padded_speeches"]
batch_encoding["speech_masks"] = speech_dict["speech_masks"]
else:
batch_encoding["speech_tensors"] = None
batch_encoding["speech_masks"] = None
# Add metadata
batch_encoding["parsed_scripts"] = [enc["parsed_script"] for enc in encodings]
batch_encoding["all_speakers_list"] = [enc["all_speakers"] for enc in encodings]
return batch_encoding
def _create_voice_prompt(
self,
speaker_samples: List[Union[str, np.ndarray]]
) -> Tuple[List[int], List[np.ndarray], List[bool]]:
"""
Create voice prompt tokens and process audio samples.
Returns:
tuple: (voice_tokens, voice_speech_inputs, voice_speech_masks)
"""
vae_token_id = self.tokenizer.speech_diffusion_id
voice_full_tokens = self.tokenizer.encode(' Voice input:\n', add_special_tokens=False)
voice_speech_inputs = []
voice_speech_masks = [False] * len(voice_full_tokens)
for speaker_id, speaker_audio in enumerate(speaker_samples):
prefix_tokens = self.tokenizer.encode(f" Speaker {speaker_id}:", add_special_tokens=False)
# Process audio
if isinstance(speaker_audio, str):
# Load audio from file
wav = self.audio_processor._load_audio_from_path(speaker_audio)
else:
wav = np.array(speaker_audio, dtype=np.float32)
# Apply normalization if needed
if self.db_normalize and self.audio_normalizer:
wav = self.audio_normalizer(wav)
# Calculate token length based on compression ratio
# if speaker_audio.endswith('.pt') or speaker_audio.endswith('.npy'):
# vae_tok_len = wav.shape[0]
# else:
vae_tok_len = math.ceil(wav.shape[0] / self.speech_tok_compress_ratio)
# Build tokens and masks
speaker_tokens = (prefix_tokens +
[self.tokenizer.speech_start_id] +
[vae_token_id] * vae_tok_len +
[self.tokenizer.speech_end_id] +
self.tokenizer.encode('\n', add_special_tokens=False))
vae_input_mask = ([False] * len(prefix_tokens) +
[False] +
[True] * vae_tok_len +
[False] +
[False])
voice_full_tokens.extend(speaker_tokens)
voice_speech_masks.extend(vae_input_mask)
voice_speech_inputs.append(wav)
return voice_full_tokens, voice_speech_inputs, voice_speech_masks
def prepare_speech_inputs(
self,
speech_inputs: List[np.ndarray],
return_tensors: Optional[Union[str, TensorType]] = None,
device: Optional[Union[str, torch.device]] = None,
dtype: Optional[torch.dtype] = None,
) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Prepare speech inputs for model consumption.
Args:
speech_inputs: List of speech arrays
return_tensors: Output tensor type
device: Device to place tensors on
dtype: Data type for tensors
Returns:
Dictionary with padded_speeches and speech_masks
"""
if not speech_inputs:
return {"padded_speeches": None, "speech_masks": None}
# Calculate sequence lengths
vae_tok_seqlens = [math.ceil(s.shape[0] / self.speech_tok_compress_ratio) for s in speech_inputs]
# vae_tok_seqlens = [math.ceil(s.shape[0] / self.speech_tok_compress_ratio) if s.ndim == 1 else s.shape[0] for s in speech_inputs]
max_speech_length = max(s.shape[0] for s in speech_inputs)
# Pad speeches
if speech_inputs[0].ndim == 1:
padded_speeches = np.full((len(speech_inputs), max_speech_length), fill_value=0, dtype=np.float32)
else:
padded_speeches = np.full((len(speech_inputs), max_speech_length, speech_inputs[0].shape[-1]), fill_value=0, dtype=np.float32)
speech_masks = np.zeros((len(speech_inputs), max(vae_tok_seqlens)), dtype=np.bool_)
for i, (speech, vae_tok_length) in enumerate(zip(speech_inputs, vae_tok_seqlens)):
padded_speeches[i, :len(speech)] = speech
speech_masks[i, :vae_tok_length] = True
result = {
"padded_speeches": padded_speeches,
"speech_masks": speech_masks,
}
# Convert to tensors if requested
if return_tensors == "pt":
result["padded_speeches"] = torch.tensor(padded_speeches, device=device, dtype=dtype or torch.float32)
result["speech_masks"] = torch.tensor(speech_masks, device=device, dtype=torch.bool)
return result
def _convert_json_to_script(self, json_file: str) -> str:
"""
Convert JSON format to script format.
Expected JSON format:
[
{"speaker": "1", "text": "Hello everyone..."},
{"speaker": "2", "text": "Great to be here..."}
]
"""
import json
with open(json_file, 'r', encoding='utf-8') as f:
data = json.load(f)
if not isinstance(data, list):
raise ValueError("JSON file must contain a list of speaker entries")
script_lines = []
for item in data:
if not isinstance(item, dict):
logger.warning(f"Skipping non-dict entry: {item}")
continue
speaker = item.get('speaker')
text = item.get('text')
if speaker is None or text is None:
logger.warning(f"Skipping entry missing speaker or text: {item}")
continue
# Ensure speaker ID is valid
try:
speaker_id = int(speaker)
except (ValueError, TypeError):
logger.warning(f"Invalid speaker ID: {speaker}, skipping entry")
continue
# Clean up text
text = text.strip()
if text:
script_lines.append(f"Speaker {speaker_id}: {text}")
if not script_lines:
raise ValueError("No valid entries found in JSON file")
return "\n".join(script_lines)
def _convert_text_to_script(self, text_file: str) -> str:
"""
Convert text file to script format.
Handles multiple formats:
1. Already formatted as "Speaker X: text"
2. Plain text (assigns to Speaker 1)
Handles edge cases like multiple colons in a line.
"""
with open(text_file, 'r', encoding='utf-8') as f:
lines = f.readlines()
script_lines = []
current_speaker = 1
for line in lines:
line = line.strip()
if not line:
continue
# Try to parse as "Speaker X: text" format
# Use regex to be more robust
speaker_match = re.match(r'^Speaker\s+(\d+)\s*:\s*(.*)$', line, re.IGNORECASE)
if speaker_match:
speaker_id = int(speaker_match.group(1))
text = speaker_match.group(2).strip()
if text:
script_lines.append(f"Speaker {speaker_id}: {text}")
else:
# Treat as plain text - assign to current speaker
script_lines.append(f"Speaker {current_speaker}: {line}")
if not script_lines:
raise ValueError("No valid content found in text file")
return "\n".join(script_lines)
def _parse_script(self, script: str) -> List[Tuple[int, str]]:
"""Parse script into list of (speaker_id, text) tuples."""
lines = script.strip().split("\n")
parsed_lines = []
speaker_ids = []
# First pass: parse all lines and collect speaker IDs
for line in lines:
if not line.strip():
continue
# Use regex to handle edge cases like multiple colons
match = re.match(r'^Speaker\s+(\d+)\s*:\s*(.*)$', line.strip(), re.IGNORECASE)
if match:
speaker_id = int(match.group(1))
text = ' ' + match.group(2).strip()
parsed_lines.append((speaker_id, text))
speaker_ids.append(speaker_id)
else:
logger.warning(f"Could not parse line: '{line}'")
if not parsed_lines:
raise ValueError("No valid speaker lines found in script")
# Check if we need to normalize speaker IDs (only if all are > 0)
min_speaker_id = min(speaker_ids)
if min_speaker_id > 0:
# Normalize to start from 0
normalized_lines = []
for speaker_id, text in parsed_lines:
normalized_lines.append((speaker_id - 1, text))
return normalized_lines
else:
# Keep original IDs
return parsed_lines
def _merge_inputs(self, text_inputs: BatchEncoding, audio_inputs: Dict) -> BatchEncoding:
"""Merge text and audio inputs into a single BatchEncoding."""
# Start with text inputs
merged = BatchEncoding(text_inputs)
# Add audio-specific fields
if "audio" in audio_inputs:
merged["speech_inputs"] = audio_inputs["audio"]
if "streaming" in audio_inputs:
merged["streaming"] = audio_inputs["streaming"]
return merged
def batch_decode(self, *args, **kwargs):
"""
This method forwards all its arguments to VibeVoiceTextTokenizer's [`~PreTrainedTokenizer.batch_decode`].
Please refer to the docstring of this method for more information.
"""
return self.tokenizer.batch_decode(*args, **kwargs)
def decode(self, *args, **kwargs):
"""
This method forwards all its arguments to VibeVoiceTextTokenizer's [`~PreTrainedTokenizer.decode`].
Please refer to the docstring of this method for more information.
"""
return self.tokenizer.decode(*args, **kwargs)
@property
def model_input_names(self):
"""
Return the list of inputs accepted by the model.
"""
tokenizer_input_names = self.tokenizer.model_input_names
audio_processor_input_names = self.audio_processor.model_input_names
return list(dict.fromkeys(tokenizer_input_names + audio_processor_input_names + ["speech_inputs", "speech_input_mask"]))
def save_audio(self,
audio: Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray, List[Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray]]],
output_path: str = "output.wav",
sampling_rate: Optional[int] = None,
normalize: bool = False,
batch_prefix: str = "audio_",
) -> str:
"""
Save audio data to a file.
Args:
audio (Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray, List[Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray]]]):
The audio data to save. Can be a single tensor/array or a list of them.
output_path (str, optional): Path to save the audio file. Defaults to "output.wav".
sampling_rate (int, optional): Sampling rate for the audio. If None, uses the processor's default.
normalize (bool, optional): Whether to normalize the audio before saving. Defaults to False.
batch_prefix (str, optional): Prefix for batch audio files. Defaults to "audio_".
Returns:
str: The path to the saved audio file.
"""
return self.audio_processor.save_audio(audio, output_path=output_path, sampling_rate=sampling_rate, normalize=normalize, batch_prefix=batch_prefix)
__all__ = [
"VibeVoiceProcessor",
]

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"""
Processor class for VibeVoice models.
"""
import os
import json
import warnings
from typing import List, Optional, Union, Dict, Any
import numpy as np
import torch
from transformers.feature_extraction_utils import FeatureExtractionMixin
from transformers.utils import logging
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
class AudioNormalizer:
"""
Audio normalization class for VibeVoice tokenizer.
This class provides audio normalization to ensure consistent input levels
for the VibeVoice tokenizer while maintaining audio quality.
"""
def __init__(self, target_dB_FS: float = -25, eps: float = 1e-6):
"""
Initialize the audio normalizer.
Args:
target_dB_FS (float): Target dB FS level for the audio. Default: -25
eps (float): Small value to avoid division by zero. Default: 1e-6
"""
self.target_dB_FS = target_dB_FS
self.eps = eps
def tailor_dB_FS(self, audio: np.ndarray) -> tuple:
"""
Adjust the audio to the target dB FS level.
Args:
audio (np.ndarray): Input audio signal
Returns:
tuple: (normalized_audio, rms, scalar)
"""
rms = np.sqrt(np.mean(audio**2))
scalar = 10 ** (self.target_dB_FS / 20) / (rms + self.eps)
normalized_audio = audio * scalar
return normalized_audio, rms, scalar
def avoid_clipping(self, audio: np.ndarray, scalar: Optional[float] = None) -> tuple:
"""
Avoid clipping by scaling down if necessary.
Args:
audio (np.ndarray): Input audio signal
scalar (float, optional): Explicit scaling factor
Returns:
tuple: (normalized_audio, scalar)
"""
if scalar is None:
max_val = np.max(np.abs(audio))
if max_val > 1.0:
scalar = max_val + self.eps
else:
scalar = 1.0
return audio / scalar, scalar
def __call__(self, audio: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Normalize the audio by adjusting to target dB FS and avoiding clipping.
Args:
audio (np.ndarray): Input audio signal
Returns:
np.ndarray: Normalized audio signal
"""
# First adjust to target dB FS
audio, _, _ = self.tailor_dB_FS(audio)
# Then avoid clipping
audio, _ = self.avoid_clipping(audio)
return audio
# Change from ProcessorMixin to FeatureExtractionMixin which is designed for single components
class VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor(FeatureExtractionMixin):
"""
Processor for VibeVoice acoustic tokenizer models.
This processor handles audio preprocessing for VibeVoice models, including:
- Audio format conversion (stereo to mono)
- Optional audio normalization
- Streaming support for infinite-length audio
Args:
sampling_rate (int, optional): Expected sampling rate. Defaults to 24000.
normalize_audio (bool, optional): Whether to normalize audio. Defaults to True.
target_dB_FS (float, optional): Target dB FS for normalization. Defaults to -25.
eps (float, optional): Small value for numerical stability. Defaults to 1e-6.
"""
model_input_names = ["input_features"]
def __init__(
self,
sampling_rate: int = 24000,
normalize_audio: bool = True,
target_dB_FS: float = -25,
eps: float = 1e-6,
**kwargs,
):
super().__init__(**kwargs)
self.sampling_rate = sampling_rate
self.normalize_audio = normalize_audio
# Initialize audio normalizer if needed
if self.normalize_audio:
self.normalizer = AudioNormalizer(target_dB_FS=target_dB_FS, eps=eps)
else:
self.normalizer = None
# Save config
self.feature_extractor_dict = {
"sampling_rate": sampling_rate,
"normalize_audio": normalize_audio,
"target_dB_FS": target_dB_FS,
"eps": eps,
}
def _ensure_mono(self, audio: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Convert stereo audio to mono if needed.
Args:
audio (np.ndarray): Input audio array
Returns:
np.ndarray: Mono audio array
"""
if len(audio.shape) == 1:
return audio
elif len(audio.shape) == 2:
if audio.shape[0] == 2: # (2, time)
return np.mean(audio, axis=0)
elif audio.shape[1] == 2: # (time, 2)
return np.mean(audio, axis=1)
else:
# If one dimension is 1, squeeze it
if audio.shape[0] == 1:
return audio.squeeze(0)
elif audio.shape[1] == 1:
return audio.squeeze(1)
else:
raise ValueError(f"Unexpected audio shape: {audio.shape}")
else:
raise ValueError(f"Audio should be 1D or 2D, got shape: {audio.shape}")
def _process_single_audio(self, audio: Union[np.ndarray, List[float]]) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Process a single audio array.
Args:
audio: Single audio input
Returns:
np.ndarray: Processed audio
"""
# Convert to numpy array
if not isinstance(audio, np.ndarray):
audio = np.array(audio, dtype=np.float32)
else:
audio = audio.astype(np.float32)
# Ensure mono
audio = self._ensure_mono(audio)
# Normalize if requested
if self.normalize_audio and self.normalizer is not None:
audio = self.normalizer(audio)
return audio
def __call__(
self,
audio: Union[str, np.ndarray, List[float], List[np.ndarray], List[List[float]], List[str]] = None,
sampling_rate: Optional[int] = None,
return_tensors: Optional[str] = None,
**kwargs,
):
"""
Process audio for VibeVoice models.
Args:
audio: Audio input(s) to process. Can be:
- str: Path to audio file
- np.ndarray: Audio array
- List[float]: Audio as list of floats
- List[np.ndarray]: Batch of audio arrays
- List[str]: Batch of audio file paths
sampling_rate (int, optional): Sampling rate of the input audio
return_tensors (str, optional): Return format ('pt' for PyTorch, 'np' for NumPy)
Returns:
dict: Processed audio inputs with keys:
- input_features: Audio tensor(s) ready for the model
"""
if audio is None:
raise ValueError("Audio input is required")
# Validate sampling rate
if sampling_rate is not None and sampling_rate != self.sampling_rate:
logger.warning(
f"Input sampling rate ({sampling_rate}) differs from expected "
f"sampling rate ({self.sampling_rate}). Please resample your audio."
)
# Handle different input types
if isinstance(audio, str):
# Single audio file path
audio = self._load_audio_from_path(audio)
is_batched = False
elif isinstance(audio, list):
if len(audio) == 0:
raise ValueError("Empty audio list provided")
# Check if it's a list of file paths
if all(isinstance(item, str) for item in audio):
# Batch of audio file paths
audio = [self._load_audio_from_path(path) for path in audio]
is_batched = True
else:
# Check if it's batched audio arrays
is_batched = isinstance(audio[0], (np.ndarray, list))
else:
# Single audio array or list
is_batched = False
# Process audio
if is_batched:
processed_audio = [self._process_single_audio(a) for a in audio]
else:
processed_audio = [self._process_single_audio(audio)]
# Convert to tensors if requested
if return_tensors == "pt":
if len(processed_audio) == 1:
# Create a proper batch dimension (B, T)
input_features = torch.from_numpy(processed_audio[0]).unsqueeze(0).unsqueeze(1)
else:
# For batched input with different lengths, create a batch properly
input_features = torch.stack([torch.from_numpy(a) for a in processed_audio]).unsqueeze(1)
elif return_tensors == "np":
if len(processed_audio) == 1:
input_features = processed_audio[0][np.newaxis, np.newaxis, :]
else:
input_features = np.stack(processed_audio)[:, np.newaxis, :]
else:
input_features = processed_audio[0] if len(processed_audio) == 1 else processed_audio
outputs = {
"audio": input_features, # Use "audio" instead of "input_features"
}
return outputs
def _load_audio_from_path(self, audio_path: str) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Load audio from file path.
Args:
audio_path (str): Path to audio file
Returns:
np.ndarray: Loaded audio array
"""
# Get file extension to determine loading method
file_ext = os.path.splitext(audio_path)[1].lower()
if file_ext in ['.wav', '.mp3', '.flac', '.m4a', '.ogg']:
# Audio file - use librosa
import librosa
audio_array, sr = librosa.load(
audio_path,
sr=self.sampling_rate,
mono=True
)
return audio_array
elif file_ext == '.pt':
# PyTorch tensor file
audio_tensor = torch.load(audio_path, map_location='cpu').squeeze()
if isinstance(audio_tensor, torch.Tensor):
audio_array = audio_tensor.numpy()
else:
audio_array = np.array(audio_tensor)
return audio_array.astype(np.float32)
elif file_ext == '.npy':
# NumPy file
audio_array = np.load(audio_path)
return audio_array.astype(np.float32)
else:
raise ValueError(
f"Unsupported file format: {file_ext}. "
f"Supported formats: .wav, .mp3, .flac, .m4a, .ogg, .pt, .npy, .npz"
)
def preprocess_audio(
self,
audio_path_or_array: Union[str, np.ndarray],
normalize: Optional[bool] = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Convenience method to preprocess audio from file path or array.
This method is kept for backward compatibility but __call__ is recommended.
Args:
audio_path_or_array: Path to audio file or numpy array
normalize: Whether to normalize (overrides default setting)
Returns:
np.ndarray: Preprocessed audio array
"""
if isinstance(audio_path_or_array, str):
audio_array = self._load_audio_from_path(audio_path_or_array)
else:
audio_array = np.array(audio_path_or_array, dtype=np.float32)
# Override normalization setting if specified
original_normalize = self.normalize_audio
if normalize is not None:
self.normalize_audio = normalize
try:
processed = self._process_single_audio(audio_array)
finally:
# Restore original setting
self.normalize_audio = original_normalize
return processed
# Override to_dict method for configuration saving
def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Convert the object to a dict containing all attributes needed for serialization.
"""
return self.feature_extractor_dict
def save_audio(
self,
audio: Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray, List[Union[torch.Tensor, np.ndarray]]],
output_path: str = "output.wav",
sampling_rate: Optional[int] = None,
normalize: bool = False,
batch_prefix: str = "audio_",
):
"""
Save audio data to WAV file(s).
Args:
audio: Audio data to save. Can be:
- torch.Tensor: PyTorch tensor with shape (B, C, T) or (B, T) or (T)
- np.ndarray: NumPy array with shape (B, C, T) or (B, T) or (T)
- List of tensors or arrays
output_path: Path where to save the audio. If saving multiple files,
this is treated as a directory and individual files will be saved inside.
sampling_rate: Sampling rate for the saved audio. Defaults to the processor's rate.
normalize: Whether to normalize audio before saving.
batch_prefix: Prefix for batch files when saving multiple audios.
Returns:
List[str]: Paths to the saved audio files.
"""
if sampling_rate is None:
sampling_rate = self.sampling_rate
try:
import soundfile as sf
except ImportError:
raise ImportError(
"soundfile is required to save audio files. "
"Install it with: pip install soundfile"
)
# Ensure audio is in the right format
if isinstance(audio, torch.Tensor):
# Convert PyTorch tensor to numpy
audio_np = audio.float().detach().cpu().numpy()
elif isinstance(audio, np.ndarray):
audio_np = audio
elif isinstance(audio, list):
# Handle list of tensors or arrays
if all(isinstance(a, torch.Tensor) for a in audio):
audio_np = [a.float().detach().cpu().numpy() for a in audio]
else:
audio_np = audio
else:
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported audio type: {type(audio)}")
saved_paths = []
# Handle based on shape or type
if isinstance(audio_np, list):
# Multiple separate audios to save
output_dir = output_path
# Ensure output directory exists
os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
# Save each audio
for i, audio_item in enumerate(audio_np):
audio_item = self._prepare_audio_for_save(audio_item, normalize)
file_path = os.path.join(output_dir, f"{batch_prefix}{i}.wav")
sf.write(file_path, audio_item, sampling_rate)
saved_paths.append(file_path)
else:
# Handle different dimensions
if len(audio_np.shape) >= 3: # (B, C, T) or similar
# Get batch size
batch_size = audio_np.shape[0]
if batch_size > 1:
# Multiple audios in a batch
output_dir = output_path
# Ensure output directory exists
os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
# Save each audio in the batch
for i in range(batch_size):
# Extract single audio and remove channel dim if present
single_audio = audio_np[i]
if len(single_audio.shape) > 1:
if single_audio.shape[0] == 1: # (1, T)
single_audio = single_audio.squeeze(0)
single_audio = self._prepare_audio_for_save(single_audio, normalize)
file_path = os.path.join(output_dir, f"{batch_prefix}{i}.wav")
sf.write(file_path, single_audio, sampling_rate)
saved_paths.append(file_path)
else:
# Single audio with batch and channel dims
audio_item = audio_np.squeeze() # Remove batch and channel dimensions
audio_item = self._prepare_audio_for_save(audio_item, normalize)
sf.write(output_path, audio_item, sampling_rate)
saved_paths.append(output_path)
else:
# Single audio without batch dimension
audio_item = self._prepare_audio_for_save(audio_np, normalize)
sf.write(output_path, audio_item, sampling_rate)
saved_paths.append(output_path)
return saved_paths
def _prepare_audio_for_save(self, audio: np.ndarray, normalize: bool) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Prepare audio for saving by ensuring it's the right shape and optionally normalizing.
Args:
audio: Audio data as numpy array
normalize: Whether to normalize audio
Returns:
np.ndarray: Processed audio ready for saving
"""
# Ensure right dimensionality
if len(audio.shape) > 1 and audio.shape[0] == 1: # (1, T)
audio = audio.squeeze(0)
# Normalize if requested
if normalize:
max_val = np.abs(audio).max()
if max_val > 0:
audio = audio / max_val
return audio
__all__ = ["VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor", "AudioNormalizer"]

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import math
import torch
class UniformSampler:
def __init__(self, timesteps = 1000):
self.timesteps = timesteps
def sample(self, batch_size, device):
return torch.randint(0, self.timesteps, (batch_size,), device=device)
class LogitNormalSampler:
def __init__(self, timesteps = 1000, m = 0, s = 1):
self.timesteps = timesteps
timesteps = torch.linspace(0, 1, timesteps)
logit = torch.log(timesteps / (1 - timesteps))
self.prob = torch.exp(-0.5 * (logit - m) ** 2 / s ** 2) / (s * math.sqrt(2 * math.pi))
def sample(self, batch_size, device):
return torch.multinomial(self.prob, batch_size, replacement=True).to(device)

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#!/usr/bin/env python
# coding=utf-8
import argparse
import json
import os
from pathlib import Path
import re
import torch
from typing import Dict, List, Tuple
from vibevoice.modular.configuration_vibevoice import (
VibeVoiceConfig
)
from vibevoice.modular.modeling_vibevoice import VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration
from transformers.utils import logging
logger = logging.get_logger(__name__)
def convert_vibevoice_nnscaler_checkpoint_to_hf(
checkpoint_path: str,
pytorch_dump_folder_path: str,
config_path: str = None,
):
"""
Convert a nnscaler VibeVoice checkpoint to HuggingFace format.
Supports both regular checkpoints and tensor parallel checkpoints.
"""
# Load regular checkpoint
logger.info(f"Loading regular checkpoint from {checkpoint_path}")
checkpoint = torch.load(checkpoint_path, map_location="cpu") # ['model', 'optimizer', 'lr_scheduler', 'train_status', 'train_args', 'rng_states', 'nnscaler', 'dataloader']
# config = checkpoint['train_args']
init_config_name = checkpoint['train_args']['vars']['model_args']['config_path']['relative_path']
pretrained_name = checkpoint['train_args']['vars']['data_args']['tokenizer_path']
init_config_path = Path(__file__).parent.parent / 'configs' / init_config_name.split('/')[-1]
if init_config_path.exists():
logger.info(f"Loading initial config from {init_config_path}")
with open(init_config_path, 'r') as f:
init_config = json.load(f)
else:
raise FileNotFoundError(f"Initial config file {init_config_path} not found. Please provide a valid path.")
tie_word_embeddings = init_config['decoder_config'].get('tie_word_embeddings', True)
logger.info(f"Tie word embeddings: {tie_word_embeddings}")
init_config['decoder_config']['use_cache'] = True
config = VibeVoiceConfig(**init_config, tie_word_embeddings=tie_word_embeddings)
# # Extract the model state dict
model_state_dict = {k.replace('model.model.', 'model.'): v for k, v in checkpoint["model"].items() if k.startswith('model.model.')}
if not tie_word_embeddings and 'model.lm_head.weight' in checkpoint["model"].keys():
# If not tying weights, we need to add the lm_head weight separately
model_state_dict['lm_head.weight'] = checkpoint["model"]['model.lm_head.weight']
# Override with provided config if available
if config_path:
logger.info(f"Loading config from {config_path}")
with open(config_path, 'r') as f:
config_dict = json.load(f)
config = VibeVoiceConfig.from_dict(config_dict)
# Set the default dtype to bfloat16 before creating the model
original_dtype = torch.get_default_dtype()
torch.set_default_dtype(torch.bfloat16)
# Create the HuggingFace model
logger.info("Creating HuggingFace VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration model")
model = VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration(config)
# Restore original dtype
torch.set_default_dtype(original_dtype)
# Load the state dict
logger.info("Loading weights into model")
missing_keys, unexpected_keys = model.load_state_dict(model_state_dict, strict=False)
if missing_keys:
logger.warning(f"Missing keys: {missing_keys}")
if unexpected_keys:
logger.warning(f"Unexpected keys: {unexpected_keys}")
# Create output directory
os.makedirs(pytorch_dump_folder_path, exist_ok=True)
# Save the model and config
logger.info(f"Saving model to {pytorch_dump_folder_path}")
# Save config
config.save_pretrained(pytorch_dump_folder_path)
# Save VibeVoiceProcessor configuration
logger.info("Saving VibeVoiceProcessor configuration")
processor_config = {
"processor_class": "VibeVoiceProcessor",
"speech_tok_compress_ratio": 3200,
"db_normalize": True,
# Audio processor configuration
"audio_processor": {
"feature_extractor_type": "VibeVoiceTokenizerProcessor",
"sampling_rate": 24000,
"normalize_audio": True,
"target_dB_FS": -25,
"eps": 1e-6,
},
"language_model_pretrained_name": pretrained_name,
}
processor_config_path = os.path.join(pytorch_dump_folder_path, "preprocessor_config.json")
with open(processor_config_path, 'w') as f:
json.dump(processor_config, f, indent=2)
logger.info(f"Saved processor config to {processor_config_path}")
# Save model with sharding
# save_pretrained handles tied weights automatically
logger.info("Saving model weights with sharding...")
model.save_pretrained(
pytorch_dump_folder_path,
max_shard_size="2GB", # Set maximum size for each shard
safe_serialization=True # Ensure saving in .safetensors format
)
logger.info(f"Model weights saved to {pytorch_dump_folder_path}")
logger.info("Conversion complete!")
# Verify the saved model can be loaded
logger.info("Verifying saved model...")
loaded_model = VibeVoiceForConditionalGeneration.from_pretrained(pytorch_dump_folder_path)
logger.info("Model successfully loaded from saved checkpoint!")
def main():
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
parser.add_argument(
"--nnscaler_checkpoint_path",
type=str,
required=True,
help="Path to the fairseq checkpoint (.pt file). For tensor parallel checkpoints, "
"provide any one of the part files (e.g., checkpoint_1_5000-model_part-0.pt), "
"and the script will automatically detect and merge all parts.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--pytorch_dump_folder_path",
type=str,
required=True,
help="Path to the output PyTorch model directory",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--config_path",
type=str,
default=None,
help="Optional path to a config JSON file to override extracted config",
)
args = parser.parse_args()
convert_vibevoice_nnscaler_checkpoint_to_hf(
args.nnscaler_checkpoint_path,
args.pytorch_dump_folder_path,
args.config_path,
)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()